We will see. I think there is a 100% chance this Judge will find a reason to convict. Just my own biased opinion here, and I hope I am wrong.
One does not "convict" in a civil case. One is either held liable, or not.
I'm reasonably certain that Trump has already given the judge more than enough reasons to find him liable, at the very least under Exec. Law 63(12).
BTW, if one wants to see the evidence that was obtained from Trump during discovery, a lot of it is available on the NY e-courts website as exhibits and attachments to various pleadings.