Author Topic: Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050  (Read 351 times)

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rangerrebew

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Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050
« on: May 19, 2021, 12:43:27 pm »
Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050
Posted on May 19, 2021 by curryja | 2 Comments

by Judith Curry

Stop using the worst-case scenario for climate change — more realistic scenarios make for better policy.

The International Energy Agency has just published a document ‘NetZero by 2050: A Roadmap for the Global Energy Sector.‘  This document provides a comprehensive assessment of the challenges of reaching NetZero carbon emissions by 2050, along with clear milestones for meeting this challenge.

The IEA report describes their analysis of the trajectory that our emissions is currently on. Policies that have actually been implemented (STEPS) versus the trajectory that would be achieved if all countries met their current commitments (APC) are shown in the diagram below. The implication of the IEA STEP scenario is that if policies that have already been implemented are maintained, the global carbon dioxide emissions three decades from now will be similar to what they are today.

https://judithcurry.com/2021/05/19/projecting-manmade-climate-change-scenarios-to-2050/#more-27556

Offline DefiantMassRINO

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Re: Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2021, 12:59:40 pm »

It's rather arrogant to think that man, alone, can control the Earth's climate.  Scientific hubris is going to create economic, political, and social disruption with uncertian consequences.

Again, all Climate Change roads lead to ...

"Political correctness is a doctrine fostered by a delusional, illogical minority, and rabidly promoted by an unscrupulous mainstream media, which holds forth the proposition that it’s entirely possible to pick up a turd by the clean end." - Alan Simpson, Frontline Video Interview

Offline roamer_1

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Re: Projecting manmade climate change: scenarios to 2050
« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2021, 01:42:48 pm »
It's rather arrogant to think that man, alone, can control the Earth's climate.  Scientific hubris is going to create economic, political, and social disruption with uncertian consequences.

Again, all Climate Change roads lead to ...



Considering that to be true, what I find most ironic is that there will still be streams full of fish, pastures full of beef and buffalo, deer and elk, and the absolute ability to raise a half acre of garden to feed your family.

people are sheep. Being led by wolves.