Pollster Slams David Wasserman’s Midterm Predictions Favoring Democrats as Biased
Wendell Husebø 31 Aug 2022
Pollster Rich Baris, Director at Big Data Poll, slammed David Wasserman’s Cook Political Report midterm predictions favoring Democrats as biased and based on his “love of flawed polls.”
Baris took Wasserman to task after he tweeted an analysis of a downgraded “outlook for GOP gains from 20-35 seats to 10-20 seats.”
“Let me shorten it so everyone doesn’t waste their time reading it,” Baris tweeted about a new Cook Report’s projection of the 2022 midterms. “Your bias bleeds into your ‘forecasts’ and love flawed polls. Peace out!”
In 2020, the Cook Political Report predicted Republicans would lose up to 15 House seats to add to their 34-seat majority, but the estimate was 29 seats off. Instead, Republicans gained 14 House seats and the Democrats entered 2021 with a narrow 222–213 House majority.
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1564753003537653762Wasserman’s analysis cited Roe v. Wade being overruled by the Supreme Court and “steadily falling gas prices” as two issues the Democrats have claimed are energizing its base heading into the midterm elections.
“By our estimates, they [Republicans] are likely to pick up roughly three seats off the bat from redistricting alone, owing to New York’s top court torpedoing Democrats’ gerrymander and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signing a brutal GOP gerrymander into law,” Wasserman claimed. “That was once a tiny component of Republicans’ potential House gains. Now, it looks like a critical GOP insurance policy in a highly fluid political climate.”
Wasserman’s factors may prove themselves incorrect come November. Rasmussen Reports’ polling shows Roe v. Wade is the fourth most important issue of which voters are “very concerned.” Joe Biden’s 40-year-high inflation, soaring crime, and illegal immigration respectively ranking above the issue of abortion.
Concerning gas price, the national average as of Wednesday was $3.841, according to AAA data. When Biden entered office gas prices were at an average $2.39 per gallon, more than a full dollar less. Gas prices is swing states are also very high:
Nevada, $3.84
Pennsylvania, $4.10
Ohio, $3.65
Wisconsin, $3.84
Georgia, $3.37
Michigan, $3.84
North Carolina, $3.54
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https://www.breitbart.com/midterm-election/2022/08/31/pollster-slams-david-wassermans-midterm-predictions-favoring-democrats-biased/
