Analysis: Democrat Senate Majority Now in Serious JeopardyJacob Bliss 3 Nov 2021
After Governor-elect Glenn Youngkin (R) built momentum in recent months on the campaign trail with Republicans and won Virginia’s gubernatorial race after initially being the underdog, the University of Virginia Center for Politics shifts several Democrat Senate seats to “Toss-up.”
The analysis from the Center for Politics explained that Youngkin’s win confirmed that Democrats had a “poor environment” in Virginia, “which if replicated next November could help the Republicans win back the House and the Senate.”
“Needless to say, this is a horrible result for Democrats and for the White House,” the analysis further explained. “Youngkin’s 2-point victory… represented an 11-point shift in the GOP’s favor from 4 years ago, when now-Gov. Ralph Northam (D) won by almost 9 points. Going back a bit further to 2013, McAuliffe won by 2.5 points that year.”
The Center for Politics changed four major Democrat Senate races, a year ahead of the midterms:
Sen. Mark Kelly’s Arizona Senate seat was changed to a “Toss-up” from “Leans Democratic.”
Sen. Raphael Warnock’s Georgia Senate seat was changed to a “Toss-up” from “Leans Democratic.”
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto’s Nevada Senate seat was changed to a “Toss-up” from “Leans Democratic.”
Sen. Michael Bennet’s Colorado Senate seat was changed from “Safe Democratic” to “Likely Democratic,” not entirely being pushed to “Toss-up” for the time being.
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/11/03/analysis-democrat-senate-majority-now-in-serious-jeopardy/
