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Online mystery-ak

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Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« on: October 02, 2020, 01:11:23 pm »
Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
by Naomi Lim, Political Reporter |
 | October 02, 2020 06:17 AM

At first glance, 2020 Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden seems well positioned should his Nov. 3 election against President Trump come down to Pennsylvania.

Biden averages a 5 percentage point lead on Trump in Pennsylvania, according to RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight. And just this week two polls fielded among likely voters in the state found the two-term vice president challenger with a 9-point advantage on the incumbent.

Biden, for his part, projected confidence Wednesday during a whistle-stop train tour of eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania. The daylong swing targeted disaffected former President Barack Obama Democrats who supported Trump in 2016.

“We're picking up an awful lot of the folks who used to be Democrats. They’re coming back home,” Biden told reporters in Johnstown. “Even if we just cut the margins it makes a gigantic difference. A gigantic difference."

But a closer look at the polls reveals the race is still tight 30-odd days before the deadline for voters to cast their ballots.

Biden has majority support in Pennsylvania with 54% of the vote to Trump's 45%, according to ABC News and the Washington Post this week. Only 1% had no opinion. And a day earlier The New York Times and Siena College found the Democrat had 49% of the vote to the Republican's 40%. Another 8% were undecided.

Those polls suggest Biden's pulling away from Trump, but the surveys' margins of error mean the contest is still too close to call. ABC News and the Washington Post's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 5 points, so Trump could be ahead 50% to 49%. The New York Times and Siena College's results have a margin of error of 4.5 points, so Trump could be in front, 45% to 44%.

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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/bidens-pennsylvania-polling-lead-may-not-be-what-it-seems
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2020, 01:17:08 pm »
Quote
And just this week two polls fielded among likely voters in the state found the two-term vice president challenger with a 9-point advantage on the incumbent.

Two polls fielded among likely voters in the state who happened to be at home during working hours when the pollsters called and who had extra time in their empty day to answer questions from pollsters who can't correctly pronounce words like 'Pence'.
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Offline RedHead

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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2020, 02:48:42 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on October 02, 2020, 01:11:23 pm
Those polls suggest Biden's pulling away from Trump, but the surveys' margins of error mean the contest is still too close to call. ABC News and the Washington Post's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 5 points, so Trump could be ahead 50% to 49%. The New York Times and Siena College's results have a margin of error of 4.5 points, so Trump could be in front, 45% to 44%.



By that logic Texas is too close to call as well.  Is there anyone who really thinks that Biden is going to take Texas?
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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2020, 02:54:42 pm »
Quote from: RedHead on October 02, 2020, 02:48:42 pm
By that logic Texas is too close to call as well.  Is there anyone who really thinks that Biden is going to take Texas?

Victoria33 believes so.
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Offline RedHead

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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2020, 07:47:24 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on October 02, 2020, 02:54:42 pm
Victoria33 believes so.

Well sorry to disappoint him/her but Biden isn't taking Texas.  Pennsylvania, however, remains to be seen.
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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2020, 07:50:03 pm »
Quote from: RedHead on October 02, 2020, 07:47:24 pm
Well sorry to disappoint him/her but Biden isn't taking Texas.  Pennsylvania, however, remains to be seen.

Frank Cannon tells me Biden will not take Penn unless Philthy's dead votes 3 times. 
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2020, 10:48:02 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on October 02, 2020, 07:50:03 pm
Frank Cannon tells me Biden will not take Penn unless Philthy's dead votes 3 times.

You heard from Frank?  Tell him from me that Barnaby Jones can kick his ass any day of the week.
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.

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Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2020, 11:58:35 pm »
Can Mr. Trump pull the rabbit out of the hat a second time in PA?
Remains to be seen...
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Re: Biden's Pennsylvania polling lead may not be what it seems
« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2020, 11:59:16 pm »
Quote from: Hoodat on October 02, 2020, 10:48:02 pm
You heard from Frank?  Tell him from me that Barnaby Jones can kick his ass any day of the week.

He did not respond.     
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