The 2016 Electoral College Map: A Template for 2020
Seth Moskowitz, Guest Columnist January 2nd, 2020
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In 2016, Hillary Clinton would have needed to flip 38 additional Electoral College votes to reach 270[1], thereby winning a majority in the Electoral College.
— Using 2016 presidential election results, we can map out the different paths that Clinton had to winning 270 electoral votes. These routes — and how far Clinton was from winning them — give us a template for how presidential candidates might plan their strategies for this November’s election.
— Flipping Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin is likely Democrats’ best chance at winning back the presidency. But last election’s results reveal other paths to 270 for Democrats (like Florida and Arizona) that were competitive in 2016 and could be decisive this November.
— Republicans have a few pickup opportunities — most notably New Hampshire — that could tip a close election in their favor.
Map 1: 2016 presidential results by state
more
http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-2016-electoral-college-map-a-template-for-2020/