Thirty-seven percent of those in the sample were Republicans, while 34 percent were Democrats, and 25 percent were independents.
Republicans overrepresented by 12 percent, Democrats overrepresented by 9 percent, independents underrepresented by 20 percent. Pretty useless poll. I do believe Trump is ahead at this point, but not by 9 points. More like 3 or 4.
I've seen this play before. New York, 2010.
A barrage of polls showing incumbent David Paterson—who ascended after the Eliot Spitzer prostitute scandal— in danger of losing to Carl Paladino, the Republican nominee... and the same polls showing Cuomo dominating.
A bunch of scandals weakening Paterson's reputation (though nothing rising to Spitzer's) ... coupled with some recession-era tax hikes that turned out to be political suicide. Meanwhile Cuomo kept playing coy, insisting he wasn't a candidate for the job. Then Paterson withdraws from the race and... (cue the fanfare!)... Cuomo rides in on his white
ass er, horse to save the Democratic Party.
The question is, who is the one playing the part of Cuomo this time around? Newsom? (Which I find it hilariously ironic that now that Nancy Pelosi is pretty much aging out of relevance, all of the most prominent Democrats in California, which has one of the highest Hispanic populations in America, are all middle aged white men.)