Author Topic: Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls  (Read 277 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls
by Timothy P. Carney
 | April 08, 2020 10:02 PM

With Bernie Sanders' surrender in the Democratic primary, the 2020 matchup is clear: Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump. The recent polls look good for the Democrats.

Biden has led Trump in every single head-to-head poll since mid-February, back when the former vice president was a fourth-or-fifth place candidate in the Democratic primary.

Since Biden won South Carolina on Feb. 29, he has led Trump in all 16 head-to-head national polls in the Real Clear Politics scoreboard. RCP’s average, which includes 10 polls, going back to March 11, is Biden 49.7% to Trump 43.4%. That’s a massive lead.

Now these are almost all polls of registered voters, since it’s hard to get a likely voter screen for a general election that’s seven months out. Also, there is no national popular vote, as Hillary Clinton and Al Gore can tell you.

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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/parsing-the-polls-biden-leads-trump-in-all-general-election-polls
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Online GtHawk

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Re: Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls
« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2020, 05:22:03 pm »


   

Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls
« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2020, 10:54:21 pm »
Laugh all you want today.

But as election day draws closer, I sense that the laughter is gonna start dyin' down...

Offline Absalom

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Re: Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls
« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2020, 04:32:21 am »
History affirms that in periods of great stress, Man traditionally rallies around his Leaders.
When he does not, revolution/upheaval is in the air; precisely what these polls reveal.
The Fan Club, will rant, rave and rage; yet let them as they remain oblivious to reality.

Offline dancer

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Re: Parsing the Polls: Biden leads Trump in all general election polls
« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2020, 05:10:19 am »
Well  parse this, Tim.  RCP is well known to only use the worst of polls in it's aggregation.  Let's see the details.