Joe Biden polling better in swing states than past two Democratic nominees
by Joseph Simonson, Political Reporter |
| July 24, 2020 04:50 PM
To understand how poorly President Trump is currently faring against Joe Biden, look at past polls taken in late July by the past two Democratic nominees, Hillary Clinton in 2016, who lost to Trump, and President Barack Obama in 2012, who won reelection over Republican rival Mitt Romney.
A recent survey from Fox News confirms what much of the Trump campaign already knows: they're falling behind — and fast. In Michigan, which Trump narrowly won in 2016, Biden leads him by 9 points. In Pennsylvania, the gap is even larger, at 11 points.
Just a few months ago, the Trump campaign was planning an aggressive push to flip Minnesota to the GOP column, something the president came close to doing in 2016. But with Biden holding a 13-point lead, according to Fox News, Minnesota seems pretty much off-limits to a Trump victory.
And Biden's current strength means the electoral map looks more and more like something from Bill Clinton's victories in 1992 and 1996, with the former vice president outperforming Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. Looking at the state of those races in July during the last three presidential cycles shows Biden doing better than either candidate in Texas, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Michigan.
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