Fraudulent Models, Fatal Consequences

[mystery-ak]

   Fraudulent Models, Fatal Consequences

These models, and the decisions based on them, should not inflict any more damage.
By Julie Kelly • May 18, 2020

It was the model that shocked the world.

In mid-March, British researchers issued an alarming study that predicted 2.2 million Americans would die of COVID-19 by August without immediate, draconian measures to halt its spread. As the virus rampaged across the country, more than 80 percent of Americans would be infected, the experts warned, causing massive shortages of hospital beds and intensive care units. Death and misery would be the new norm for months to come.

Dr. Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at the London-based Imperial College who led the team, made “social distancing” a household term. “A combination of case isolation, social distancing of the entire population and either household quarantine or school and university closure are required,” Ferguson wrote. “All four interventions combined are predicted to have the largest effect on transmission.”

Ferguson’s work terrified policymakers, the news media, and general public. Dr. Deborah Birx referenced the model during a March 16 press briefing at the White House. “Sweeping new federal recommendations announced on Monday for Americans to sharply limit their activities appeared to draw on a dire scientific report warning that, without action by the government and individuals to slow the spread of coronavirus and suppress new cases, 2.2 million people in the United States could die,” the New York Times reported March 16.

Ferguson strayed from the role of objective scientist to global policy advisor, insisting his harsh rules should continue for at least 18 months until a vaccine was found. “It’s a difficult position for the world to be in,” he opined after his paper’s release.

more
https://amgreatness.com/2020/05/18/fraudulent-models-fatal-consequences/

[Smokin Joe]

After careful consideration, I believe there will be another wave, and it will coincide with the time of year when people gather in confined spaces in air conditioning, seeking relief from summer's heat.

The last wave coincided with a time of year people were together in confined spaces seeking relief from winter's cold.

In both cases HVAC systems recirculate that temperature-controlled air through entire buildings, wings, or facilities.

The dip in cases will be when temperatures are more pleasant outside, and people can participate in activities which have them in open spaces, more distant by the nature of those activities.  .