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Online mystery-ak

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Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« on: October 12, 2018, 04:49:03 pm »
Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
Senate results in midterms crucial for GOP and Democratic prospects in 2020
Posted Oct 12, 2018 11:16 AM
Stuart Rothenberg
@StuPolitics

ANALYSIS | The Democrats’ chances of netting at least two Senate seats always seemed like a long shot. But a month ago, the stars looked to be aligning for Democrats. Today, those stars tell a different story.

With Republican challenger Kevin Cramer opening up a clear margin over incumbent Heidi Heitkamp, the North Dakota Senate race looks all but over now, according to multiple insiders. That means Democrats will need to swipe at least three GOP seats to take back the Senate — an outcome that currently appears somewhere between unlikely and impossible.

Democratic prospects have also faded over the past couple of weeks in two important states, Tennessee and Arizona. And in Nevada, a state that went for Hillary Clinton two years ago, Republican incumbent Dean Heller is running even or slightly ahead of Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen. In Texas, where Democratic enthusiasm for Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke is off the charts, incumbent Ted Cruz continues to hold a clear and consistent advantage, with no sign that Lone Star state voters are going to fire him.

To make matters worse for Democrats, Republicans continue to threaten Democratic incumbents in four other states with Senate races — Missouri, Indiana, Florida and Montana. (Four other states that Donald Trump carried in 2016 — Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — are not competitive.)

more
http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/senate-house-democrats-hope
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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2018, 05:02:15 pm »
I just don't see the House flipping. There are right now 32 toss ups, if the GOP takes 2/3 of them they will be in control.
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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2018, 05:11:43 pm »
Quote from: Free Vulcan on October 12, 2018, 05:02:15 pm
I just don't see the House flipping. There are right now 32 toss ups, if the GOP takes 2/3 of them they will be in control.

House And Senate Incumbent Re-Election Rates Top 90%


https://www.outsidethebeltway.com/house-and-senate-incumbent-re-election-rates-top-90/

Why Do Incumbents Usually Win?

https://www.reference.com/government-politics/incumbents-usually-win-28d5000cc64bf6da
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2018, 05:16:22 pm »
IF the GOP manages to retain their majority in both Houses, I can only imagine the ire, mud slinging and accusations from the left!  They will be in a frenzy like never before.
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Offline jafo2010

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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2018, 06:48:16 pm »
As I have said, the Republicans hold a narrow margin in the House and have a net gain of four seats in the Senate.  The Democommies will fall into a silent malaise for a period, but they will persist with their resistance/abdication approach which is netting them nothing.  Americans will continue to awaken to the fact that the Democommies are doing nothing with this approach, and will continue to creep step by step away from them as if they have leprosy.

Sadly, the Democommies have been taken over by just that, socialists and communists.  FDR, JFK, RFK, etc would be shocked at the party of today.

I encourage all to look online for the 45 Objectives of the Communist Party of America, circa 1963, and see for yourself that the Democrat Party is in fact the Democommunist Party of America.
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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2018, 06:52:09 pm »
Quote from: jafo2010 on October 14, 2018, 06:48:16 pm
Sadly, the Democommies have been taken over by just that, socialists and communists.  FDR, JFK, RFK, etc would be shocked at the party of today.

And Sadly, a good number of Democrats ran as Republicans and are now entrenched in leadership, having no problem with Socialism/Statism Planks as long as they get to control the money for those 'programs'.
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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2018, 06:53:36 pm »
The Democrats have become so violent and radical these days that I honestly don't think Bill Clinton or Carter could run as a Democrat these days. They are not far enough into the radical far far-Left column for the Democrats of today.
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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2018, 07:09:46 pm »
Quote from: 240B on October 14, 2018, 06:53:36 pm
The Democrats have become so violent and radical these days that I honestly don't think Bill Clinton or Carter could run as a Democrat these days. They are not far enough into the radical far far-Left column for the Democrats of today.

Maybe so, but for Hillary it would be just one more in a long line of self-reinventions...

We need to hold the Senate to continue fixing the judiciary, but I'm not so sure losing the House would be such a bad thing. I could see it easily cementing Trump's reelection. We're not accomplishing much legislatively anyway, and dems would be unable to do any of the things their rabid base wants. They'd have to decide whether to impeach, and that's a horrendous lose-lose proposition for them...

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Offline Formerly Once-Ler

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Re: Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2018, 07:23:53 pm »
When I read the terrain I think the GOP adds a couple seats in the Senate, and loses some seats in the House, but maybe not enough to lose the majority.  They'll also lose some Governors seats, and some state legislatures.  A lot in fact. 

What ever happens I don't see Trump and the GOP accomplishing much legislatively before 2020. 
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