Author Topic: Model Projects When the Coronavirus Will Peak in Each State  (Read 4701 times)

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Model Projects When the Coronavirus Will Peak in Each State
« on: March 31, 2020, 06:56:54 pm »
Hannah Bleau 31 Mar 2020

The United States, as a whole, is roughly two weeks away from reaching the peak of the coronavirus pandemic, but the peaks for individual states will vary, with most occurring over the next four weeks, according to projections from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

When it comes to the arrival of the coronavirus, not all states are facing the same timeline. Some states, like New York and Louisiana, have quickly become epicenters of the virus in the United States and, as a result, will reach a resource peak weeks sooner than states like Kentucky and Missouri, which are not expected to reach their highest demand until the second week of May. The various projections, based on peak hospital resource demand caused by the virus, could explain why some governors are taking more aggressive, imminent actions in their response to the pandemic.

Here are the projected peaks for all 50 states, plus D.C., per the IHME model. The model takes into consideration the number of beds needed, as well as ventilators.

New York, for example, is expected to hit its resource peak April 9. The current model, at the time of this publication, estimates a bed shortage of 60,610 and 9,055 ventilators needed. A state like Kentucky, however, is not expected to reach its peak until May 12. It shows the state having a surplus of beds and 288 ventilators needed.

Here is the resource peak for each state. Resource details can be found here:

    Vermont: April 9
    New York: April 9
    New Jersey: April 9
    Michigan: April 10
    Connecticut: April 10
    Louisiana: April 10
    Idaho: April 12
    Massachusetts: April 14
    Iowa: April 15
    Pennsylvania: April 15
    Illinois: April 16
    Oklahoma: April 17
    Indiana: April 17
    Colorado: April 17
    Washington, DC: April 18
    Rhode Island: April 19
    Ohio: April 19
    Delaware: April 20
    Alabama: April 20
    Arkansas: April 20
    Nevada: April 20
    Minnesota: April 21
    Georgia: April 22
    Mississippi: April 22
    North Carolina: April 22
    Arizona: April 24
    South Carolina: April 24
    Washington: April 24
    Maine: April 25
    Tennessee: April 26
    California: April 26
    Wisconsin: April 26
    Utah: April 27
    Kansas: April 28
    New Hampshire: April 30
    New Mexico: April 30
    Alaska: April 30
    Hawaii: April 30
    Nebraska: April 30
    Montana: April 30
    West Virginia: May 1
    North Dakota: May 1
    South Dakota: May 1
    Wyoming: May 1
    Texas: May 2
    Oregon: May 3
    Florida: May 3
    Missouri: May 11
    Kentucky: May 12
    Maryland: May 14
    Virginia: May 17

more
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/03/31/model-projects-when-the-coronavirus-will-peak-in-each-state/
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