Is The GOP Primary Race Over?Scott Morefield
Jul 10, 2023
It seems like every day there’s another poll released that shows former President Donald Trump with a massive lead over his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. As a DeSantis supporter, I take them with a very large grain of salt. Not only do absurd and unrealistic claims in the cross tabs of many of these polls defy belief, but only two out of 70 of the most recent polls actually have sampling that meets RNC requirements for a candidate to meet the debate threshold.
Because of this and because of the way Trump allies, surrogates, and supporters lean on them to convey a sense of inevitability & invincibility for the former president as the presumptive GOP nominee before the campaign really begins, I consider these polls to be one of the most devious psyops of modern political history. And it’s not even surprising, especially considering that both the Republican and Democratic establishments seem to WANT a Trump GOP primary victory.
That said, even someone as optimistic about DeSantis’ ultimate chances as myself will readily admit that Trump is still the front-runner and leads, albeit not as much, even in properly done polls without crazy sampling issues and weird claims in the cross tabs. Which begs the following questions: Will Trump’s polling lead narrow? When will that happen?
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Source:
https://townhall.com/columnists/scottmorefield/2023/07/10/is-the-gop-primary-race-over-n2625482