Concerns are rising among Democratic operatives that two of the party’s most reliable voting blocs, African Americans and Hispanic Americans, will not turn out in November’s midterms as reliably as they have in past years.
According to Axios, the primary cause of this fear is the fact that President Donald Trump notably improved his margins with black and Latino voters in 2020. In that election, Biden won 87 percent of black voters to Trump’s 12 percent, while Biden took 65 percent of Latinos to Trump’s 32 percent. In both cases, Trump increased his share of the minority vote by 4 points compared to his 2016 result.
Now, multiple trends, polls, and the outcomes of several special elections over the course of the year indicate that the shift of minority voters away from the Democrats is most likely continuing, if not accelerating, in 2022. In September, minority-owned public opinion research group HIT Strategies released its own “Blacktrack” survey regarding the political leanings of black Americans: It found that 78 percent of black voters plan to vote for the generic Democratic ballot, with 10 percent supporting Republicans. This 68-point margin marks a 7-point decrease from Biden’s 75 percent lead over Trump among this group in 2020.
https://amgreatness.com/2022/10/20/democrats-face-possible-decline-in-black-and-latino-vote/
