Author Topic: Two pollsters—Big Data Poll and The Trafalgar Group—are finding similar numbers for ARIZONA  (Read 340 times)

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Offline Fishrrman

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https://mobile.twitter.com/PollWatch2020/status/1320360586832588800

Two pollsters—Big Data Poll and The Trafalgar Group—are finding similar numbers for ARIZONA:
Big Data Poll: Trump +2.5 (Oct 16-20)
Oct 25 2020 | Poll Watch

PollWatch @PollWatch2020 Two pollsters—Big Data Poll and The Trafalgar Group—are finding similar numbers for ARIZONA:

Big Data Poll: Trump +2.5 (Oct 16-20)

The Trafalgar Group: Trump +2.4 (+2.9 with leaners) (for 1 night Oct 24)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QRVDv35P6LM4AyC2CqHfP1ghsxVrN26c_j9yjM-juhE/htmlview?usp=sharing&pru=AAABdWxhy4s*jGJl8iHGQQL0zBfOQZN_zQ#…

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yydRu7bsuh8gdVPHqYdwtoIqVohoVpaz/view

More at URL above...

Looks do-able for Mr. Trump in Arizona (a state I was worried about).
Now if McSally would only grab onto his coattails...

Offline mystery-ak

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John Nolte 25 Oct 2020

Three post-debate polls in swing states that will decide the 2020 election show President Donald Trump with a small lead.

In Michigan, the Trafalgar Group, one of the most accurate swing state pollsters in 2016 and 2018, shows Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden by two points, 49 to 47 percent, with third party libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen at two percent. Earlier this month, this same pollster had Trump up by a single point, 47 to 46 percent.

Trump is also up two with Trafalgar in Florida, 49 to 47 percent, over Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent. Earlier this month, in this same poll, Trump had a similar two point lead, 48 to 46 percent, over Biden.

In Arizona, Trump sits at 50 percent, compared to just 47 percent for Biden. Jorgensen is again at two percent.  An earlier Trafalgar poll had Trump up by four, 48 to 44 percent. So Trump’s lead shrank by a point, but he is at the magic 50 percent mark.

Quote
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
NEW @trafalgar_group Post Debate Poll:

Michigan:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%

Florida:
Trump 49% (+2)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%

Arizona:
Trump 50% (+3)
Biden 47%
Jorgensen 2%
9:11 AM · Oct 25, 2020

more
https://www.breitbart.com/2020-election/2020/10/25/nolte-post-debate-polls-show-trump-leading-mi-az-fl/
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Offline Fishrrman

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Re mystery's post above:

That Mr. Trump is up in all three states is good, particularly at this late stage of the contest.

But what's troubling is just how close the democrat-communists are getting to having an absolute "numbers advantage".

Maybe not this time around. But within 10-15 years (as the American-born children of illegals reach voting age, having been "educated" in left-leaning schools), the demographics of all three of the above states is going to shift significantly.

Also, the closeness of these contests portend that there's going to be no "Trump landslide" the second time around.
His victory will be as close -- or closer than -- in 2016.

I will happily eat these words on November 4.
Or maybe it won't be until November 10th.
Or... who knows...?

Offline jafo2010

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TRUMP TSUNAMI  -  40 ELECTORAL COLLEGE STATES

The oil comment will have far and wide damage, and it will take a few days for the full measure of damage to be realized.  Biden devastated the entire downline with that single comment.  That comment, and all the others indicating a move from fossil fuels to wind and solar will make people realize that if left to the devices of the Democommies, America becomes California over night, with brown outs being an almost daily event.  The problem of course is that the rest of the country does not have the warm climate of California.  People are going to die with Biden's energy policy.  YES, DIE!!!  They will freeze to death, or die of heat stroke, depending on where they live.