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Offline mystery-ak

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Democrats find hope in Florida
« on: September 12, 2022, 01:15:25 pm »
 Democrats find hope in Florida
by Max Greenwood - 09/12/22 6:00 AM ET

Democrats are eyeing what they believe is an increasingly realistic path to victory in Florida’s marquee midterm races after months of hesitation over just how aggressively to contest the state this year.

The Sunshine State has proven elusive to Democrats in recent years; former President Trump carried it in both 2016 and 2020, Republicans have outpaced Democrats in voter registrations and the party has struggled with mounting losses among Latinos, a key constituency that Democrats once saw as a reliable voting bloc.

But recent polling has reignited Democratic interest in Florida, fueling hope among party operatives and officials that they just might be able to oust Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio (R) this year and reassert Florida’s reputation as a swing state.

“I don’t want to sound overly optimistic. We still have a lot of work to do,” said one Democratic consultant involved in key races in Florida. “But things are trending in the right direction.”

Democrats got their latest boost this week from two new polls that suggest their top candidates may be starting to close the gap with DeSantis and Rubio.

One, from Susquehanna Polling and Research, found Charlie Crist, the Democratic nominee for governor, trailing DeSantis by a narrow 4-point margin, within the survey’s margin of error. The same poll found Rep. Val Demings, the Democratic Senate nominee, running just 3 points behind Rubio.

Another poll, commissioned by the AARP, put the match-ups even closer. DeSantis led Crist by just 3 points, while Rubio held a slim 2-point advantage over Demings, according to the survey, which was conducted by the GOP firm Fabrizio Ward and the Democratic firm Impact Research.

The recent bump for Crist and Demings dovetails with the momentum that has lifted Democrats in other key races across the country over the past two months.

The Supreme Court’s decision over the summer to overturn Roe v. Wade, the landmark abortion rights case, has energized the party’s voters after a prolonged period of relative listlessness and given Democrats an outlet to cast Republicans as overly zealous when it comes to curbing individual liberties.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3636350-democrats-find-hope-in-florida/
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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2022, 07:50:47 pm »
A Decoder for stories from The Shill: 

Input words "Republican Controlled," output words "Swing State."  If FL is a swing state, I'll eat my hat.
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2022, 08:31:08 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on September 12, 2022, 07:50:47 pm
A Decoder for stories from The Shill: 

Input words "Republican Controlled," output words "Swing State."  If FL is a swing state, I'll eat my hat.

The only rat that stands a chance is Val Demings in her race with Little Marco.  Her only hope is if she gets the black vote to help pump up the Liberal and the dead vote.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #3 on: September 12, 2022, 08:53:36 pm »
As popular as DeSantis seems to be and as much as he is in the spotlight, keep in mind that he won his seat by less than half a percentage point. The DEMS almost stole that election.  I don't think him retaining the governorship is a given like everyone expects.

Marco is in an uphill battle.  He still wears the scars of belonging to the Gang of Eight.

Demings is a black female and I believe she'll win over the black vote as well as the female vote.

No, I am not optimistic in either race and I'm bracing myself for FL to turn blue.
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #4 on: September 12, 2022, 09:59:29 pm »
The overall political environment has shifted back into parity.  Owing to trendlines, GOP is still favored in across the board, including the open seats, and those marginal races in FL 27 & 28.  But it will be highly competitive as usual.  DeSantis spent a ton of political capital.  While great for conservatism, it guaranteed a large and highly motivated opposition. 
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2022, 10:09:24 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on September 12, 2022, 01:15:25 pm
Another poll, commissioned by the AARP, put the match-ups even closer. DeSantis led Crist by just 3 points, while Rubio held a slim 2-point advantage over Demings

AARP is just another lobbying wing of the Democrat Party.  Either way, someone is smoking some serious crack.
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Offline LMAO

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Re: Democrats find hope in Florida
« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2022, 11:28:13 pm »
Quote from: libertybele on September 12, 2022, 08:53:36 pm
As popular as DeSantis seems to be and as much as he is in the spotlight, keep in mind that he won his seat by less than half a percentage point. The DEMS almost stole that election.  I don't think him retaining the governorship is a given like everyone expects.

Marco is in an uphill battle.  He still wears the scars of belonging to the Gang of Eight.

Demings is a black female and I believe she'll win over the black vote as well as the female vote.

No, I am not optimistic in either race and I'm bracing myself for FL to turn blue.

Charlie Crist is not going to be your next governor. When Ron DeSantis was elected governor of Florida, it was a year that was particularly hostile for the GOP

Rubio may or may not win his race, though
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