Turning Tide? Decision Desk HQ Predicts Republicans Will Now Win Senate

[mystery-ak]

Turning Tide? Decision Desk HQ Predicts Republicans Will Now Win Senate
By Cameron Arcand | 3:00 PM on October 28, 2022

The tide may be turning for Republicans when it comes to winning back control of the Senate, at least according to Decision Desk HQ.

The political forecasting and election results website announced Friday that Republicans now have a 50.4 percent chance of taking the Senate with 51 seats in their model, which is the first time Republicans have had better odds in their model since starting it.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1586052677372362753

One of the reasons they attribute to this is how Republican Mehmet Oz now has a 53.1 percent chance of winning compared to Democrat John Fetterman’s 46.9 percent in the toss-up Pennsylvania race. Fetterman’s poor debate performance earlier this week garnered widespread attention, and it arguably worked in Oz’s favor.

more
https://redstate.com/carcand/2022/10/28/turning-tide-decision-desk-hq-predicts-republicans-will-now-win-senate-n650549

[Wingnut]

Turning Tide? Decision Desk HQ Predicts Republicans Will Now Win Senate




One of the reasons they attribute to this is how Republican Mehmet Oz now has a 53.1 percent chance of winning compared to Democrat John Fetterman’s 46.9 percent in the toss-up Pennsylvania race. Fetterman’s poor debate performance earlier this week garnered widespread attention, and it arguably worked in Oz’s favor.

more
https://redstate.com/carcand/2022/10/28/turning-tide-decision-desk-hq-predicts-republicans-will-now-win-senate-n650549

The 1st post debate poll should be out next week.  If I were a betting man, I figure Oz's numbers will jump. 

[rustynail]

Not if Mitch can help it.

[Hoodat]

Our model currently predicts that Republicans have a 50.4% chance of control, and our mean seat projection is 51 (R) and 49 (D).

Just want to point out that there are currently only 48 Democrat Senators.  I don't see this number going up.

[Right_in_Virginia]

"New Hampshire Senate Candidate @GenDonBolduc reacts LIVE to new polling showing him closing in on VICTORY over incumbent Democrat:"  (Video)

https://mobile.twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1586090648775454722

[mystery-ak]

Rasmussen Poll: Republicans Expand Lead on Generic Congressional Ballot to 7 Points

The Republicans expanded their lead on the generic congressional ballot to seven points, with an 18-point advantage among independents, with 11 days left before the election, according to Rasmussen Reports’ weekly poll.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/28/rasmussen-poll-republicans-expand-lead-generic-congressional-ballot-7-points/