Poll: Senate candidates separated by less than 3 points in Florida, Arizona and Indiana

[mystery-ak]

Poll: Senate candidates separated by less than 3 points in Florida, Arizona and Indiana
By Megan Keller - 10/28/18 11:37 AM EDT

Several critical Senate races are virtually tied with the midterms a little over a week away, according to CBS polls released Sunday.

In Florida's Senate race, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) and Gov. Rick Scott (R) are tied at 46 percent.

In Arizona's Senate race, Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) leads Rep. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) by three points, at 47 to 44 percent. The difference is within the poll's margin of error.

In Indiana, Mike Braun (R) leads the incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) also by only three points, at 46 to 43 percent. The narrow gap is also within the poll's margin of error.

Democrats need a net gain of two seats to retake the Senate. Republicans are currently predicted to hold their majority. Fivethirtyeight gives them a 5 in 6 chance of maintaining their majority.

However, the same prediction expects Democrats to flip the House. Fivethirtyeight gives them a 6 in 7 shot at doing so.

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https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/413532-poll-senate-candidates-separated-by-less-than-3-points-in-florida-arizona-and

[Fishrrman]

My prediction:

We'll win in Indiana, but Arizona and Florida are "goin' blue" this time.

I wouldn't mind being proven wrong, but that's how I see it...

[Free Vulcan]

The polls are BS. The GOP is leading in absentees, which has always been Dem turf, while the GOP shows up at the polls.

The Indies are barely voting at all, and the ones who are, are heavier in GOP dominant precincts.

Traditional Dem voting groups are mediocre right now in turnout. This doesn't even account for Dem crossover.

Where are they going to get the votes?

[libertybele]

The polls are BS. The GOP is leading in absentees, which has always been Dem turf, while the GOP shows up at the polls.

The Indies are barely voting at all, and the ones who are, are heavier in GOP dominant precincts.

Traditional Dem voting groups are mediocre right now in turnout. This doesn't even account for Dem crossover.

Where are they going to get the votes?

Dead people and illegals as always.

[Free Vulcan]

Dead people and illegals as always.

That might get you a half a percent, but I don't see it being that close in a lot of these races.