Major Tightening In Blue State Races

[Free Vulcan]

Been watching the trends in the polls, particularly in the Blue States. These are critical to watch because close races force the Dems to spend money in places that should be solid, drawing funds from toss-ups and other competitive races. Many of these are within the MOE. From the last several days:

Michigan Governor - Dixon vs. Whitmer   MAB/Cygnal   Whitmer 48, Dixon 44   Whitmer +4
Minnesota Governor - Jensen vs. Walz   MinnPost*   Walz 47, Jensen 42   Walz +5
New York Governor - Zeldin vs. Hochul   Schoen Cooperman (D)   Hochul 50, Zeldin 44   Hochul +6
Connecticut Senate - Levy vs. Blumenthal   CT Examiner/Fabrizio   Blumenthal 49, Levy 44   Blumenthal +5
Connecticut Governor - Stefanowski vs. Lamont   CT Examiner/Fabrizio   Lamont 50, Stefanowski 43     Lamont +7
New Hampshire Senate - Bolduc vs. Hassan   Fabrizio/Anzalone   Hassan 52, Bolduc 45   Hassan +7
Colorado Senate - O'Dea vs. Bennet   Marist   Bennet 49, O'Dea 43   Bennet +6
Oregon Governor - Drazan vs. Kotek vs. Johnson   Clout Research (R)   Drazan 44, Kotek 38, Johnson 11   Drazan +6
Georgia 2nd District - West vs. Bishop   Trafalgar Group (R)   Bishop 50, West 46   Bishop +4

Even a hypothetical matchup between Biden and Trump in Illinois is single digits:

Illinois: Trump vs. Biden   Chicago Sun-Times/PPP   Biden 51, Trump 42   Biden +9

Other incumbent Dems in solid blue states are barely in double digits:

New York Senate - Schumer vs. Pinion   Marist   Schumer 52, Pinion 39   Schumer +13
Illinois Senate - Salvi vs. Duckworth   Chicago Sun-Times/PPP*   Duckworth 50, Salvi 36   Duckworth +14
Illinois Governor - Bailey vs. Pritzker   Chicago Sun-Times/PPP*   Pritzker 49, Bailey 34   Pritzker +15
Rhode Island Governor - Kalus vs. McKee   Boston Globe/Suffolk*   McKee 46, Kalus 36   McKee +10

Some of these races have returned several polls with nearly the same results with a negative trend for the Dems. If it were a few scattered races I would ignore it, but this is a consistent pattern. Won't read too much on all this, but signs point to the Dems sucking wind at this point.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/