Major Bill wrote:
"I dunno if it is unconstitutional. NPV still keeps the Electoral College, and it will still be the electors voting for President. It is just one method for how an individual state chooses to allocate its electors, and that's not something the Constitution addresses at all. Heck, it would be entirely Constitutional for states to select Electors without having a popular vote in their state at all."
Therein lies how NPV will be overturned, sir.
Yes, you correctly observe that the Constitution pretty much "leaves it to the states" to determine how the electors will be selected. But there are limits that I believe are sanctioned by both the Constitution (Amendment XIV) and federal law (The Voting Rights Act).
If a state wished to assign its electors as per "the popular vote winner" (in other states), it's free to do so, with one very big proviso:
There must be NO ELECTION WITHIN that same state... because...
If there -IS- an election held...
.... then... under the Voting Rights Act (I believe it can be argued), the state must respect the votes of each and every voter WITHIN that state.
And elections are "won" by the highest number of votes cast (vis-a-vis someone receiving a lower number of votes).
If candidate A wins the popular vote within the state, whereas candidate B loses (but wins the popular vote in other states), if the state then chooses to arbitrarily "invalidate" the votes cast (remember that each vote is cast by an individual), that disenfranchises the voters.
It wasn't Constitutional when southern states did whatever they could to prevent black voters from having their votes counted, and it will remain unconstitutional that ANY voter's vote could be arbitrarily "dis-counted" in a statewide election.
So... again... a state such as Massaschsetts may assign its electors based upon the outcome of elections IN OTHER states. But to do so, it must refrain from having an ELECTION -in- Massachusetts for that purpose (to assign electors).
If Massachusetts DOES conduct an election within its own borders, it must then abide BY THE RESULTS of that election, because to disregard the results will violate the "equal protection of the laws" that the Constitution guarantees EVERY voter.
That's how I believe the arguments will go when [someday] the concept of "NPV" reaches the U.S. Supreme Court (as it will certainly do).
No electIon? Fine, assign your electors however you please.
BUT -- if you HAVE an election -- you better respect the voters' choice.