Analysis: Republican Recruitment Foreshadows Large Gains in HouseJacob Bliss 27 Jul 2022
The lobbying firm Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas released an analysis of the election years the House of Representatives changed the majority, indicating a potential “Red Wave” coming in the midterms after the Republicans have had a strong recruiting year.
The analysis showed that the trend of good recruitment indicates strong potential for a “Red Wave.”
One of the charts shows that “Republicans are more eager to run” for office than Democrats, and historic trends demonstrate that having more candidates running gives you better chances of winning.
In 1998 the Republicans only had ten more candidates running than the Democrats did, which led to the Democrats gaining net five seats. And in 2002, the Republicans had 39 more candidates running, which led to a net gain of eight GOP seats.
However, when either side had over a hundred more candidates than the other, it resulted in a “wave.”
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/07/27/analysis-republican-recruitment-foreshadows-large-gains-house/
