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General Category => General Discussion => Topic started by: Scythian on July 16, 2012, 07:04:17 pm

Title: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Scythian on July 16, 2012, 07:04:17 pm
Romney himself isn't that exciting, I just looked at the list of potential VP's on Drudge and think this is going to be more boring than 2008. At least Palin injected some lifeblood into the campaign.

Pawlenty? That's who it looks like it's going to be? PLEASE you gotta be kidding me, he didn't look like he could fight his way out of a wet paper bag ...
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: mystery-ak on July 16, 2012, 07:09:39 pm
I know it looks a little depressing right now....but don't get discouraged just yet.....I am still hoping Romney will fight back with this Bain crap and not wait until it is too late.........have faith.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Scythian on July 16, 2012, 07:17:15 pm
Why do we keep getting these milk-toast Republicans, beleive me, I want Obama out of there so bad, but even so it's hard for me to get all excited about Romney, it's for sure I'll vote for him, but sheeze, if he picks Pawlenty it's going to be labeled the "White bread ol' boys ticket". I think if he picks Pawlenty he loses. I really think these candidates live in a vacumn ...
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: mystery-ak on July 16, 2012, 07:19:59 pm
Why do we keep getting these milk-toast Republicans, beleive me, I want Obama out of there so bad, but even so it's hard for me to get all excited about Romney, it's for sure I'll vote for him, but sheeze, if he picks Pawlenty it's going to be labeled the "White bread ol' boys ticket". I think if he picks Pawlenty he loses. I really think these candidates live in a vacumn ...

I know...we need some young blood, someone exciting and they are out there...why they/we pick the same old white haired repub's is beyond me.....I am not sure Pawlenty is the guy.....so many rumors out there right now....
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: andy58-in-nh on July 16, 2012, 07:22:27 pm
I'm hoping this Pawlenty rumor is just an intentional leak/trail balloon/distraction. Really hoping. 

Okay, praying.

Because if it's true, then we're more f***ed than a Thanksgiving turkey on Wednesday afternoon.

Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: McGruff on July 16, 2012, 07:36:26 pm
This is the second time a RINO has been shoved down our throat. If Romney doesn't do what McLame did for a VP he's in big trouble.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 16, 2012, 07:49:23 pm
This is the second time a RINO has been shoved down our throat. If Romney doesn't do what McLame did for a VP he's in big trouble.

I don't get the whole "shoved down our throat" thing.

Are you suggesting that  acceptable nominees should be handed to you?

Why didn't the conservative nominees win the nomination?

If they can't win the Party's nomination, what makes you think they can win the general election?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on July 16, 2012, 07:51:56 pm
It is and was clear to any observer when you have ten conservatives and only one moderate running, the moderate is going to garner enough votes to carry the day -- especially since the early states deciding the primary race lean left and allow open voting.  Romney never broke 25% in GOP popularity, but the other 75% was split between too many people.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Scythian on July 16, 2012, 08:02:46 pm
Great reply Repunzel. I think the GOP prefers these open primaries because they GOP is in large part the "Generals" in a "Globe Trotter" game, they're on the same team. I hate our primary process, just hate it.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on July 16, 2012, 08:05:43 pm
At my age (66 in Aug), I still have faith that there are still enough Baby Boomers alive that will be able to cancel out the votes of the school-aged voters.

Secondly, that there are some Democratic party members out there that are pissed off in that they never agreed to sign on with this agenda....and who will vote for the easier-to-swallow MODERATE, Mitt Romney.

But I have no illusions that unless the education system is torn apart and rebuilt with strong American, Founding Fathers principles.....that we have allowed the Left to destroy the United States of America as intended to be.


.....still want to know why nobody has demanded a conversation with Obama on his meaning of "........fundamentally changing the United States of America".   It gives weight to my assertion that we outnumber them.

I still predict an incredible landslide in favor of Mitt Romney.   And predict that if he does what's necessary, the GOP majority will be at risk in 2014.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Lipstick on a Hillary on July 16, 2012, 08:14:41 pm
 goopo
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 16, 2012, 08:27:33 pm
It is and was clear to any observer when you have ten conservatives and only one moderate running, the moderate is going to garner enough votes to carry the day -- especially since the early states deciding the primary race lean left and allow open voting.  Romney never broke 25% in GOP popularity, but the other 75% was split between too many people.

But that points to lack of discipline and organization in the part of the conservatives.

Romney may not ever have received more than 25% of the vote, but then again, there was no conservative running able to get more than 25% consistently by coalescing the conservative vote.

Why is it that everyone expects things to be done for them?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: McGruff on July 16, 2012, 08:28:46 pm
It is and was clear to any observer when you have ten conservatives and only one moderate running, the moderate is going to garner enough votes to carry the day -- especially since the early states deciding the primary race lean left and allow open voting.  Romney never broke 25% in GOP popularity, but the other 75% was split between too many people.

Yup. Happened in 2008 and again this cycle. How do you stop that from happening. I don't know. But I know I'm disgusted with it. Could even Ronald Reagan win the nomination these days?

Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 16, 2012, 08:37:14 pm
Quote
"...when you have ten conservatives and only one moderate running, the moderate is going to garner enough votes to carry the day."

You know, that's a negative on the conservative vote, not a negative on the moderate voters.

Conservatives need to do the things that win election, not complain that others did them, and won.

Quote
Romney never broke 25% in GOP popularity

Excuse me?

2012 Primary Schedules and Results (http://www.2012presidentialelectionnews.com/2012-republican-primary-schedule/)

Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on July 16, 2012, 09:03:24 pm
Yup. Happened in 2008 and again this cycle. How do you stop that from happening. I don't know. But I know I'm disgusted with it. Could even Ronald Reagan win the nomination these days?

Short of holding a conservatives only primary and then running that candidate against the moderate GOP party bosses candidate we will continue to lose with people like McCain, Dole, Poppy Bush, etc...    Michelle Bachman still thinks she is the cats' meow, but she was an unmitigated disaster who did everything possible to destroy fellow conservatives while not saying boo to Romney... Pawlenty quit after his one bad debate where he coined the phrase ORhombycare....   Cain and his 9,9,9....... yuck!   there was only one successful conservative running and everyone lined up against him because of immigration and what he had done in Texas....

p.s.  Palin didn't endorse Perry, either.  She and her husband supported Newt! 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: sinkspur on July 16, 2012, 09:18:16 pm
This is the second time a RINO has been shoved down our throat. If Romney doesn't do what McLame did for a VP he's in big trouble.

Wait a minute.  McCain lost.  You want Romney to lose by doing what McCain did?

Some folks are all worked up over Sarah Palin, but you really need to get over her.  She is not campaigning for Romney, she can barely bring herself to endorse him, yet she and her followers have their panties in a wad because Romney's not laying out the red carpet for her or allowing her to speak at the convention.

Why should he? 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 16, 2012, 11:07:27 pm

Romney has about 90 percent support in the GOP right now.  And he reached the 90 percent mark back in late April, early May--in fact, Romney achieved one of the highest levels of support at the earliest point in a campaign ever recorded, according to Rasmussen. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Queen on July 16, 2012, 11:52:55 pm
it's hard for me to get all excited about Romney, it's for sure I'll vote for him

We don't need another rock star president. People bought into all the hype surrounding obama and then reality bit them in their wallets. People who voted for obama before (not me, I'm racist, ya know) may be looking for a common sense, steady leader this time. We'll see.




Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 17, 2012, 12:28:46 am
It's too early to start making predictions.  Romney has to be considered the underdog, based on money and the electoral college.  In truth, no one in the establishment thought any Republican could beat OPapaDoc in 2012, which is one reason our field of candidates was so weak.  Romney was the establishment's choice because he was the "safest" guy to head the ticket while the party tried to get the senate and hold the house. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: truth_seeker on July 17, 2012, 01:31:23 am
And as always, I remind -- Conservatives claiming to be "victims."
Of:

GOPe, RNC, elites, media, Romney, .....

.....anything but admitting how weak the lineup of "true conservative" candidates was, how poorly they performed, how some stayed in far beyond the time they were clearly loosing, etc. etc.

Sometimes I think about this:  If conservatives are superior, and for that reason deserve to lead, why not demonstrate that superiority more often?

The majority of online conservatism seems wasted on making up childish names for Obama, posting cartoons and graphics, etc. And discussing abortion and homosexuality ad infinitum.

Hardly any effort of educating WHY conservative principles result in a stronger economy (think Walter Williams, Thomas Sowell, textbooks, etc.).

Oh yeah, people ought to rethink the dismissal of Reagan's 11th commandment. The nominee is known, and it is time to unify and work for a win, not endlessly criticize.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on July 17, 2012, 01:59:14 am
This is the second time a RINO has been shoved down our throat. If Romney doesn't do what McLame did for a VP he's in big trouble.


I don't recollect McCain's VP pick getting him the Presidency.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on July 17, 2012, 02:31:28 am
But that points to lack of discipline and organization in the part of the conservatives.

Romney may not ever have received more than 25% of the vote, but then again, there was no conservative running able to get more than 25% consistently by coalescing the conservative vote.

Why is it that everyone expects things to be done for them?

Luis, I am curious, would you want Romney to pick Rubio? You are close on the ground in FLA. so I am curious what you think of him?
i personally love the guy.. *swoon*..(Sorry just had to do that for old time sake)  LOL
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 17, 2012, 03:45:17 am
Luis, I am curious, would you want Romney to pick Rubio? You are close on the ground in FLA. so I am curious what you think of him?
i personally love the guy.. *swoon*..(Sorry just had to do that for old time sake)  LOL

I'm going to put on my flak suit, answer this, then head for cover.

Marco Rubio does not meet the Constitutional requirements under Section 1 of Article Two of the United States Constitution to hold the Office of President, and because of that, he can't be Vice President.

...(running for cover)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on July 17, 2012, 03:55:04 am
I'm going to put on my flak suit, answer this, then head for cover.

Marco Rubio does not meet the Constitutional requirements under Section 1 of Article Two of the United States Constitution to hold the Office of President, and because of that, he can't be Vice President.

...(running for cover)

JIM is that you? LMAO
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 17, 2012, 04:07:51 am

I'm of two minds, Luis.  I like Rubio.  But you make a good point.  That birthplace thing could be a problem for him.

But I also like West.  He would make a great attack dog (with the added benefit of having that great Florida tan, giving him more leeway in criticizing the president).  And I'd certainly be comfortable if a man with his tough military background had to step up to the role of president.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Chieftain on July 17, 2012, 04:17:21 am
It is still awfully early in the campaign, so I would not recommend slashing one's wrists just yet...

Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 17, 2012, 04:18:16 am
I'm of two minds, Luis.  I like Rubio.  But you make a good point.  That birthplace thing could be a problem for him.

But I also like West.  He would make a great attack dog (with the added benefit of having that great Florida tan, giving him more leeway in criticizing the president).  And I'd certainly be comfortable if a man with his tough military background had to step up to the role of president.

I've had the pleasure to meet them both.

They are both great Americans.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on July 17, 2012, 04:18:47 am
It is still awfully early in the campaign, so I would not recommend slashing one's wrists just yet...



If one gets the urge to slash, there are much, much better things to slash, like Obuttocks campaign posters, etc.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on July 17, 2012, 04:21:27 am
JIM is that you? LMAO

I know...ain't that just the S#IT?

I have to maintain my intellectual integrity, and if I don't believe that Obama qualifies then I can't support Rubio.

Here...read this:

Birth of a Notion, Part 2. Barack Obama and the XIV Amendment (http://boilingfrogs.wordpress.com/2008/12/15/birth-of-a-notion-part-2-barack-obama-and-the-xiv-amendment/)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on July 17, 2012, 04:33:37 am
I know...ain't that just the S#IT?

I have to maintain my intellectual integrity, and if I don't believe that Obama qualifies then I can't support Rubio.

Here...read this:

Birth of a Notion, Part 2. Barack Obama and the XIV Amendment (http://boilingfrogs.wordpress.com/2008/12/15/birth-of-a-notion-part-2-barack-obama-and-the-xiv-amendment/)

Isn't there anything legally written concerning Cuban immigrants that is acceptable  for him to run?

If not then I go with West all the way!!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: NavyCanDo on July 17, 2012, 12:40:44 pm
People, people, people  - we are starting to speak with the same pessimistic voices that turned us away from Freerepublic.  Don’t fall for every bit of misinformation that hits a Drudge headline, or mainstream media for that matter. Nobody saw Palin coming back in 2008, not even Drudge. I think Romney is smart enough to know that he is going to have to throw the conservatives a bone, with a great pick.

The qualities he must look for:
Conservative, but yet will appeal to moderates or a large voting bloc like Hispanics. Articulate. No teleprompter required
Sharp. Ready for those gotcha questions.
Dynamic.    Fire in the belly

I have faith that He will pick a good one, and in a few weeks that name will be a hot topic here on GOPBR
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 17, 2012, 01:07:41 pm

Good post, Navy.  I agree.  But, I understand folks' concerns.  Should Romney lose (which I firmly believe will not happen), Obama and the Democrats class warfare jihad would put the final nails in the coffin of the free America we all grew up in.  It would be a terrible day in the history of this (once) great nation.  In fact, sadness would spread round the world because people even in the furthest reaches of the globe understand the important role America plays on the world stage.

Geez, I think I just talked myself into depression.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Chieftain on July 17, 2012, 01:46:03 pm
People, people, people  - we are starting to speak with the same pessimistic voices that turned us away from Freerepublic.  Don’t fall for every bit of misinformation that hits a Drudge headline, or mainstream media for that matter. Nobody saw Palin coming back in 2008, not even Drudge. I think Romney is smart enough to know that he is going to have to throw the conservatives a bone, with a great pick.

The qualities he must look for:
Conservative, but yet will appeal to moderates or a large voting bloc like Hispanics. Articulate. No teleprompter required
Sharp. Ready for those gotcha questions.
Dynamic.    Fire in the belly

I have faith that He will pick a good one, and in a few weeks that name will be a hot topic here on GOPBR

Well said Navy, and I strongly second that emotion....

Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 17, 2012, 01:51:55 pm
I posted this on another thread, but since this thread is getting all the action, and it is apropos, I'll post it her as well:

If I was running Romney's campaign I'd go even further than just calling OPapaDoc a liar.  I'd hammer away at the insecurity people are feeling.  I'd talk about how we all know the country is on the wrong track, that we are being told things are fine when they are not.  That our gluttonous politicians are devouring our very way of life and are now taking over like parasites on the body of a man eking out the last breaths of life.  The country is now in a situation where we are being told that up is not up and down is not down.  Our free markets are no longer free.  Our airports are now gulags guarded by federal thugs.  Our suburban neighborhoods are gang-ridden, drug infested hell-holes unsafe for anyone.  Our schools are nothing more than baby-sitting centers that feed feel good liberal indoctrination to the young.  In short, we are living in a society that is tightly controlled by a group of elite, corrupt politicians who pander to the masses but never really deliver anything but symbols, rhetoric and more power for themselves.

What the American people do not know is that they have it in their power to make it all go away with a single vote. 

Barack Obama did not cause all this.  But he has made the situation much worse than it was.  And he has done it because he is a cheap, corrupt politician from Chicago whose world view holds that America should bring itself down to the level of the rest of the world.

Having laid this foundation, Romney should then present a plan for real, systematic, comprehensive reform of government based on our founding principles.  Romney should admit that he has been too trusting of government in the past, but that if given this one opportunity, he will make it his life's achievement to go about the task of draining the swamp and rebuilding our federal institutions to serve people rather than bully them.  Making this come about will be difficult, but first we have to get rid of the king of the bullies who seeks to divide America rather than unite it.

Is Romney capable of this grand a vision?  I keep hoping.  But so far all I have seen is more of the same old same old.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: NavyCanDo on July 17, 2012, 02:06:39 pm
Should Romney lose (which I firmly believe will not happen), Obama and the Democrats class warfare jihad would put the final nails in the coffin of the free America we all grew up in. 


Like Glenn Beck said this morning, "America does not survive one more term of Obama."
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: mystery-ak on July 17, 2012, 02:15:12 pm

Like Glenn Beck said this morning, "America does not survive one more term of Obama."

That, I think we can all agree on.


A Guide to Winning the Goriest Campaign in 184 Years by Keith Koffler (http://gopbriefingroom.com/index.php?topic=77173.0)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 17, 2012, 02:35:39 pm
I posted this on another thread, but since this thread is getting all the action, and it is apropos, I'll post it her as well:

If I was running Romney's campaign I'd .....

SNIP

Is Romney capable of this grand a vision?  I keep hoping.  But so far all I have seen is more of the same old same old.

Good post, mass.  From your keyboard to the attention of Romney's campaign team.  God help us.  Prayers up.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 17, 2012, 03:44:38 pm
Good post, mass.  From your keyboard to the attention of Romney's campaign team.  God help us.  Prayers up.

One problem.  The GOP establishment is scared to death of Romney running too "extreme" a campaign lest it affect the senate and congressional races.  That, plus Romney's own hesitancy and moderateness, is why it won't likely happen.

I think McCain had the right approach in 2008 when he ran as a maverick reformer.  Unfortunately, the whole thing came crashing down after he supported the Wall Street bailouts and people realized he was not really serious.  He was ahead in the polls up to that point.

Undecideds are not moderates.  They are distrustful of politicians, and rightly so.  They want authenticity above anything else.  That is why that Bain attacks are working.  They send the message that Romney is just a self-interested, corrupt hack.  They already know that about Obama.  But they are saying to themselves: "Better the the self-interested, corrupt hack I know than the one I don't know.  At least he sends me unemployment and food stamps."

Romney has to become authentic before November or he will lose.  If it is in him, I haven't seen it yet.  The primary did nothing in this regard, and so was a failure at vetting our nominee.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 17, 2012, 04:16:12 pm
... That is why that Bain attacks are working.  They send the message that Romney is just a self-interested, corrupt hack....

Except that, as Karl Rove just pointed out on Fox, Obama launched the Bain attack ads at the beginning of May when national polls had it Obama 45, Romney 45.  Now, 2 1/2 months later, those same polls have it Obama 46, Romney 46.  So that line of attack appears to have faltered.  But that's the only flaw I see in your analysis.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 17, 2012, 05:18:09 pm
Except that, as Karl Rove just pointed out on Fox, Obama launched the Bain attack ads at the beginning of May when national polls had it Obama 45, Romney 45.  Now, 2 1/2 months later, those same polls have it Obama 46, Romney 46.  So that line of attack appears to have faltered.  But that's the only flaw I see in your analysis.

I wouldn't take too much stock in Rove.  Romney has gone from ahead to behind in VA and FL.  Obama is pulling away in OH.  PA is nearly out of reach.  Rove knows this, but prefers to look at the national picture where Romney's numbers reflect his improvement in places he was going to win anyway, while Obama improves his position in the battleground states.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on July 17, 2012, 06:31:01 pm
Except that, as Karl Rove just pointed out on Fox, Obama launched the Bain attack ads at the beginning of May when national polls had it Obama 45, Romney 45.  Now, 2 1/2 months later, those same polls have it Obama 46, Romney 46.  So that line of attack appears to have faltered.  But that's the only flaw I see in your analysis.

You cannot go by national polls, you have to look state by state and in the critical swing states where those ads have been running Obama is pulling well ahead of Romney.  His team better get their head out of the sand and fast!   

BTW, massadjv...... did you catch your old friend Willie Brown on Bill O'Reilly last night?  He was singing praises about Arnold Schwartzeneger because Arnie "went above and beyond to help blacks in CA".......  I can't stand Brown 99% of the time, but have to admit the man has charisma and that is likely why he thrived as he has in CA.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 17, 2012, 06:45:08 pm
You cannot go by national polls, you have to look state by state and in the critical swing states where those ads have been running Obama is pulling well ahead of Romney.  His team better get their head out of the sand and fast!   

BTW, massadjv...... did you catch your old friend Willie Brown on Bill O'Reilly last night?  He was singing praises about Arnold Schwartzeneger because Arnie "went above and beyond to help blacks in CA".......  I can't stand Brown 99% of the time, but have to admit the man has charisma and that is likely why he thrived as he has in CA.


Charisma, extreme intelligence and absolutely no scruples or conscience whatsoever.  Being liberals, we loved him for all of those things.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on July 18, 2012, 04:10:52 am

Charisma, extreme intelligence and absolutely no scruples or conscience whatsoever.  Being liberals, we loved him for all of those things.

Interesting.  I can think of several figures of historic proportions who possessed those same characteristics - and another who currently lives in DC.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oldbrowser on July 18, 2012, 05:25:45 am
 We have an "American Idol" electorate.   They Are looking for entertainment.

 Many women are looking for a sexy, leading man type, to be the leader of the country. If he rides a white stallion with a flowing mane, so much the better.

 Who would want two boring men in gray suits operating in the background making the economy hum along and never bring any drama into our lives?
 Wouldn't it be so much better to see Obama prancing around the White House issuing royal commands about anything that pops into his head?
 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on July 18, 2012, 10:40:02 am
Interesting.  I can think of several figures of historic proportions who possessed those same characteristics - and another who currently lives in DC.

If you mean Obama, I don't consider him particularly intelligent.  He has what I would call "semantic intelligence" in that he can talk a decent game, but he is extremely shallow in his ability to calculate and strategize.  Obama does have charisma and no scruples, however.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on July 18, 2012, 12:08:56 pm
We have an "American Idol" electorate.   They Are looking for entertainment.


Yep, that's the political environment in which we find ourselves.  Of course, it's more ominous than just that.  The backdrop Obama and his socialist ilk try to install is a dangerous philosophy that's been tried many times before and in each case has lead only to human misery and death.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: ladybug on August 05, 2012, 09:18:19 pm
It's too early to start making predictions.  Romney has to be considered the underdog, based on money and the electoral college.  In truth, no one in the establishment thought any Republican could beat OPapaDoc in 2012, which is one reason our field of candidates was so weak.  Romney was the establishment's choice because he was the "safest" guy to head the ticket while the party tried to get the senate and hold the house.
SO TELL US, VICTOR, ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE FOR HIM???
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on August 05, 2012, 09:23:15 pm

With all due respect, ladybug, in America everyone has the absolute right to be dead wrong when exercising their right of conscience in the voting booth.  This is just one example of it.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on August 05, 2012, 10:25:26 pm
SO TELL US, VICTOR, ARE YOU GOING TO VOTE FOR HIM???

LB, at this moment the answer is no.  That could change if Pennsylvania becomes competitive, and depending on how Romney campaigns.  Funny thing is, I don't want or expect Romney to run a conservative campaign.  I wouldn't find him credible if he did.  I actually think he may have a better chance of getting my vote if he puts Condi Rice on the ticket and reels in enough suburban women to get within the margin of error in my state.  At that point, I'd have to make the calculation that my denying him my vote could have the effect of helping OPapaDoc.  But so long as Pennsylvania stays firm Obama territory, I feel no ethical dilemma in not voting for Romney.

I will be very active in trying to deny Obama re-election, of that you can be certain.  For example, I will make many more videos mocking OPapaDoc and liberals.  But specifically promoting and supporting Romney?  I just can't go there.  At least not yet.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: andy58-in-nh on August 05, 2012, 10:38:48 pm
I wouldn't take too much stock in Rove.  Romney has gone from ahead to behind in VA and FL.  Obama is pulling away in OH.  PA is nearly out of reach.  Rove knows this, but prefers to look at the national picture where Romney's numbers reflect his improvement in places he was going to win anyway, while Obama improves his position in the battleground states.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_romney_vs_obama-1883.html)


Please relax. The polls that you cite are flat out WRONG.

Why?

Because they assume a Democrat advantage of between 7 and 9 percentage points in party affiliation among likely voters.

In order to believe that, you would have to believe that the 2012 race will attract an even higher turnout among Democrat core constituencies than occurred in 2008 (when Democrats enjoyed a 7-point advantage in the "Hope and Change" era).
 
Do you really believe that to be the case this year? Who is more motivated to vote in 2012 - Republicans or Democrats? As for Independent (unaffiliated) voters - do you think they will be more or less likely this year to endorse Barack Obama after having lived through and seen the results of his first term?

In reality, Republican and Democrat turnout is far more likely to mirror 2010 than 2012.

So, please -relax. But still: get everyone you know who might be so inclined to register and vote to save America from a second Obama term.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 05, 2012, 11:29:30 pm

Please relax. The polls that you cite are flat out WRONG.

Why?

Because they assume a Democrat advantage of between 7 and 9 percentage points in party affiliation among likely voters.

In order to believe that, you would have to believe that the 2012 race will attract an even higher turnout among Democrat core constituencies than occurred in 2008 (when Democrats enjoyed a 7-point advantage in the "Hope and Change" era).
 
Do you really believe that to be the case this year? Who is more motivated to vote in 2012 - Republicans or Democrats? As for Independent (unaffiliated) voters - do you think they will be more or less likely this year to endorse Barack Obama after having lived through and seen the results of his first term?

In reality, Republican and Democrat turnout is far more likely to mirror 2010 than 2012.

So, please -relax. But still: get everyone you know who might be so inclined to register and vote to save America from a second Obama term.


Amen
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on August 06, 2012, 12:39:38 am

andy, I can't even begin to count how many times I've been wrong in politics; but, this time I'm certain--even I can't be wrong.  Obama will lose.  In part because Obama's been a failure on the economy, but also because Romney is the right man for this moment in history.  He's got the right skills and the right temperament to succeed.  He's an attractive candidate who's conservative enough for what needs doing over the next four or eight years.  He's got the support of 90+ percent of conservatives like Cruz, Rubio, Ryan and scores of other high profile conservatives.  Plus, he appeals to the middle as well.

I am resolved and I am not worried any longer about Romney's chances.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 06, 2012, 03:31:50 am
andy, I can't even begin to count how many times I've been wrong in politics; but, this time I'm certain--even I can't be wrong.  Obama will lose.  In part because Obama's been a failure on the economy, but also because Romney is the right man for this moment in history.  He's got the right skills and the right temperament to succeed.  He's an attractive candidate who's conservative enough for what needs doing over the next four or eight years.  He's got the support of 90+ percent of conservatives like Cruz, Rubio, Ryan and scores of other high profile conservatives.  Plus, he appeals to the middle as well.

I am resolved and I am not worried any longer about Romney's chances.

Maybe so, but let's not get too sanguine, or rest to easily on our apparent laurels.  There's still the matter of an election to win.

In the meantime, however, since my vote and, I suppose, your vote, aren't going to turn the tide and put NYS into Romney's column, what would be the more productive use of our time?  I'm asking honestly.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 06, 2012, 09:44:46 pm
Maybe so, but let's not get too sanguine, or rest to easily on our apparent laurels.  There's still the matter of an election to win.

In the meantime, however, since my vote and, I suppose, your vote, aren't going to turn the tide and put NYS into Romney's column, what would be the more productive use of our time?  I'm asking honestly.

I am fond of knitting.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 06, 2012, 11:46:29 pm
Maybe so, but let's not get too sanguine, or rest to easily on our apparent laurels.  There's still the matter of an election to win.

In the meantime, however, since my vote and, I suppose, your vote, aren't going to turn the tide and put NYS into Romney's column, what would be the more productive use of our time?  I'm asking honestly.

Go on the Mitt site and sign up to make calls in the swing states!  :patriot:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 07, 2012, 10:50:35 am
Go on the Mitt site and sign up to make calls in the swing states!  :patriot:

I won't do that because I absolutely cannot stand it when someone calls me.  So far I've managed to be polite, but political campaign phone calls drive me up the wall, which is a bad thing because my wife is getting tired of footprints on the ceiling.  Since I hate it, I would feel very awkward doing it to other people.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 07, 2012, 07:05:12 pm
I won't do that because I absolutely cannot stand it when someone calls me.  So far I've managed to be polite, but political campaign phone calls drive me up the wall, which is a bad thing because my wife is getting tired of footprints on the ceiling.  Since I hate it, I would feel very awkward doing it to other people.


Same here.  I had a summer job in High School working for a vacuum cleaner sales company and my job was to call potential customers to try and make appointments.. I HATED it...... then I sold encyclopedia's door-to-door for a VERY short while... I was actually pretty good and made a lot of money (for the time) but then I started really looking at the people I was selling to and could not get past they needed furniture and a lot of other things more than encyclopedias and that was that.. I just could not do it!  and like OC I hate calls unsolicited calls, love caller ID because I don't answer unless I know who is on the phone.....
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 08, 2012, 12:21:52 am
LB, at this moment the answer is no.  That could change if Pennsylvania becomes competitive, and depending on how Romney campaigns.  Funny thing is, I don't want or expect Romney to run a conservative campaign.  I wouldn't find him credible if he did.  I actually think he may have a better chance of getting my vote if he puts Condi Rice on the ticket and reels in enough suburban women to get within the margin of error in my state.  At that point, I'd have to make the calculation that my denying him my vote could have the effect of helping OPapaDoc.  But so long as Pennsylvania stays firm Obama territory, I feel no ethical dilemma in not voting for Romney.

I will be very active in trying to deny Obama re-election, of that you can be certain.  For example, I will make many more videos mocking OPapaDoc and liberals.  But specifically promoting and supporting Romney?  I just can't go there.  At least not yet.

Interesting.

The only action that will eventually bring about stopping Obama from being re-elected, is to vote for the individual running against him, who has the greatest chance of defeating him.

The most likely outcome of people not voting for the opposition because they feel that the opposition has already lost, is that the opposition will lose.

I can understand your unwillingness to cast a vote for Romney. I just don't understand your refusal to cast an effective vote against Obama if you really wish to actively deny Obama re-election.

At Lexington, 75 minutemen faced over 700 British troops. The minutemen were outnumbered, out gunned, and untrained, and faced certain defeat.

Thank God someone fired that first shot.

I am voting for Romney even if I am the only person in Florida doing so.

It's not about whether I like Romney or not, it is about what I think about Obama.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 08, 2012, 12:39:41 am
Well said Luis!

And to Oceander:  Calling was the only thing I could think of considering where you live..sorry :shrug: 

Although you might enjoy a nice debate with a stupid lib on the other end of the phone..that can be satisfying too  :tongue2:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on August 08, 2012, 01:09:10 am
Interesting.

The only action that will eventually bring about stopping Obama from being re-elected, is to vote for the individual running against him, who has the greatest chance of defeating him.

The most likely outcome of people not voting for the opposition because they feel that the opposition has already lost, is that the opposition will lose.

I can understand your unwillingness to cast a vote for Romney. I just don't understand your refusal to cast an effective vote against Obama if you really wish to actively deny Obama re-election.

At Lexington, 75 minutemen faced over 700 British troops. The minutemen were outnumbered, out gunned, and untrained, and faced certain defeat.

Thank God someone fired that first shot.

I am voting for Romney even if I am the only person in Florida doing so.

It's not about whether I like Romney or not, it is about what I think about Obama.

Your point of view is reasonable and cogent.  I make no argument against it, nor do I criticize anyone for voting for Romney. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 08, 2012, 03:02:39 am
Your point of view is reasonable and cogent.  I make no argument against it, nor do I criticize anyone for voting for Romney.

Please understand that I am not critical of your choice, it's obviously a choice, so we all have the right to make our own, but having grown up in a place where I did not have the ability to vote, I see the exercise of my vote as a sacred duty; I owe it to the country and the people who welcomed me.

I am far from thrilled by Romney, but I am frightened of Obama, and to me, not casting a vote against him amounts to my sitting idly by while the country is raped and pillaged.

I can't do it.

Maybe, voting for Romney in Florida will be quixotic, but I will charge at that windmill with everything I have.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on August 08, 2012, 03:42:44 am
Please understand that I am not critical of your choice, it's obviously a choice, so we all have the right to make our own, but having grown up in a place where I did not have the ability to vote, I see the exercise of my vote as a sacred duty; I owe it to the country and the people who welcomed me.

I am far from thrilled by Romney, but I am frightened of Obama, and to me, not casting a vote against him amounts to my sitting idly by while the country is raped and pillaged.

I can't do it.

Maybe, voting for Romney in Florida will be quixotic, but I will charge at that windmill with everything I have.

Romney cannot win without Florida.  He can win without Pennsylvania.

I did not say I was not going to vote.  I will definitely vote for my good conservative congressman Joe Pitts and several other candidates down ticket.  At this point, I have not decided to cast a ballot in the presidential race.  I do hope Obama loses, and I guess that means I hope Romney wins.  I also hope Liz Warren loses and Scott Brown wins.  But I can't vote for Scott Brown because he does not live in my geographical region.  In my mind, Romney does not reside within my political geography, so I can't really vote for him, either.  But I do not hold any animosity toward him, or for anyone who is supporting him.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 08, 2012, 11:16:42 am
Romney cannot win without Florida.  He can win without Pennsylvania.

I did not say I was not going to vote.  I will definitely vote for my good conservative congressman Joe Pitts and several other candidates down ticket.  At this point, I have not decided to cast a ballot in the presidential race.  I do hope Obama loses, and I guess that means I hope Romney wins.  I also hope Liz Warren loses and Scott Brown wins.  But I can't vote for Scott Brown because he does not live in my geographical region.  In my mind, Romney does not reside within my political geography, so I can't really vote for him, either.  But I do not hold any animosity toward him, or for anyone who is supporting him.



Mass:  suppose, strictly for the sake of argument, that polls showed Pennsylvania narrowing and Obama having a mere hairs' breadth lead over Romney at the end of October - would you still not vote for Romney?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 08, 2012, 11:19:09 am
Just as an aside, and to pat ourselves on our collective back, I'd like to point out that this thread is a good example of how debate on GBR is, well, debate, and not simply an angry shouting match.  We have basically one individual who is adamant about his position debating with several individuals who are just as adamant about their position, which contradicts the first individual's position and, so far, both sides have been able to articulate their positions well and no-one has devolved into angry name-calling or other derogatory comments.

Congratulations GBR!

And special thanks to Massadvj for holding his own and for not feeling that he's being ganged up on unfairly.  It takes a lot of strength of will and character to defend one's self articulately and peacefully.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on August 08, 2012, 11:41:19 am

Mass:  suppose, strictly for the sake of argument, that polls showed Pennsylvania narrowing and Obama having a mere hairs' breadth lead over Romney at the end of October - would you still not vote for Romney?

I have not decided yet.  But assuming Romney hasn't sold too much of our liberty down the drain with his campaign promises, I can see myself voting for him.  It's like saying "Suppose you are allergic to both broccoli and cauliflower.  Broccoli will kill you quickly, whereas cauliflower will kill you over the long term.  Now suppose you had to eat one of them to survive.  Which one would you choose?"

The notion that I should choose cauliflower because cauliflower is "better" seems ludicrous to me.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 08, 2012, 11:46:07 am
I have not decided yet.  But assuming Romney hasn't sold too much of our liberty down the drain with his campaign promises, I can see myself voting for him.  It's like saying "Suppose you are allergic to both broccoli and cauliflower.  Broccoli will kill you quickly, whereas cauliflower will kill you over the long term.  Now suppose you had to eat one of them to survive.  Which one would you choose?"

The notion that I should choose cauliflower because cauliflower is "better" seems ludicrous to me.

Fair enough.  But let's put you to the test:  would you choose cauliflower for the simple reason that you would have a better chance of survival, or would you instead choose to die for lack of any food at all?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: massadvj on August 08, 2012, 07:00:17 pm
Fair enough.  But let's put you to the test:  would you choose cauliflower for the simple reason that you would have a better chance of survival, or would you instead choose to die for lack of any food at all?

I guess if it came down to no food at all, I'd eat cauliflower for survival.  That may be the gist of this election, for sure.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 08, 2012, 07:19:21 pm
“If people had been in Massachusetts, under Governor Romney’s health care plan, they would have had health care,” said Saul.

IT is surrogates making statements like this that make me question if I will indeed vote for Romney here in Arizona.......
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 08, 2012, 08:03:49 pm
“If people had been in Massachusetts, under Governor Romney’s health care plan, they would have had health care,” said Saul.

IT is surrogates making statements like this that make me question if I will indeed vote for Romney here in Arizona.......

What's is the problem?

He said "REPEAL AND REPLACE"
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 08, 2012, 08:05:07 pm
What's is the problem?

He said "REPEAL AND REPLACE"

There-in lies the difference between a fiscally conservative Republican and a liberal Republican... fiscally conservative Republicans want the government the hell out of healthcare... totally.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 08, 2012, 08:25:48 pm
There-in lies the difference between a fiscally conservative Republican and a liberal Republican... fiscally conservative Republicans want the government the hell out of healthcare... totally.

No....therein lies the difference between somebody who recognizes this is a States Rights issue and the Federal Government has no business sticking their power anywhere near my health needs or demands.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 08, 2012, 08:32:07 pm
No....therein lies the difference between somebody who recognizes this is a States Rights issue and the Federal Government has no business sticking their power anywhere near my health needs or demands.

That is not what Romney said today...in his appearances today he indicated that he will play around with something new to replace Obamacare... he doesn't get that we do not want him or anyone else playing around with healthcare at a national level.........  and the fact remains that his spokesperson should never have held up Romneycare as an excuse for the lie that was/is being fomented against Romney, she should have given the facts which are quite clear -- he had nothing to do with the woman being uninsured when she came down with cancer and the fact his campaign clearly doesn't get that is troublesome........ and too indicative of the McCain campaign mis-steps in 2008.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 08, 2012, 08:37:54 pm
Rush was freaked out today out a possible loss in November.

IMHO, this is a Purrfect time for Sarah Palin to come out swinging in opposition to Romney trying to walk away from repealing Obamacare.....which almost 70% of the country opposes.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 08, 2012, 08:43:52 pm
Rush was freaked out today out a possible loss in November.

IMHO, this is a Purrfect time for Sarah Palin to come out swinging in opposition to Romney trying to walk away from repealing Obamacare.....which almost 70% of the country opposes.

Won't happen... she is not going to do anything to undermine him at this point in the election, the time for that was in the primary.... but after he is elected --IF he is elected -- then the Tea Party needs to be very vocal in holding his feet to the fire or make him a one-termer...  I refuse to go along with another mushy Republican President........    however, unless he gets a better team to speak as his behalf on TV he is going to lose.. this is two spokes-people now who have blown his campaign for him with stupid statements... that never needed to be spoken.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: mystery-ak on August 08, 2012, 08:51:23 pm
Rush was freaked out today out a possible loss in November.

IMHO, this is a Purrfect time for Sarah Palin to come out swinging in opposition to Romney trying to walk away from repealing Obamacare.....which almost 70% of the country opposes.

I know how he feels,,,not a good day for Mitt to say the least...
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Lando Lincoln on August 08, 2012, 09:24:35 pm
Romney had a bad day, but it is not "you-didn't-build-that" bad. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 12:39:30 am
There-in lies the difference between a fiscally conservative Republican and a liberal Republican... fiscally conservative Republicans want the government the hell out of healthcare... totally.

Actually, this illustrates the difference between statists and Constitutionalists.

A statist, conservative or liberal, will argue that the decision on whether to have government involvement in healthcare or not is to be decided at the Federal level, where a Constitutionalist will understand that (like abortion) the decision lies with the individual States. 

In Romney's Massachusetts, Romneycare was supported by more than 80% of the people of the State, 99% of the MA legislature, and nearly every special interest group in the State. Today 84% of the people of the State still approve of it.

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.

We have to support the people (and the legislature) of a liberal State like MA, to enact legislature like Romneycare, because in acknowledging their Constitutional right to enact that legislation, we strengthen the equally Constitutional right of a State like Alabama to outlaw abortion, should Roe v. Wade ever fall.

Insofar as Romney and Obamacare...he is on record, as late as July 11 this year, in front of a hostile crowd at the NAACP national convention, on making the repeal of Obamacare one of the first active goals of his Presidency, and Romney knows that not doing so will amount to political suicide.

I expect that he will sign any legislature that comes across his desk that will dismantle Obamacare...what we need to do if we really want Obamacare gone, is seize the Senate, maintain our hold on the House, and elect Romney.   

That takes going to the polls and voting a straight Republican ticket.

Some may argue that they will have to hold their noses, but to me, the higher stench would come from inaction based on unattainable (or unrealized) goals.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 09, 2012, 12:54:43 am
Actually, this illustrates the difference between statists and Constitutionalists.

A statist, conservative or liberal, will argue that the decision on whether to have government involvement in healthcare or not is to be decided at the Federal level, where a Constitutionalist will understand that (like abortion) the decision lies with the individual States. 

In Romney's Massachusetts, Romneycare was supported by more than 80% of the people of the State, 99% of the MA legislature, and nearly every special interest group in the State. Today 84% of the people of the State still approve of it.

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.

We have to support the people (and the legislature) of a liberal State like MA, to enact legislature like Romneycare, because in acknowledging their Constitutional right to enact that legislation, we strengthen the equally Constitutional right of a State like Alabama to outlaw abortion, should Roe v. Wade ever fall.

Insofar as Romney and Obamacare...he is on record, as late as July 11 this year, in front of a hostile crowd at the NAACP national convention, on making the repeal of Obamacare one of the first active goals of his Presidency, and Romney knows that not doing so will amount to political suicide.

I expect that he will sign any legislature that comes across his desk that will dismantle Obamacare...what we need to do if we really want Obamacare gone, is seize the Senate, maintain our hold on the House, and elect Romney.   

That takes going to the polls and voting a straight Republican ticket.

Some may argue that they will have to hold their noses, but to me, the higher stench would come from inaction based on unattainable (or unrealized) goals.

 goopo
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 09, 2012, 12:55:43 am
With respect to the larger question of whether the federal government can Constitutionally have a role to play in health care the answer is a decided "yes."  No, Congress cannot directly dictate who gets treatment and who does not, but Congress can most definitely regulate the interstate aspects of the business of providing health care.  For example, Congress could most definitely set quality standards for medical equipment that is sold in interstate commerce.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Lando Lincoln on August 09, 2012, 01:04:01 am
Actually, this illustrates the difference between statists and Constitutionalists.

A statist, conservative or liberal, will argue that the decision on whether to have government involvement in healthcare or not is to be decided at the Federal level, where a Constitutionalist will understand that (like abortion) the decision lies with the individual States. 

In Romney's Massachusetts, Romneycare was supported by more than 80% of the people of the State, 99% of the MA legislature, and nearly every special interest group in the State. Today 84% of the people of the State still approve of it.

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.

We have to support the people (and the legislature) of a liberal State like MA, to enact legislature like Romneycare, because in acknowledging their Constitutional right to enact that legislation, we strengthen the equally Constitutional right of a State like Alabama to outlaw abortion, should Roe v. Wade ever fall.

Insofar as Romney and Obamacare...he is on record, as late as July 11 this year, in front of a hostile crowd at the NAACP national convention, on making the repeal of Obamacare one of the first active goals of his Presidency, and Romney knows that not doing so will amount to political suicide.

I expect that he will sign any legislature that comes across his desk that will dismantle Obamacare...what we need to do if we really want Obamacare gone, is seize the Senate, maintain our hold on the House, and elect Romney.   

That takes going to the polls and voting a straight Republican ticket.

Some may argue that they will have to hold their noses, but to me, the higher stench would come from inaction based on unattainable (or unrealized) goals.

Good stuff Luis.  How come you used to piss me off so much? (Mostly kidding.) :beer:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 09, 2012, 01:16:08 am

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.


The Romney surrogate using Romneycare to defend the reason Romney is not responsible for the death of this man's wife has nothing to do with states rights.  It has to do with the surrogate being stupid and showing just how little Romney understands how the majority of Americans outside MA want government mandated healthcare.    It was stupid to take the discussion anywhere near the healthcare argument if the argument you were going to use was "his wife should have lived in MA"... it should have been the woman died 7 years after Romney was not longer affiliated with Bain Capital and 5 years after her husband left the company Bain purchased AND after she left her own job where SHE had insurance coverage....... in no way, shape or form was Romney responsible for this woman's death and neither Bain or Romney or Obamacare had one thing to do with her death... perhaps it would be more revealing to know what kind of cancer the woman came down with, what her lifestyle was and what led to her leaving her job where she had insurance.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 09, 2012, 01:22:57 am

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.


The Romney surrogate using Romneycare to defend the reason Romney is not responsible for the death of this man's wife has nothing to do with states rights.  It has to do with the surrogate being stupid and showing just how little Romney understands how the majority of Americans outside MA want government mandated healthcare.    It was stupid to take the discussion anywhere near the healthcare argument if the argument you were going to use was "his wife should have lived in MA"... it should have been the woman died 7 years after Romney was not longer affiliated with Bain Capital and 5 years after her husband left the company Bain purchased AND after she left her own job where SHE had insurance coverage....... in no way, shape or form was Romney responsible for this woman's death and neither Bain or Romney or Obamacare had one thing to do with her death... perhaps it would be more revealing to know what kind of cancer the woman came down with, what her lifestyle was and what led to her leaving her job where she had insurance.

Rap, the surrogate knew that she didn't want to get down in the gutter defending who didn't 'kill' his wife.

Why argue such a ridiculous charge?  Plus, she didn't know at the time, that the guy was offered a buyout....or she would have worked that in her statement.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 09, 2012, 01:34:25 am
Rap, the surrogate knew that she didn't want to get down in the gutter defending who didn't 'kill' his wife.

Why argue such a ridiculous charge?  Plus, she didn't know at the time, that the guy was offered a buyout....or she would have worked that in her statement.

DC she "should" have been smart and savy enough to tell the questioner that Governor Romney is sorry the man lost his wife, but he in no manner, shape, or form had any connection to her death either in a direct or indirect manner.  No way should she have said what she said... anyone saying what she did does not belong in the job of spokesperson.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: famousdayandyear on August 09, 2012, 01:50:50 am
DC she "should" have been smart and savy enough to tell the questioner that Governor Romney is sorry the man lost his wife, but he in no manner, shape, or form had any connection to her death either in a direct or indirect manner.  No way should she have said what she said... anyone saying what she did does not belong in the job of spokesperson.

Clueless spokesman.  What a concept from the Romney campaign.  Why not hire the best and the brightest in the campaign to save us from total tyranny?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 09, 2012, 02:03:01 am
Andrea Saul CV = spokesperson Charlie Crist = Spokesperson John McCain 2008... WHY would anyone hire her for a spokesperson in 2012!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 02:54:20 am
With respect to the larger question of whether the federal government can Constitutionally have a role to play in health care the answer is a decided "yes."  No, Congress cannot directly dictate who gets treatment and who does not, but Congress can most definitely regulate the interstate aspects of the business of providing health care.  For example, Congress could most definitely set quality standards for medical equipment that is sold in interstate commerce.

Actually, what you are describing is an expansion of the Commerce Clause, beyond what may have been the original intent of the clause.

Article I, Section 8, Clause 3:[2]
[The Congress shall have Power] To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian tribes;

Congress did not invoke the Commerce Clause for the first 100 years of our existence, and the original intent was to deny the sort of discriminatory State legislation that had been previously permitted under the Articles of Confederation, such as passing legislation which would prohibit goods manufactured in one State to be sold within the boundaries of the State generating the legislation.

Many Constitutional scholars describe the original intent of the Clause as being more of a directive to Congress to regulate the manner under which Commerce would be conducted, but not in the current endless powers that Congress has given itself to regulate, dictate, and control commerce, manufacturing, and even what one may do with the fruit of one's own land.

In your specific example, the originalists would respond that the Commerce Clause would require that the manufacturers of medical equipment sold in in interstate commerce would supply full disclosure of all information pertaining to the equipment they manufactured, that they would provide proof of liability coverage, and absorb all costs associated with their equipment harming end users due to flaws in manufacturing.

Given that minimalist view, the market itself would weed out substandard, inadequate, and poorly manufactured and designed equipment, and those manufacturers would simply fail.

In today's acceptance of the nanny nature of the current definition of the Commerce Clause, as stated above, substandard equipment meeting minimal government standards, built more economically and sold at a lower cost to the consumer, would control the marketplace, destroy the market for better equipment that exceeds those standards, is manufactured better, and is more efficient. As a result, the market suffers, quality suffers, and eventually, the very consumers that excessive regulatory actions under an expansive definition of the Commerce Clause sought to protect, would suffer the greatest of all.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 02:57:49 am

If we are to believe, as we should believe, that politicians serve the people who elected them, then we have to understand that, in the case of Romneycare at least, Mitt Romney and the MA legislature acted as the people who elected them wanted to act.


The Romney surrogate using Romneycare to defend the reason Romney is not responsible for the death of this man's wife has nothing to do with states rights.  It has to do with the surrogate being stupid and showing just how little Romney understands how the majority of Americans outside MA want government mandated healthcare.    It was stupid to take the discussion anywhere near the healthcare argument if the argument you were going to use was "his wife should have lived in MA"... it should have been the woman died 7 years after Romney was not longer affiliated with Bain Capital and 5 years after her husband left the company Bain purchased AND after she left her own job where SHE had insurance coverage....... in no way, shape or form was Romney responsible for this woman's death and neither Bain or Romney or Obamacare had one thing to do with her death... perhaps it would be more revealing to know what kind of cancer the woman came down with, what her lifestyle was and what led to her leaving her job where she had insurance.

I have absolutely no clue what your response has to do with my quote.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 03:11:01 am
Good stuff Luis.  How come you used to piss me off so much? (Mostly kidding.) :beer:

It's a talent I have.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rapunzel on August 09, 2012, 03:16:26 am
I have absolutely no clue what your response has to do with my quote.

Because your quote going on about how great MA thinks Romneycare is has nothing to do with the subject at hand. 

I could care less if MA likes Romneycare or doesn't like Romneycare, he is running for President of the USA, not MA and the majority of Americans who will be voting are not in favor of Obamacare. 

This is not a states rights issue it is a surrogate who totally shot the campaign in the foot today problem... same as the etcha-sketch guy a couple of months ago.......


 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 09, 2012, 03:28:20 am
Because your quote going on about how great MA thinks Romneycare is has nothing to do with the subject at hand. 

I could care less if MA likes Romneycare or doesn't like Romneycare, he is running for President of the USA, not MA and the majority of Americans who will be voting are not in favor of Obamacare. 

This is not a states rights issue it is a surrogate who totally shot the campaign in the foot today problem... same as the etcha-sketch guy a couple of months ago.......

Not that he needs it but I am going to defend Luis on this one.

He was not comparing or referring to what happened today. He was only  explaining what are states rights issues and what the majority in Mass wanted.
I did not take his comment to mean anything but that.

We are all upset today that the  Idiot Andrea Saul screwed the pooch and should be fired, IMO. But that wasn't what his comment was about.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 03:34:25 am
Because your quote going on about how great MA thinks Romneycare is has nothing to do with the subject at hand. 

I could care less if MA likes Romneycare or doesn't like Romneycare, he is running for President of the USA, not MA and the majority of Americans who will be voting are not in favor of Obamacare. 

This is not a states rights issue it is a surrogate who totally shot the campaign in the foot today problem... same as the etcha-sketch guy a couple of months ago.......

I don't respond to the subject, I joined a ongoing conversation at a point when the conversation engaged me, and it appears that other members and admins in the group seemed to appreciate my post.

I discuss what I wish to discuss, when I wish to discuss it, and with whom I wish to discuss it.

You can opine at will, that's your prerogative, but this thread began long before the surrogate issue came into being this morning, so how this discussion should revolve around an issue that did not exist at the time that the thread was posted is a tad confusing.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 03:35:02 am
Not that he needs it but I am going to defend Luis on this one.

He was not comparing or referring to what happened today. He was only  explaining what are states rights issues and what the majority in Mass wanted.
I did not take his comment to mean anything but that.

We are all upset today that the  Idiot Andrea Saul screwed the pooch and should be fired, IMO. But that wasn't what his comment was about.

Thanks.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 09, 2012, 04:11:38 am
Thanks.

Well we are all pissed off today given what Andrea Saul did on Fox, so emotions are high and things can get misconstrued. It happens..
I just wanted everyone on the same page!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Rivergirl on August 09, 2012, 07:26:02 am
Thanks.

Well I am fit to be tied because Hannity couldn't wait to exploit this dumbass woman's comments.

Were they more important than the BIG LIE.  Hell NO.  But ratings demand that these people trash Romney.   Might be good TV but the future of our country depends on us ridding ourselves of the leftist trash in the white house.

JMO
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 09, 2012, 10:48:10 am
Well I am fit to be tied because Hannity couldn't wait to exploit this dumbass woman's comments.

Were they more important than the BIG LIE.  Hell NO.  But ratings demand that these people trash Romney.   Might be good TV but the future of our country depends on us ridding ourselves of the leftist trash in the white house.

JMO

You are right, but the problem is Mitt's surrogates need to tighten up what they say! This woman was a disaster! She didn't really stick to the topic of the lie, she had to mention Romneycare.. Anyone with any sense, would have never done that!!

Mitt needs to come out and be forceful against all the obama machine crap! If he doesn't have people who can be pitbulls, then replace them with ones who can :patriot:
We do have to win! It is more important than anything in our lifetime!
but put the people in front of the cameras that can get the job done correctly!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 09, 2012, 10:50:27 am
One more thing! Anyone on this forum could have handled that interview 100% better than Andrea did today! We all have the facts and we all know better than to give Obama ammunition!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 09, 2012, 11:11:15 am
Actually, what you are describing is an expansion of the Commerce Clause, beyond what may have been the original intent of the clause.

Article I, Section 8, Clause 3:[2]
[The Congress shall have Power] To regulate Commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian tribes;

Congress did not invoke the Commerce Clause for the first 100 years of our existence, and the original intent was to deny the sort of discriminatory State legislation that had been previously permitted under the Articles of Confederation, such as passing legislation which would prohibit goods manufactured in one State to be sold within the boundaries of the State generating the legislation.

Many Constitutional scholars describe the original intent of the Clause as being more of a directive to Congress to regulate the manner under which Commerce would be conducted, but not in the current endless powers that Congress has given itself to regulate, dictate, and control commerce, manufacturing, and even what one may do with the fruit of one's own land.

In your specific example, the originalists would respond that the Commerce Clause would require that the manufacturers of medical equipment sold in in interstate commerce would supply full disclosure of all information pertaining to the equipment they manufactured, that they would provide proof of liability coverage, and absorb all costs associated with their equipment harming end users due to flaws in manufacturing.

Given that minimalist view, the market itself would weed out substandard, inadequate, and poorly manufactured and designed equipment, and those manufacturers would simply fail.

In today's acceptance of the nanny nature of the current definition of the Commerce Clause, as stated above, substandard equipment meeting minimal government standards, built more economically and sold at a lower cost to the consumer, would control the marketplace, destroy the market for better equipment that exceeds those standards, is manufactured better, and is more efficient. As a result, the market suffers, quality suffers, and eventually, the very consumers that excessive regulatory actions under an expansive definition of the Commerce Clause sought to protect, would suffer the greatest of all.

Very simply:  nope. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 09, 2012, 02:58:19 pm
Very simply:  nope.

Can't argue against that level of eloquence.

We'll agree to disagree.

I just don't see the original intent of the Commerce Clause being so broad that it allows the Justice Department to shut down a private farm because the milk it produces for self-consumption may impact interstate commerce.

That expansive view of the Commerce Clause is wrong. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: famousdayandyear on August 09, 2012, 10:44:10 pm
Not that he needs it but I am going to defend Luis on this one.

He was not comparing or referring to what happened today. He was only  explaining what are states rights issues and what the majority in Mass wanted.
I did not take his comment to mean anything but that.

We are all upset today that the  Idiot Andrea Saul screwed the pooch and should be fired, IMO. But that wasn't what his comment was about.

From a borderline newbie.  I'm taken back when a mod intervenes when Rap can take the on the issue when necessary.  His comment had NOTHING to do with Rap's post.  How in the h3ll did the Commerce Clause work itself it this thread. 

BTW:  Verbosity does not equal clarity. 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 12:06:28 am
From a borderline newbie.  I'm taken back when a mod intervenes when Rap can take the on the issue when necessary.  His comment had NOTHING to do with Rap's post.  How in the h3ll did the Commerce Clause work itself it this thread. 

BTW:  Verbosity does not equal clarity.

Having read all the rules and regs on the site, I fail to find that "stick strictly to the posted topic" one, in fact, I've seen the forum's ownership take off on tangents that had nothing to do with the posted topics.

Having said all that...

You're a newbie like I am a newbie.

We know each other, and for a long time.

You're not using your real fake name, are you?

We have history, don't we?

I love a mystery.

Hmmmm...



Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 12:20:55 am
From a borderline newbie.  I'm taken back when a mod intervenes when Rap can take the on the issue when necessary.  His comment had NOTHING to do with Rap's post.  How in the h3ll did the Commerce Clause work itself it this thread. 

BTW:  Verbosity does not equal clarity.

P.S. One slight, but rather significant correction to your post:

Quote
"I'm taken back when a mod Administrator intervenes..."

I'm guessing that in the pecking order, Admin gets the best grain.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: famousdayandyear on August 10, 2012, 12:24:59 am
oops.  my bad.  I forgot about the protected minority thing.   8888crybaby
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on August 10, 2012, 12:40:17 am

I don't mind folks going on tangents (like I'm doing now).  It's just bandwidth.  I use the little wheel thingy on my mouse, it's called scrolling.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 12:48:14 am
oops.  my bad.  I forgot about the protected minority thing.   8888crybaby

Yeah...I know you.

The tone of that post just set my senses a-tingling.

It will come to me...keep talking.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: famousdayandyear on August 10, 2012, 01:10:46 am
Yeah...I know you.

The tone of that post just set my senses a-tingling.

It will come to me...keep talking.

My original post was about Rap's legitimate statement and about what I discerned was an OT response from you.  Nothing more.  If I am wrong, I apologize to you Luis Gonzalez.  And also that I felt an intervention from a mod was unnecessary/  If I am wrong, again, I apologize to you Luis.  If you accept my apology, that's great.  If not, well I'll live with it.  Pax and Bonum
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 01:25:08 am
My original post was about Rap's legitimate statement and about what I discerned was an OT response from you.  Nothing more.  If I am wrong, I apologize to you Luis Gonzalez.  And also that I felt an intervention from a mod was unnecessary/  If I am wrong, again, I apologize to you Luis.  If you accept my apology, that's great.  If not, well I'll live with it.  Pax and Bonum

We probably met in FR. I say that because I met most anyone in FR, and I've always used my name. I've used an occasional nom de plume, but that was usually to mess with Sabertooth (I wish he was still around)...I digress.

We probably became adversaries over one issue or another, mostly based on my libertarian leanings, and my sarcastic nature; we may at one point or another, become friendly to a degree, but that probably didn't last long.

(I'm liking the narrative!)

Then here we are.

I am still using my real name, and you're not using your real fake name.

It's a matter of time, you know that...don't you?

Style and syntax never really changes.

 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Lipstick on a Hillary on August 10, 2012, 01:34:07 am
My original post was about Rap's legitimate statement and about what I discerned was an OT response from you.  Nothing more.  If I am wrong, I apologize to you Luis Gonzalez.  And also that I felt an intervention from a mod was unnecessary/ 

Agreed.  The over reaction is usually totally unnecessary, too.  :odrama:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: mystery-ak on August 10, 2012, 01:49:21 am
This maybe the time to interject a little feature we have here at TBR...not saying it is needed..just a reminder that it is available..lol

 How to activate the Ignore Feature!!! (http://gopbriefingroom.com/index.php?topic=78366.0)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 10, 2012, 02:07:00 am
Can't argue against that level of eloquence.

We'll agree to disagree.

I just don't see the original intent of the Commerce Clause being so broad that it allows the Justice Department to shut down a private farm because the milk it produces for self-consumption may impact interstate commerce.

That expansive view of the Commerce Clause is wrong. 

With respect to farms producing for self-consumption we quite agree.  Wickard v. Filburn - or at least the precedent that case is taken for now - was wrongly decided, and the recent Obamacare ruling from the Supreme Court impliedly backstopped that conclusion; there are now at least 3 cases that have found limits to the reach of the Commerce Clause.

However, that was not the context in which I set my statement.  A business that manufactures medical devices is most assuredly engaged in commerce and under reasonable Supreme Court jurisprudence is most likely engaged in interstate commerce.  Accordingly, Congress can regulate that business.  Even if that business makes absolutely sure that it sells nothing outside the borders of its home state it is still engaged in interstate commerce in this day and age.  If the Commerce Clause could not, in general, reach most intrastate businesses, on the conclusion that the only commerce that Congress could regulate was that which actually crossed a state line - and then only at the time of crossing the state line, you would end up with a formalism that would make a mockery of the underlying purposes of the Commerce Clause.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 04:09:57 am
With respect to farms producing for self-consumption we quite agree.  Wickard v. Filburn - or at least the precedent that case is taken for now - was wrongly decided, and the recent Obamacare ruling from the Supreme Court impliedly backstopped that conclusion; there are now at least 3 cases that have found limits to the reach of the Commerce Clause.

However, that was not the context in which I set my statement.  A business that manufactures medical devices is most assuredly engaged in commerce and under reasonable Supreme Court jurisprudence is most likely engaged in interstate commerce.  Accordingly, Congress can regulate that business.  Even if that business makes absolutely sure that it sells nothing outside the borders of its home state it is still engaged in interstate commerce in this day and age.  If the Commerce Clause could not, in general, reach most intrastate businesses, on the conclusion that the only commerce that Congress could regulate was that which actually crossed a state line - and then only at the time of crossing the state line, you would end up with a formalism that would make a mockery of the underlying purposes of the Commerce Clause.

OK, so we're arguing a lawyer's view of the actual expansion of the Commerce Clause vs. a Constitutional originalist's understanding of it.

In United States v. Lopez, Clarence Thomas pointed out that "the Commerce Clause does not state that Congress may “regulate matters that substantially affect commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian Tribes”, in fact the Constitution grants Congress the power to "regulate Commerce....among the several States", which is best interpreted as setting the standards of how Commerce may be discharged, but not which commerce, or which standards of commerce (at the time of the ratification of the Constitution, 'Commerce' consisted of buying, selling, bartering, and transporting for the aforementioned purposes) would be allowed to exists at the whim of Congressional actions. In fact, in The Federalist papers often uses the term "commerce" in contradistinction to productive activities such as building and manufacturing.

So, an originalist will see the Commerce Clause as simply a directive given to Congress to regulate how commerce (buying, selling, bartering, and transporting to achieve those acts) is conducted among the several States etc, and not impact production and manufacturing, which is your view.

If the original intent of the Commerce Clause was to give Congress the power that you believe it grants them, or as I said above, a Clause that regulated matters which substantially affect commerce, then, when coupled with the traditional understanding of the Necessary and Proper Clause, many of Congress' enumerated powers under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution would be rendered superfluous.

Why take the time to grant Congress the power to coin money, to enact bankruptcy laws, to fix the standards of weights and measures, to punish counterfeiters, establish post offices, and grant patents, when obviously all these things substantially affect Commerce among the several States, and would be included in that expansive interpretation of the Commerce Clause that we have arrived at today?

In fact, there then is absolutely nothing out of the regulatory reach of Congress under this definition of the Commerce Clause, because everything that we do today involves interstate commerce.

In Federalist #42, James Madison observed that bankruptcy power (laws) “intimately connected with the regulation of commerce” which is obviously correct, but, it also points out that when the Framers intended to grant Federal power over an activity which substantially impacted interstate commerce, they enumerated a specific power over that activity.

While lawyers may be forced to dwell within the expansions arrived at by precedents and built-up interpretations which distort the original intent of the clear and precise wording of the Constitution, I am not restricted by either.

I see the Constitution as a simple, and direct set of instructions.
 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: pjohns on August 10, 2012, 04:22:30 am
Romney himself isn't that exciting, I just looked at the list of potential VP's on Drudge and think this is going to be more boring than 2008. At least Palin injected some lifeblood into the campaign.

Pawlenty? That's who it looks like it's going to be? PLEASE you gotta be kidding me, he didn't look like he could fight his way out of a wet paper bag ...

Tim Pawlenty was the Flavor of the Week, a couple of weeks ago.  But I continue to believe that either Rob Portman, Marco Rubio, or Paul Ryan is much more likely to be the evential veep pick.

Of these, the latter two are far from plain vanilla.

Still, it is often true that the vice-presidential nominee turns out to be someone who was never on the radar.  (How many people, for instance, predicted that Sarah Palin would be John McCain's choice in 2008?  In fact, how many people, outside of the state of Alaska, had even heard of her?)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 10, 2012, 11:58:11 am
OK, so we're arguing a lawyer's view of the actual expansion of the Commerce Clause vs. a Constitutional originalist's understanding of it.

In United States v. Lopez, Clarence Thomas pointed out that "the Commerce Clause does not state that Congress may “regulate matters that substantially affect commerce with foreign Nations, and among the several States, and with the Indian Tribes”, in fact the Constitution grants Congress the power to "regulate Commerce....among the several States", which is best interpreted as setting the standards of how Commerce may be discharged, but not which commerce, or which standards of commerce (at the time of the ratification of the Constitution, 'Commerce' consisted of buying, selling, bartering, and transporting for the aforementioned purposes) would be allowed to exists at the whim of Congressional actions. In fact, in The Federalist papers often uses the term "commerce" in contradistinction to productive activities such as building and manufacturing.

So, an originalist will see the Commerce Clause as simply a directive given to Congress to regulate how commerce (buying, selling, bartering, and transporting to achieve those acts) is conducted among the sevaral States etc, and not impact production and manufacturing, which is your view.

If the original intent of the Commerce Clause was to give Congress the power that you believe it grants them, or as I said above, a Clause that regulated matters which substantially affect commerce, then, when coupled with the traditional understanding of the Necessary and Proper Clause, many of Congress' enumerated powers under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution would be rendered superfluous.

Why take the time to grant Congress the power to coin money, to enact bankruptcy laws, to fix the standards of weights and measures, to punish counterfeiters, establish post offices, and grant patents, when obviously all these things substantially affect Commerce among the several States, and would be included in that expansive interpretation of the Commerce Clause that we have arrived at today?

In fact, there then is absolutely nothing out of the regulatory reach of Congress under this definition of the Commerce Clause, because everything that we do today involves interstate commerce.

In Federalist #42, James Madison observed that bankruptcy power (laws) “intimately connected with the regulation of commerce” which is obviously correct, but, it also points out that when the Framers intended to grant Federal power over an activity which substantially impacted interstate commerce, they enumerated a specific power over that activity.

While lawyers may be forced to dwell within the expansions arrived at by precedents and built-up interpretations which distort the original intent of the clear and precise wording of the Constitution, I am not restricted by either.

I see the Constitution as a simple, and direct set of instructions.
 

The Constitution is neither simple, nor direct, and it certainly isn't a set of instructions in the sense that a recipe is a set of instructions.

With respect to limiting the Commerce Clause to merely regulating the mode of buying or selling, that eviscerates the Commerce Clause.  How?  Very simple:  State A, which wishes to protect its internal markets from out-of-state markets prescribes extremely high quality standards for products coming from out-of-state, and a much more relaxed set of standards for in-state products.  Basis?  Because in-state producers will be familiar with the needs and requirements of their own fellow state citizens than would out-of-state producers and any in-state producer can be readily prosecuted for failing to meet those standards than could an out-of-state producer because the state already has in personam jurisdiction over the in-state producers and the ability to quickly shut down in-state production facilities; chasing down an out-of-state producer could prove impossible since the police power of State A does not extend into the territory of any other state (by definition).

That is a rational basis for discriminating between in-state commerce and out-of-state commerce, and if left alone would effectively permit State A to embargo out-of-state goods and circumscribe the existence of a national market for goods; furthermore, if State A also provided that the producers of any other state would be subject to the lower standards if that other state were to mandate that its in-state producers comply and that they subject themselves to State A's jurisdiction, it would allow states to create little enclaves of trade.  It would also set up the possibility of trade wars, wherein various states use their general police powers to establish standards and rules that discriminate against out-of-state goods as a means of retaliating against one or more other states.

Balkanizing the national markets and engaging in trade wars by setting product standards that discriminate against the goods produced in one or more other states is the antithesis of the basis for the Commerce Clause.  However, under your reading of the Commerce Clause Congress would be powerless to prevent this because none of the rules imposed by the states directly regulates buying or selling:  provided an out-of-state producer complies with the heightened standards required by State A, that out-of-state producer is more than welcome to sell its wares in State A.

Bottom line:  in order to effectively regulate commerce between the states and to prevent the balkanization of the national market and the risks of interstate trade wars, Congress must be able to regulate rules that relate to the standards for goods that move in interstate commerce and must have the power to limit or reject standards that have the effect of discriminating between in-state and out-of-state goods.

Furthermore, interstate commerce is necessarily dependent on the roads, rail lines, and other infrastructure through which goods flow from producers to consumers; that infrastructure is part and parcel of the instrumentalities of interstate commerce.  Without the ability to impose regulations on those instrumentalities, the states could again engage in discrimination against out-of-state commerce; for example, State A could mandate a gauge for rail lines within the state that do not match the gauge used by any surrounding state.  Out-of-state producers wanting to ship goods into State A for sale in State A would then be put to the costly exercise of bringing their goods to a rail head in an adjacent state, offloading the goods and transshiping them to a rail head in State A, and then shipping them to their destination(s) in State A.  Since in-state producers would not face that burden, State A would have effectively discriminated between in-state and out-of-state commerce and under your interpretation of the Commerce Clause there would be nothing Congress could do about it because State A's actions merely concerned rail standards, not whether an out-of-state producer could sell its wares in State A.

Finally, there is the so-called "Dormant Commerce Clause" jurisprudence of the Supreme Court under which a state is prevented from engaging in activity that interferes with interstate commerce even if Congress has not imposed any regulation on the subject matter; for a state to engage in such activity, there must be some express or directly implied authorization from Congress first.

Without the ability to reach standards imposed on the quality of goods or standards imposed on in-state infrastructure used to move goods in interstate commerce, or the courts' ability to block activity that interferes with interstate commerce in areas where Congress has chosen not to impose affirmative regulations, the intent of the Commerce Clause and the policies that underly it, intent and policy expressed by the Founders themselves, the Commerce Clause is effectively eviscerated.

Once we admit the necessity of allowing Congress to reach such areas that are, technically speaking, beyond the simple and direct instruction of the Commerce Clause, then we are only discussing the extent to which Congress may reach in those areas, not whether or not Congress can act in those areas at all.  In other words, as my crim law professor used to say, "now that we've established you're a prostitute, let's rediscuss your price."
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: aligncare on August 10, 2012, 11:59:53 am
Still, it is often true that the vice-presidential nominee turns out to be someone who was never on the radar.

No matter who Romney picks, the democrats and their media lap-dogs will pummel the nominee, stopping just short of accusations of mass murder and cannibalism. 

Rubio continues to intrigue me.  And as for his not being a natural born citizen, it didn't stop our Kenyan born president's messianic rise.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 10, 2012, 12:02:20 pm
No matter who Romney picks, the democrats and their media lap-dogs will pummel the nominee, stopping just short of accusations of mass murder and cannibalism. 

Rubio continues to intrigue me.  And as for his not being a natural born citizen, it didn't stop our Kenyan born president's messianic rise.

Of course, which is why Romney must be careful to pick someone who has either already been tested under fire or who has the ability to withstand that fire.  There are, I believe, some recent examples of what can go wrong if the candidate does not carefully consider these matters before making her, or his, selection of running mate.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Lando Lincoln on August 10, 2012, 01:16:37 pm
I just want to add something to the thread but I can't think of anything.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 10, 2012, 01:36:57 pm
I just want to add something to the thread but I can't think of anything.

 :beer:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 02:16:40 pm
The Constitution is neither simple, nor direct, and it certainly isn't a set of instructions in the sense that a recipe is a set of instructions.

With respect to limiting the Commerce Clause to merely regulating the mode of buying or selling, that eviscerates the Commerce Clause.  How?  Very simple:  State A, which wishes to protect its internal markets from out-of-state markets prescribes extremely high quality standards for products coming from out-of-state, and a much more relaxed set of standards for in-state products.  Basis?  Because in-state producers will be familiar with the needs and requirements of their own fellow state citizens than would out-of-state producers and any in-state producer can be readily prosecuted for failing to meet those standards than could an out-of-state producer because the state already has in personam jurisdiction over the in-state producers and the ability to quickly shut down in-state production facilities; chasing down an out-of-state producer could prove impossible since the police power of State A does not extend into the territory of any other state (by definition).

That is a rational basis for discriminating between in-state commerce and out-of-state commerce, and if left alone would effectively permit State A to embargo out-of-state goods and circumscribe the existence of a national market for goods; furthermore, if State A also provided that the producers of any other state would be subject to the lower standards if that other state were to mandate that its in-state producers comply and that they subject themselves to State A's jurisdiction, it would allow states to create little enclaves of trade.  It would also set up the possibility of trade wars, wherein various states use their general police powers to establish standards and rules that discriminate against out-of-state goods as a means of retaliating against one or more other states.

Balkanizing the national markets and engaging in trade wars by setting product standards that discriminate against the goods produced in one or more other states is the antithesis of the basis for the Commerce Clause.  However, under your reading of the Commerce Clause Congress would be powerless to prevent this because none of the rules imposed by the states directly regulates buying or selling:  provided an out-of-state producer complies with the heightened standards required by State A, that out-of-state producer is more than welcome to sell its wares in State A.

Bottom line:  in order to effectively regulate commerce between the states and to prevent the balkanization of the national market and the risks of interstate trade wars, Congress must be able to regulate rules that relate to the standards for goods that move in interstate commerce and must have the power to limit or reject standards that have the effect of discriminating between in-state and out-of-state goods.

Furthermore, interstate commerce is necessarily dependent on the roads, rail lines, and other infrastructure through which goods flow from producers to consumers; that infrastructure is part and parcel of the instrumentalities of interstate commerce.  Without the ability to impose regulations on those instrumentalities, the states could again engage in discrimination against out-of-state commerce; for example, State A could mandate a gauge for rail lines within the state that do not match the gauge used by any surrounding state.  Out-of-state producers wanting to ship goods into State A for sale in State A would then be put to the costly exercise of bringing their goods to a rail head in an adjacent state, offloading the goods and transshiping them to a rail head in State A, and then shipping them to their destination(s) in State A.  Since in-state producers would not face that burden, State A would have effectively discriminated between in-state and out-of-state commerce and under your interpretation of the Commerce Clause there would be nothing Congress could do about it because State A's actions merely concerned rail standards, not whether an out-of-state producer could sell its wares in State A.

Finally, there is the so-called "Dormant Commerce Clause" jurisprudence of the Supreme Court under which a state is prevented from engaging in activity that interferes with interstate commerce even if Congress has not imposed any regulation on the subject matter; for a state to engage in such activity, there must be some express or directly implied authorization from Congress first.

Without the ability to reach standards imposed on the quality of goods or standards imposed on in-state infrastructure used to move goods in interstate commerce, or the courts' ability to block activity that interferes with interstate commerce in areas where Congress has chosen not to impose affirmative regulations, the intent of the Commerce Clause and the policies that underly it, intent and policy expressed by the Founders themselves, the Commerce Clause is effectively eviscerated.

Once we admit the necessity of allowing Congress to reach such areas that are, technically speaking, beyond the simple and direct instruction of the Commerce Clause, then we are only discussing the extent to which Congress may reach in those areas, not whether or not Congress can act in those areas at all.  In other words, as my crim law professor used to say, "now that we've established you're a prostitute, let's rediscuss your price."

Your disagreement with Clarence Thomas is noted, as is your reasoning why the Commerce Clause has been expanded beyond its original boundaries.

Creating a higher standard of manufacturing for out-of-state products than for in-state produced products is a negative thing?

Only if you fail to take into consideration the fact that the disproportionate tariffs assigned to automobiles manufactured outside the US has not deterred the ability of BMW, Audi, Mercedes Benz, Volvo and others to nearly dominate the luxury car segment in the US. The same would be the case with the inequity in manufacturing standards that you made the central point of your post, since it would create a de facto luxury/high performance market dominated by external products, making the locally manufactured product either give up that segment of the market, or be forced to manufacture their goods to the higher standard set in place for the out-of-state manufacturers in order to compete for it.

You seem to believe that government can manage the market, where I believe that a market less impacted by negative externalities created by government intervention is a more efficient, better market, with those benefits flowing down to the end users.

Under an originalist view of the Commerce Clause one State cannot embargo product from other States, but if it attempted to, that embargo would entail prohibiting the transportation of goods into its markets for the purposes of conducting commerce, and run afoul of the very purpose of the Clause: having the power to regulate such actions by States. In addition, that State action would create a situation that the verbiage of Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution calls a controversy "between two or more states;--between a state and citizens of another state", since individual wishing to engage in trade with a neighboring State would be disallowed to do so.

The idea that lacking your expansive interpretation of the Commerce Clause, the national market would be balkanized is ironic, the segmented market has always existed, divided by the spending ability of the consumer. I can buy my children $20 sneakers, or I can buy them $180 sneakers, depending on my ability (and willingness) to pay either sum, but the fact that the $20 sneaker exists, has not impacted the $180 sneaker market in the least bit; both markets thrive.

Yes, I understand the concept of the "Dormant Commerce Claus", yet another way for the Federal government to overstep its Constitutional limits, and expand its powers without the burden of amending the Constitution. I don't like the idea that there exists a practice in the Federal system which allows the government to act at will, without constraints, as it sees fit.

I don't look at government the same way that you do. You seem to believe in a government that sees its citizenry as possible hapless victims of an unregulated market, and goes about the business of protecting us from unscrupulous merchants. But the flaw in your logic is that any set of manufacturing standards set in place by a State government, must necessarily be set at the lowest common manufacturing standard, otherwise it would make it impossible for manufacturing in the State to thrive. That, coupled with your imaginary higher standard of manufacturing set in place for out-of-State products would in fact create that $20 and $180 sneaker market, with out of State manufacturers controlling the luxury sneaker market.

"Commerce" is commerce, and manufacturing is manufacturing, and Congress and the Courts have expanded the meaning of the word "commerce" way beyond its original meaning, and the Commerce Clause far beyond its original intent.   
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 10, 2012, 02:17:44 pm
I just want to add something to the thread but I can't think of anything.

I'm nominating your post for Best In Thread.

 :beer:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: 69FenderStrat on August 11, 2012, 12:08:14 am
: The solution for a Romney win, we put a picture of Newt on Barrys face, Romney will beat the crap outa Barr-Barr
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Queen on August 11, 2012, 12:59:35 am
I just want to add something to the thread but I can't think of anything.

By the time I thought of something to say, the topic had changed again. I'm always late to the party.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 11, 2012, 01:00:14 am
By the time I thought of something to say, the topic had changed again. I'm always late to the party.

But you look marvelous!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: DCPatriot on August 11, 2012, 01:03:29 am
But you look marvelous!



(http://i237.photobucket.com/albums/ff302/ksluecke/TheQueen.gif)


Hmmh.....not so sure.  She's walking like she's about to whoop your a$$!
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 11, 2012, 01:08:45 am


(http://i237.photobucket.com/albums/ff302/ksluecke/TheQueen.gif)


Hmmh.....not so sure.  She's walking like she's about to whoop your a$$!

She's ALWAYS walking like she's about to whoop my ass.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 11, 2012, 01:16:29 am
Your disagreement with Clarence Thomas is noted, as is your reasoning why the Commerce Clause has been expanded beyond its original boundaries.

And disagreeing with J. Thomas makes me, what, an idiot?  As for expansions, tell me:  did the Founders have cellphones?  No?  Well then, under a strictly originalist interpretation cellphones cannot have been included in the 4th Amendment, therefore they aren't subject to the prohibition on unreasonable searches and seizures.  What about computers?  Since the Founders didn't have them, they aren't subject to the prohibition on unreasonable searches and seizures.

Even J. Thomas isn't a naive originalist.

Try again.

Quote
Creating a higher standard of manufacturing for out-of-state products than for in-state produced products is a negative thing?

If your object is to promote interstate commerce, the answer is yes.  Do you want a concrete example of what happens when states are permitted to impose restrictions that have the effect of preventing interstate commerce?  Health insurance.  The McCarran Ferguson Act permits states to impose anti-competitive restrictions on health insurance, restrictions that impede interstate commerce.  One huge effect of that:  higher premiums and an inability to obtain the insurance you want simply because the idiots in state government think you should have more coverage than you either want or need.

If you think this is a good thing, then your opposition to most health care reform rings rather hollow.

Quote
Only if you fail to take into consideration the fact that the disproportionate tariffs assigned to automobiles manufactured outside the US has not deterred the ability of BMW, Audi, Mercedes Benz, Volvo and others to nearly dominate the luxury car segment in the US. The same would be the case with the inequity in manufacturing standards that you made the central point of your post, since it would create a de facto luxury/high performance market dominated by external products, making the locally manufactured product either give up that segment of the market, or be forced to manufacture their goods to the higher standard set in place for the out-of-state manufacturers in order to compete for it.

What?  That makes little sense, but I'll give it the old college try anyways.  Your first sentence is baloney.  The disproportionate tariffs imposed on foreign autos has distorted the market - it's made those cars more expensive than they would otherwise be - that is a stupid thing to do.  However, the mere existence of a distortionary effect doesn't mean that the market will simply cease to exist, it means that it won't operate as efficiently as it should, that capital will be misallocated, and that we will all end up paying a higher price for goods than we ought to.

In point of fact, not only does it raise the prices on foreign cars, it raises the prices on domestic cars because the domestic makers arbitrage that tariff wedge to sell their cars at higher prices than they would otherwise command in a non-distorted market.

That is a bad thing.  Nothing I have said argues otherwise and, in fact, that is precisely what the Commerce Clause was intended to prevent - the individual states imposing internal tariffs that resulted in inefficient markets and higher prices than would hold without those tariffs.  The same goes for all other forms of market-distorting actions by state governments.

Quote
You seem to believe that government can manage the market, where I believe that a market less impacted by negative externalities created by government intervention is a more efficient, better market, with those benefits flowing down to the end users.

Bullshit.  I apologize to the rest of the audience for the profanity, but if that's what you think I'm saying then you really should be studying remedial English.  I never said the government can manage the market and you cannot draw that inference from what I said.  In fact, the point of the Commerce Clause - under my take on it - is that government cannot manage the market and makes a hash of things when it tries to, and that things would be 50 times worse if each state were allowed to interfere with interstate commerce willy-nilly.  That is what the Commerce Clause was intended to do:  mitigate the risks of government distortion of the national markets by ensuring that at least there wouldn't be 50 (originally 13) cooks with their fingers in the stewpot trying to make 50 different meals out of it.

The fact that the Commerce Clause does not, and cannot, do away with all forms of government distortion of the national market does not gainsay the huge benefit it provides in ensuring that Congress can prevent the individual states from each imposing a variety of distortions on the national market.  That is what the Founders were aiming at:  preventing nasty trade wars between the states; at the time the Constitution was written that was a very serious problem - had you read a little more history you'd know that.

Quote
Under an originalist view of the Commerce Clause one State cannot embargo product from other States, but if it attempted to, that embargo would entail prohibiting the transportation of goods into its markets for the purposes of conducting commerce, and run afoul of the very purpose of the Clause: having the power to regulate such actions by States. In addition, that State action would create a situation that the verbiage of Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution calls a controversy "between two or more states;--between a state and citizens of another state", since individual wishing to engage in trade with a neighboring State would be disallowed to do so.

Then your originalist has a very, very weak imagination and an utterly unworldly view of how reality works.  A state does not have to embargo goods from other states to interfere with interstate commerce, it can impose all manner of other "requirements" that have the same practical effect.  For example, a state could enact a law stating that out-of-state wineries cannot ship directly to customers but must instead transship their wines through wholesalers while, on the other hand, in-state wineries can ship directly to their in-state customers.

Is that an embargo on out-of-state wines?  No, out-of-state wines can clearly still be sold to in-state customers, they just have to be sold by in-state wholesalers and cannot be shipped directly to the customer.  Does that have a negative impact on interstate commerce?  You betcha.  Would your originalist view of the Constitution prevent that sort of interference with interstate commerce?  No.

The fact that your originalist view of the Commerce Clause cannot catch that sort of relatively ham-handed interference with interstate commerce, simply because it doesn't represent an embargo, means that your view of the Commerce Clause is a failure.

Quote
The idea that lacking your expansive interpretation of the Commerce Clause, the national market would be balkanized is ironic, the segmented market has always existed, divided by the spending ability of the consumer. I can buy my children $20 sneakers, or I can buy them $180 sneakers, depending on my ability (and willingness) to pay either sum, but the fact that the $20 sneaker exists, has not impacted the $180 sneaker market in the least bit; both markets thrive.

Now you're setting up a strawman, and I am, to say the least, rather disappointed that you would stoop to such a childish tactic.  I have never said that the goal of the Commerce Clause was to remove all differences in the market or disparities between various sellers and buyers.  It is precisely the nature of markets free of government-caused distortions that they will have buyers who can, and desire to, purchase expensive goods as well as buyers who cannot, or who do not want to.  That is not balkanization, that is the inherent nature of a free market.

What I did say - and said quite clearly - is that the Commerce Clause was intended to prevent the states from artificially carving the national market up into little fiefdoms.

Try again, and next time, address the point I made, not the strawman you set up.

Quote
Yes, I understand the concept of the "Dormant Commerce Claus", yet another way for the Federal government to overstep its Constitutional limits, and expand its powers without the burden of amending the Constitution. I don't like the idea that there exists a practice in the Federal system which allows the government to act at will, without constraints, as it sees fit.

Huh?  The Dormant Commerce Clause jurisprudence is not some sort of evil subterfuge to amend the Constitution, it is a forthright doctrine aimed precisely at implementing the Founders' entire purpose in putting the Commerce Clause in the Constitution in the first place:  to prevent the states from carving up the national market into little fiefdoms.

If putting the whole point of a constitutional provision into effect is somehow an unconstitutional amendment of the Constitution, then you have serious issues with basic logic in addition to basic English.

Quote
I don't look at government the same way that you do. You seem to believe in a government that sees its citizenry as possible hapless victims of an unregulated market, and goes about the business of protecting us from unscrupulous merchants. But the flaw in your logic is that any set of manufacturing standards set in place by a State government, must necessarily be set at the lowest common manufacturing standard, otherwise it would make it impossible for manufacturing in the State to thrive. That, coupled with your imaginary higher standard of manufacturing set in place for out-of-State products would in fact create that $20 and $180 sneaker market, with out of State manufacturers controlling the luxury sneaker market.

Again, another strawman.  No, I do not feel that way in the least and nothing I've said supports your contention.  What I am aiming at is precisely what the Founders were aiming at with the Commerce Clause:  preventing all of the little state governments from making precisely those sorts of decisions for their citizens and, furthermore, cutting their citizens off from the citizens of other states by making commerce between the states difficult.  That is the sort of nanny-statism the Founders intended to prevent and that is the only version of the Commerce Clause I am proposing.

Quote
"Commerce" is commerce, and manufacturing is manufacturing, and Congress and the Courts have expanded the meaning of the word "commerce" way beyond its original meaning, and the Commerce Clause far beyond its original intent.   

Really?  So, when a manufacturer purchases raw materials, is that "commerce" or is that "manufacturing"?  When a business that produces shoe soles sells its completed soles to another business that attaches the uppers to shoe soles, is that "commerce" or "manufacturing"?  When Sears, back in the day, sold a kit that contained blueprints for a house, along with cartons containing all of the various pieces of wood and etc. needed for that house, was that "commerce" or "manufacturing"?  The buyer clearly wasn't interested in having a set of drawings and a bunch of bits of wood and etc, the buyer wanted to have a house, but the house wasn't built; did the process of manufacturing that house continue across the transaction in which the buyer purchased the kit from Sears, in which case the transaction would not have been "commerce" under your limited definitions, or not?

With all due respect, your view of the Commerce Clause is narrow, crabbed, suffers from poor definitional issues, and utterly fails to capture the Founders' purpose in putting it into the Constitution.  The mere fact that Congress can constitutionally legislate far more than simply prohibiting inter-state embargoes under the Commerce Clause as it was written by the Founders does not gainsay that conclusion.  If that was all that the Founders intended to accomplish - to prevent the states from embargoing each others' goods - then they could have done so quite simply, by stating that no state could embargo the goods of any other state.  Furthermore, if the only thing the Founders were aiming at was preventing the states from embargoing each other, they would have put the provision into Article IV, as a limitation on the States, rather than putting it into Article I as a power granted to the Congress.

I'm sorry that your belief that your views are originalist is so easily bent out of shape, but that is a failing of your views, not of the Constitution or of the courts' general approach to interpreting and applying the Constitution.


Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: famousdayandyear on August 11, 2012, 01:39:40 am
Ocean, can I buy you a beer sometime?
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Oceander on August 11, 2012, 01:42:02 am
Ocean, can I buy you a beer sometime?

Certainly!  :beer:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 11, 2012, 03:06:28 am
From a borderline newbie.  I'm taken back when a mod intervenes when Rap can take the on the issue when necessary.  His comment had NOTHING to do with Rap's post.  How in the h3ll did the Commerce Clause work itself it this thread. 

BTW:  Verbosity does not equal clarity.

 I wasn't going to reply to this post because I have been in the bed with the flu since yesterday morning.. I was not replying to the post as an admin, I was replying as a poster that knew the message was misconstrued. 
We are allowed opinions on this site, without having the mod or admin tag added our posts. I realize some might not understand that , but when I see that someone is genuine in what they are posting and someone sees it differently, if I am here, I will try and correct it..  It is not a slam on anyone, as we all read stuff the wrong way from time to time! famous you are a great poster, and you post articles that give us insight, that may never been seen here and that is wonderful..  If you have a beef with another poster, or him/her with you, that is to be expected, given all the opinions on the forum.  That doesn't mean we favor anyone over the other..
We are glad to have you here and hope you will overlook the posters who disagree with you, and them you. :beer:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 11, 2012, 03:19:17 am
Quote
Bullshit.

We're done.

 
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 11, 2012, 03:20:51 am
Ocean, can I buy you a beer sometime?

I highly recommend this one.

(https://encrypted-tbn2.google.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQtw3dvTlpbHHGpB6BfM8Z6uPFxWBU6eH9FQreskGkt8bOI93RrTA)
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 11, 2012, 03:24:23 am
We're done.

Stop that! You know this thread got out of hand, there is no need to fuel the fire...
 :patriot:
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Luis Gonzalez on August 11, 2012, 03:26:27 am
Stop that! You know this thread got out of hand, there is no need to fuel the fire...
 :patriot:

I'm just saying that once the discussion reaches that level, I am dropping it.
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Chieftain on August 11, 2012, 03:59:23 am
"Is not life a hundred times too short for us to bore ourselves??"

Friedrich Nietzsche
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: Chieftain on August 11, 2012, 04:16:17 am
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=vHEHhcVIOdY
Title: Re: Prediction: Romney is going to lose ...
Post by: R4 TrumPence on August 11, 2012, 04:48:17 am
Ok I think we have reached a peak on this thread and there is no where to go but downhill or off topic!

I am closing this thread in order to keep some semblance of of order here!  :patriot:

Love you all and keep posting!