Democrats Have a Teeny, Tiny Edge for 2020
The midterm elections made the Electoral College map a little more hostile to Trump. With the emphasis on “a little.â€
By Albert R. Hunt
November 21, 2018, 5:00 AM CST
No Democratic candidate has better than a 5-to-1 shot to win the 2020 presidential nomination, and it’s not much better than 50-50 that President Donald Trump will run again. There are a lot of political unforeseens ahead.
With that caveat, this year’s midterm election suggests that Democrats will go into the next national contest with a slight structural advantage. This matters if, as in 2000 and 2016, the race is decided by fewer than three percentage points.
Trump was elected in 2016 with a 306-to-232 Electoral College win while losing the popular vote by more than 2.8 million votes, or 2.2 percentage points.
Read more at: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-21/2020-presidential-election-democrats-have-a-little-leg-up
I can see them saying for example, Wisconsin is
barely trending blue. Wisconsin is a fairly evenly-split state to begin with. Nothing to take for granted.
In case, one down-talks Al Hunt, I find him intolerable. When he was on CNN decades ago it seems, he wasn't too bad. Now, he is.
