WSJ poll: The Red Wave is real -- and also Black and Brown

[Free Vulcan]

It’s beginning to look a lot like Biden-mas as we arrive at Election Eve. The predicted Red Wave now looks inevitable, as we have watched The Sudden Republican Momentum® narrative unfold as expected in such cycles. Despite a last-moment Hail Mary from NBC News in giving Dems a +1 in their latest generic-ballot poll — which would still look good for Republicans — the current RCP aggregate average gives the GOP a 2.5% advantage and support at a year-long high.

Worth noting, though: the sample split in the NBC News poll was 35% Democrats, 30% Republicans, and 31% independents. NBC then assigns leaners to the parties to come up with a 43/41 Democrat advantage among likely voters. The latest Gallup poll shows a very different electorate, however, which I noted yesterday in the Headlines:

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1589263953376706561

https://hotair.com/ed-morrissey/2022/11/07/wsj-poll-the-red-wave-is-real-and-also-black-and-brown-n508672

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ALWAYS look at the party sample ratio, as mentioned in the NBC poll above. It's usually the other way around in the mid-terms, which means some of the Democrat favoring polls are as much as 10 points off.

[LMAO]

When people who live in inner cities have had enough of crime, joblessness, and poor performing schools, the strategy of just calling your opponents white Supremists  doesn’t work forever

[Right_in_Virginia]