The last few weeks of any election cycle are always the dumbest, and 2022 has been no exception. Despite the fundamentals and the generic ballot average favoring Republicans, Democrats have clung to a few outlier polls and misleading, incomplete early voting data to once again try to proclaim a rebound...
...The math is simple here. If Democrats are struggling in formerly safe seats in places like Oregon, Rhode Island, and blue areas of California, that means there are a lot of toss-up seats that are going to swing hard toward Republicans in the end. The House environment typically operates in a linear fashion. Yes, you’ll get some surprises, but if D+15 seats are within the margin of error, then a lot of D+5 seats are going to fall to the GOP.
https://redstate.com/bonchie/2022/10/27/democrat-internal-provides-flashing-red-light-that-the-red-wave-cometh-n649702
