The State of the Race for the House
By Jim Geraghty
October 18, 2018 3:08 PM
Three weeks before Election Day, most of those open seats in red districts still look safe for Republicans.
Way back in January, I went through the then-34 seats where a Republican incumbent was retiring and concluded that most were in deeply red districts and not likely to flip to Democrats.
Pollsters and media organizations are less inclined to conduct surveys of House races, both because there’s less public interest and because such polling is expensive, given that area codes don’t always align neatly with congressional district lines. Moreover, many of the House-race polls that have been released to the public are sponsored by a partisan firm, and a slew of house districts with open seats haven’t been polled at all, so you should feel free to take the following with as many grains of salt as you like.
All that said, in the districts where we’ve seen a poll since summer, things generally look pretty good for the GOP. Here’s where things stand as of now.
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https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/10/midterms-2018-house-race-polling/
