Private school enrollment jumps 25 percent in Washington as exodus from public schools continues
https://thepostmillennial.com/private-school-enrollment-jumps-25-percent-in-washington-as-exodus-from-public-schools-continues
Pre-Covid both sectors - private campus schools and homeschooling were probably experiencing mild growth. Both have significant lifestyle implications. Then came Covid shutdown. At least a couple of things potentially happened. Courtesy of Zoom-schooling, parents saw what was being taught, how. Parents also had a significant involvement in overseeing their children's education and realized that they could do it - demystifying the process. It looks like one, the other, or both factors caused huge jumps in private campus schooling and homeschooling. I think these numbers are past the try-but-return-to-PS time period. I.E. these losses may be long-term.
How are you going to keep them down on the farm...
Once parents have had a taste of what is--and is NOT--quality education, all who can afford, either financially or time-wise to get a better education for their children are likely to do so.
I think you are right.
These losses to the PS system are going to be most likely permanent, unless the legal system manages to stuff ESG into the Private and Homeschool environment.