I got you 100% on that. But you are discounting Rasmussen too? I'd could use some good news, but that last one was punch in the gut.
Public polls are different from the private ones that campaigns contract. They cost less and lack the kind precision found in the multimillion dollar, professionally conducted polls where there are no students or low wage hires canvassing for raw data. Trump’s campaign is making strategic decisions based not on public polls, but on private polling information for which they paid a lot of money.
Rasmussen has just as much chance of getting it wrong as any other polling outfit.