Trump’s small but enduring lead revives polling skepticism
By
W. James Antle III
April 4, 2024 2:45 pm
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Former President Donald Trump is still leading in the polls, raising fresh questions about whether the problem is with the polling or President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign.
Biden’s team initially suggested that recent polling has been at odds with the election results, which often seen Democrats beat expectations — and often Republicans. But their stepped up attacks on Trump and targeted campaign activity indicate they do take the threat seriously.
Polling skepticism, popularly dubbed “crosstab trutherism,” nevertheless persists in some corners on the Left. Some of the core assumptions being questioned is whether Trump is really gaining among minority voters and if Biden is as bad off with younger people as some surveys show.
The latest Wall Street Journal swing state poll shows Trump beating Biden in six of the key battlegrounds and the two presidents tied in the seventh. Some of these leads are relatively big. Trump is up by 6 points in North Carolina, where he won by 1.3 in 2020, and 5 points in Arizona, where he lost by 0.4. Trump has been leading in Nevada, the only one of these swing states he never carried in 2016 or 2020.
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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2953747/trumps-small-but-enduring-lead-revives-polling-skepticism/
