CGTN
@CGTNOfficial
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#CoronavirusOutbreak in China:
- 2,761 confirmed cases, including 17 in Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan
- 80 deaths
- 51 cured
- 5,794 suspected cases
What alot of people don't understand, is that they think unless this is some kind of a killer virus like ebola with a high mortality rate then oh well it's not a big deal.
I've read unconfirmed reports that the kill rate for the virus is 15%, but for grins and giggles let's call it a nice round 10%.
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I live in a county with 36K people...
If half are infected, that's 18K people...
If half of those get seriously sick, that's 9K people. Enough there to overwhelm the hospitals and probably about shut everything down...
If 10% of the infected die, that's 1800 people. We see an average of 25 deaths a week in this county. We don't have near the facilities here to deal with the bodies...
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Bottom line is infection rates will be way higher in places like NYC v. rural Montana. The averages will be way skewed.
The ripple effects will be way beyond the death toll. Shortages, lost production, overwhelmed facilities, disruptiion of services, and who knows what kind of SHTF in the cities.
That why I take this particular outbreak seriously, because it seems highly contagious and slow to manifest, and the various world govts don't seem very quick on the stick in containing it.