Biden’s best path to reelection runs through the Great Lakes and not the Sun Belt
Analysis by Harry Enten, CNN
Published 10:00 AM EST, Sat February 3, 2024
Just how does Joe Biden win reelection? National polls show him trailing Donald Trump more often than leading him – a rare position for an incumbent to be in at this point in the campaign.
These national polls, though, mean little. You win elections state by state through the Electoral College. Back in 2020, the closest battleground states (i.e., those decided by 3 points or less) were either around the Great Lakes (Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) or along the Sun Belt (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina).
Biden would be reelected if he wins all the states in either region, so long as he also carries the remaining states he took in 2020.
At this point, though, it seems his easiest path to a second term runs through the Great Lakes rather than the Sun Belt.
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https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/03/politics/biden-trump-2024-election-great-lakes/index.html
