The takeaway I get from this is that VOLUNTARY social distancing works. MANDATORY distancing, on the other hand, isn't helpful.
Yes, but it is a bit more complicated than that... City vs. town vs. rural, as I said before, are different logistical sets and should be treated differently... and perhaps your 'voluntary' is better presented as true quarantine vs. this silly quasi-quarantine which has been imposed.
To someone who is personally threatened, having preexisting conditions, the threat is real, and self preservation requires a true and mindful self-imposed quarantine, practiced with discipline. Whereas, by and large, quasi-quarantine means very little.
I have said that this quasi-quarantine may work on the personal level, but is nearly useless in the aggregate. And the numbers are kinda heading that way.