Can Trump Win Next Year?Mark Lewis
Aug 22, 2023
The question in the title of this column is not an academic one. Next year’s presidential and congressional elections are crucial for the future of the United States. A Democratic sweep will continue to send the country into a moral and economic sewer from which it may never escape. The people of the Republican Party must consider this election very conscientiously and choose candidates who can win, at all levels, local, state, and national. A Republican president can at least block much of what a Democratic Party-controlled Congress could do.
There is a heady debate in the Republican Party right now about Mr. Trump’s chances to win next year. Read Townhall articles and comments to verify this. Let’s assume, for this article, that Mr. Trump will indeed be the Republican Party nominee next year. Barring something totally unexpected, he will receive at least 40 percent of the popular vote (remember “The 40-40-20 Rule” of presidential elections). How much higher he can go, and in what states, will determine whether he can be victorious. That is provided, of course, the Republican Party can limit Democratic Party cheating and stealing, not at all a given. But let’s also assume a relatively scandal-free election. Can Mr. Trump win?
Let me break down the electorate and try to determine Trump’s possibilities to regain the White House. Who, and what, is he facing?
* * *
Can Trump win next year? Theoretically, of course, anything is possible. But given what he faces right now, his road back to Washington is a difficult one, to say the least.
Source:
https://townhall.com/columnists/marklewis/2023/08/22/can-trump-win-next-year-n2627348
