September 20, 2022 12:56pm EDT
Fox News Power Rankings: Democrats build momentum, but GOP still has the advantage
Election night is seven weeks away
By Rémy Numa | Fox News
The House is in play for the first time this cycle as Democrats continue to build momentum, but the GOP remains the favorite to take control. This edition of the Fox News Power Rankings looks at shifts toward Democrats in nine battleground House races and two key Senate races. Meanwhile, the GOP makes gains in the Georgia and Oregon governor races.
House: Republicans expected to take a 13-seat majority, but Democrats now have pathways to win
Republicans can expect a 13-seat majority in the latest House forecast (a total of 231 seats), leaving the Democrats with a 14-seat deficit (204 seats). These numbers reflect a shift of three seats away from the GOP since August. While the trend line favors Democrats, 13 seats means the Republicans would hold a comfortable governing majority. House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy will want to keep that figure in the double digits as election day approaches.
(You may notice that the chart above looks different compared to previous editions. This chart now shows the number of Democratic and Republican seats if each party wins half of the 30 most competitive races. Below each number, you will now see a "±15 seats" label, which indicates how many seats above or below the headline number that each party could take.)
Republicans are also making unforced electoral errors. As inflation reached its highest level in 40 years on Tuesday,
Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., proposed limits making abortion illegal nationwide after 15 weeks, giving Democrats a stronger argument that the GOP will restrict abortion rights nationwide. When "Fox News Sunday’s" Shannon Bream pressed Graham on the reversal, asking why he pivoted from an earlier position that abortion should be left up to the states, he promised to continue introducing legislation at the national level. Graham’s Senate colleagues are running away from the plan, but 87 Republican lawmakers in the House have signed onto it.
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https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-democrats-build-momentum-gop-still-has-advantage
