June 17, 2022
Don't get cocky about a red wave
By Joe Alton
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out that Joe Biden has been a disaster as president. The number of unmitigated failures during his watch include the Afghanistan withdrawal, soaring inflation, food shortages, supply chain issues, rising crime, open borders, lost reputation abroad, and the list goes on and on.
Some signs point to a "red wave" this November. President Biden is less popular than anyone expected, and more are pessimistic about the direction of the country than usual. The general congressional ballot has swung in the favor of Republicans (a rare event), and the percentage of Latinos who support the Democrat agenda has dropped, even on issues like immigration. These signs have led many Republicans to believe they are on track to make historic gains.
Indeed, when a red wave occurs, it can be impressive: the Republicans gained 54 seats in 1994 and 64 seats in 2010. But that was under a different Census.
Every ten years, congressional districts are reapportioned according to the latest Census. This means that the districts that produced 54 seats in 1994 were revised after the 2000 count, and the districts that produced 64 seats in 2010 were revised by 2012.
The districts for the 2022 election have been revised further still. For the last three Census apportionments, the strategy has been to try to gain an advantage for the party that's in power in each particular state. Each state manipulates the map to solidify holds on seats already held by the ruling party.
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https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2022/06/dont_get_cocky_about_a_red_wave.html
