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@HorizonWatcher An interesting perspective so I took the liberty of excerpting and posting the article you referenced.
Will Generation Jones Save Donald Trump?
Jonathan Pontell
3 days ago·4 min readAn under-the-radar voter segment could deliver an electoral shocker[Updated November 1, 2020]
It’s the predictable prediction of late-trailing candidates: “Polls, shmolls. Election day turnout for me is gonna be ginormous.†Particularly predictable for Trump. Skepticism should govern these eleventh-hour electoral miracle claims. But this election may actually be an exception. Trump realistically could be saved by huge turnout from a certain “hidden†voting segment: seniors. Wait…seniors?!
Yes…younger seniors. The widely discussed Trump-has-lost-the-seniors narrative focuses on the 65+ crowd and misses this key point. Those aged mid-50’s to mid-60’s have not left Trump. In fact, this is the generational cohort which has polled highest for Trump throughout 2020. In many polls, it’s the only age group to favor him, and often by large margins.
Some signs point to a massive turnout by this segment on election day itself. The available early voter data, along with the most recent polling (e.g. enthusiasm, likelihood to vote, etc.) add additional reasons to believe this may happen. This age group could be between a quarter and a third of the overall electorate. In studying generational electoral data for over twenty years, I’ve rarely seen a generation in such a potentially pivotal position.
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https://jonathan-pontell.medium.com/will-generation-jones-save-donald-trump-9198b3bc0051