Biden Needs Seniors More Than They Need Biden
Saul Anuzis and Jim Martin
September 17, 2020
Democrats and the media are hyper-focused on the seniors’ vote in 2020. It’s a sizable constituency and early polling suggests former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in this demographic, which Trump won handily over Hillary Clinton in 2016.
In recent days, we’ve seen headlines proclaiming, “Biden leads Trump by double digits,†and “Biden is outperforming Trump with seniors,†and my current favorite, “Why older voters love Joe Biden.†The Boston Globe last week even announced that the seniors’ vote is now more powerful than suburban moms, and will decide the presidency.
Some of this may be close to accurate. Some might even be true — in mid-September. But a lot will happen between now and November 3 and these stories, often accompanied by splashy photos of old people holding Biden signs, carry just a whiff of desperation. Biden campaign operatives and more than a few media outlets not only hope seniors side with Biden, they know seniors must side with him.
Many surveys suggest that Biden is more likable than Hillary Clinton was four years ago, but the Delaware Democrat has a problem with other voters on which his party has long relied for victory. A recent survey of Hispanic voters in Florida, conducted by Equis Research, showed Biden with a commanding 16 point advantage over the president. This sounds impressive until one learns that Clinton won Hispanics in that state by 27 points.
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