If Israel has killed Hezbollah leader Nasrallah, Iran retaliation is almost certain

[mystery-ak]

If Israel has killed Hezbollah leader Nasrallah, Iran retaliation is almost certain
By
Tom Rogan
September 27, 2024 2:25 pm
.

The Israeli military has launched a series of massive air strikes targeting Hezbollah’s underground command headquarters in Beirut, Lebanon. The strikes on Friday were reportedly launched after Israel gathered intelligence that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah was present at the headquarters.

Hezbollah’s command center was built under residential apartment blocks, so civilian casualties are likely to be high. Yet while European nations and others will protest this strike, Israel knows that key regional partners, such as Saudi Arabia and the Sunni monarchies, will quietly be applauding what it has done. Those governments are concerned by the civilian casualties incurred by Israeli actions against Hamas in Gaza, but they share Israel’s hatred of Hezbollah.

Still, Iran is likely to launch a significant retaliatory attack on Israel if Nasrallah has been killed. If Nasrallah has not been killed, then Hezbollah is highly likely to attempt to launch major missile and drone attacks deep into Israel. This will likely precipitate an Israeli ground offensive into southern Lebanon.

Iran has stood largely idle as Israel has steadily eliminated the core of Hezbollah’s leadership cadre in recent weeks. The most likely reason for Iran’s caution is that it fears taking action that might precipitate a U.S. military response, which undermines its increasingly tenuous domestic base of power, and ensuing Israeli strikes against its nuclear program. Still, the successful elimination of Nasrallah would represent a dramatic shift in the balance of power in Israel’s favor. Coming on the heels of the devastation Israel has already imposed upon Hezbollah, Nasrallah’s demise would undermine Iran’s theocratic project and its presentation of power. It would likely be seen by Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as a direct challenge to the power viability of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It would be a challenge requiring visible and direct reprisal.

more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/beltway-confidential/3169100/if-israel-killed-hezbollah-leader-nasrallah-iran-retaliation-almost-certain/

[Hoodat]

"Almost certain"?  Almost?  So what's holding them back (other than them being a bunch of cowards and bleep)?  I suspect that Iranian leaders are currently scouting around for clandestine locations to hide their families, lest they reach the same end as their Hezbollah puppets.

[PeteS in CA]

Iran will try harder to kill Jews than did their proxies, Hamas and Hez?

Among those whose pagers serious injured or killed were Iran's ambassador to Lebanon and several Revolutionary Guard soldiers - probably senior field-grade officers - in Syria.

[libertybele]

  

[berdie]

 

Absolutely!

[mystery-ak]

Photo: Netanyahu Approved Airstrike on Hezbollah HQ from New York Hotel Room



Joel B. Pollak 27 Sep 2024

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved Friday’s airstrike on Hezbollah’s headquarters in Beirut, Lebanon, from his hotel room in New York City prior to his speech to the United Nations General Assembly.

The Prime Minister’s Office released a photograph that it said showed Netanyahu approving the massive airstrike.

The massive attack targeted Hezbollah’s underground headquarters in the Dahiyeh neighborhood of Beirut.

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1839691226628448659

more
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2024/09/27/photo-netanyahu-approved-airstrike-on-hezbollah-hq-from-new-york-hotel-room/

[Right_in_Virginia]

Photo: Netanyahu Approved Airstrike on Hezbollah HQ from New York Hotel Room

Why release this photo?

[Hoodat]

Why release this photo?

To piss off Israel-haters.

[Right_in_Virginia]

To piss off Israel-haters.

Thanks for clarifying -----  I was afraid it was another calculation to link Israel's war with the United States and drag us into their fighting.

[rustynail]

.....Israel will kill you back..

[jafo2010]

The time is coming when Israel will finally approach these genocidal maniacs they way they should be approached.  Kill every last one of them.  There is zero collateral damage in a society that is comprised of genocidal maniacs that train their children to kill Jews from the time they can hold an AK-47.

Admiral William Halsey had it right in regard to addressing the enemy and their civilian population.  They were only good when six months dead!

[Hoodat]

Thanks for clarifying -----  I was afraid it was another calculation to link Israel's war with the United States and drag us into their fighting.

I seriously doubt that's what you were thinking.

[IsailedawayfromFR]

Iran will only go after soft targets like the massacre of Oct 7.

It has no stomach to tee it off against Israel as it will lose.

[Right_in_Virginia]

I seriously doubt that's what you were thinking.

Why?  Did you miss how clear Bibi was in his speech today that he's again itching for war with Iran  --- a war he knows he cannot fight without us? 

Releasing a picture of Bibi ordering more bombings in Lebanon --- while in the United States--- gives the impression we stand with him. 

We should know by now that Bibi will try anything to do two things:  1. Piss off Iran and 2:  Move Americans closer to bleeding in his sand trap.  Releasing that photo could well be "two birds, one stone".

Or, not 

[Hoodat]

Why?  Did you miss how clear Bibi was in his speech today that he's again itching for war with Iran

It was easy to miss because it wasn't there.  You made it up.

Releasing a picture of Bibi ordering more bombings in Lebanon --- while in the United States--- gives the impression we stand with him.

Uh, no.  Attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon without telling the US, and doing so while on American soil tells the world that he doesn't need the US and will defend his country from anti-Israel terrorists whether we stand with him or not.

We should know by now that Bibi will try anything to do two things:  1. Piss off Iran and 2:  Move Americans closer to bleeding in his sand trap.

Pure bullshit.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Why?  Did you miss how clear Bibi was in his speech today that he's again itching for war with Iran  --- a war he knows he cannot fight without us?

It was easy to miss because it wasn't there.  You made it up.

See below:

Full text of Netanyahu’s UN speech: ‘Enough is enough,’ he says of Hezbollah, also warns Iran
Times of Israel, Sep 27, 2024

Now look at this second map. It’s a map of a curse. It’s a map of an arc of terror that Iran has created and imposed from the Indian Ocean to the Mediterranean. Iran’s malignant arc has shut down international waterways.°


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addresses the 79th session of the United Nations General Assembly, Sept. 27, 2024.

It cuts off trade, it destroys nations from within, and inflicts misery on millions. On the one hand, a bright blessing—a future of hope. On the other hand, a dark future of despair. And if you think this dark map is only a curse for Israel, then you should think again.

Because Iran’s aggression, if it’s not checked, will endanger every single country in the Middle East, and many, many countries in the rest of the world, because Iran seeks to impose its radicalism well beyond the Middle East.

That’s why it funds terror networks on five continents. That’s why it builds ballistic missiles for nuclear warheads to threaten the entire world. For too long, the world has appeased Iran. It turned a blind eye to its internal repression. It turned a blind eye to its external aggression. Well, that appeasement must end. And that appeasement must end now.

Responsible governments should not only support Israel in rolling back Iran’s aggression, but they should join Israel. They should join Israel in stopping Iran’s nuclear weapons program.

For decades, I’ve been warning the world against Iran’s nuclear program. Our actions delayed this program by perhaps a decade, but we haven’t stopped it. We’ve delayed it, but we haven’t stopped it. Iran now seeks to weaponize its nuclear program. For the sake of the peace and security of all your countries.

For the sake of the peace and security of the entire world, we must not let that happen. And I assure you, Israel will do everything in its power to make sure it doesn’t happen.


https://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-netanyahus-un-speech-enough-is-enough-he-says-of-hezbollah-also-warns-iran/

[Hoodat]

The phrase "checking their aggression" is not synonymous with "itching for war".  Not even close.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Uh, no.  Attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon without telling the US, and doing so while on American soil tells the world that he doesn't need the US and will defend his country from anti-Israel terrorists whether we stand with him or not.

Tearing up our checks and refusing our replacement armaments would tell the world Israel is an independent player.  The world knows this, even if you refuse to accept it.   

[Hoodat]

That's quite a hike relocating the goal posts there.  Especially since his current actions speak for themselves.  Bibi called Austin and told him he was striking Hezbollah as he was doing it.  He waited to ensure that the US regime didn't tip them off.  Not sure how any of that plays into your fantasy of Bibi itching for war with Iran and dragging the US along.

[mystery-ak]

Eliminated..it's official..

[bigheadfred]

OSINTdefender
@sentdefender
·
1h
Hezbollah has announced the Death of Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah.

[mountaineer]

[PeteS in CA]

It was easy to miss because it wasn't there.  You made it up. 1.


Uh, no.  Attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon without telling the US, and doing so while on American soil tells the world that he doesn't need the US and will defend his country from anti-Israel terrorists whether we stand with him or not. 2.
...

 1.  A year ago she was railing against Netanyahu because he had (in her opinion) had done too little. Now, 11 months later, she's railing against Netanyahu saying he's doing too much. It's NDS.

2. a. Netanyahu knew that if Israel told Biden & minions what was planned, the minions and/or Foggy Bottom would have warned the Hezzies ASAP.

2. b. For ~11 months Biden & minions have been arm-twisting and guilt-tripping Israel to let Hamas live another day (and continue attacking Israel). Not telling Biden & minions in advance was just another reminder that Israel isn't dancing Biden's & minions' dance, but will do what is best for Israel.

[PeteS in CA]

Roast & Rot In Peace, Nasrallah.

[Kamaji]

1.  A year ago she was railing against Netanyahu because he had (in her opinion) had done too little. Now, 11 months later, she's railing against Netanyahu saying he's doing too much. It's NDS.

2. a. Netanyahu knew that if Israel told Biden & minions what was planned, the minions and/or Foggy Bottom would have warned the Hezzies ASAP.

2. b. For ~11 months Biden & minions have been arm-twisting and guilt-tripping Israel to let Hamas live another day (and continue attacking Israel). Not telling Biden & minions in advance was just another reminder that Israel isn't dancing Biden's & minions' dance, but will do what is best for Israel.