Claudette forming in the next 12-24 hr? As you can see below there is pretty strong evidence that there is a full circle of circulation trying to form around a significant amount of convection about the 24N 90W coordinates. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if the NHC announces a depression at their 4:00 p.m. CDT briefing. Modeling has most clustering around a Morgan City landfall at a strength of 45-50kt. i.e Tropical Storm strength. Still very early on, so much will likely change
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 17 2021
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico have become a little
better organized today. This system is expected to move generally
northward, and a tropical or subtropical depression is likely to
form over the west-central Gulf of Mexico tonight or early Friday.
A tropical storm warning will likely be required for a portion of
the northern Gulf Coast later this afternoon, and Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories will likely be initiated on this system at 4 PM
CDT (2100 UTC). An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft
is en route to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.
