New Supreme Court and it could get even more conservative. I don't just look at it with pessimism, apparently, there are a lot of other judges in the system than just Kavanaugh on the SCOTUS. Chance of failing may be better than 50% but chances may be getting slightly better by the day.
BTW, This is why Kasich didn't sign the bill when it was up to him about a month ago. Kasich figured, it'll probably fail anyway and a lot of people really got on Kasich's case,............. Kasich's case!

I didn't realize how that would come out....
Kasich's Case!
