Senate rankings: 10 seats most likely to flip

[mystery-ak]

Senate rankings: 10 seats most likely to flip
By Max Greenwood and Lisa Hagen - 09/11/18 03:38 PM EDT

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) acknowledged Tuesday that Republicans will be facing a “storm” in the November midterms, describing the races as "a knife fight in an alley," while adding he was still hoping that Republicans would retain their majority "when the smoke clears."

Republicans still have the upper hand, as Democrats must defend 10 seats carried by President Trump in 2016, but Democrats believe they have a narrow path to take the Senate.

Here are the top 10 seats most likely to flip:

1. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.)

The freshman senator is one of five Democrats up for reelection in a state that Trump won by double-digits, with North Dakota giving the president a 36 point margin over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.), the state’s lone House member since 2013, has been a loyal ally of Trump, who persuaded him to run after he initially declined. The last public poll from June had Cramer up 4 points, and Republicans say private polls show him ahead.

But Democrats contend that GOP polling was off in Heitkamp’s 2012 race, which showed her down consistently. She ultimately won by less than a point.

The escalating trade war has become a central issue in the race. And like many Democrats, Heitkamp is hoping her opposition to an anti-ObamaCare lawsuit will be a successful wedge issue.

Meanwhile, Cramer is hitting Heitkamp for opposing the tax cuts passed by Congress last year, Trump’s most significant legislative achievement to date.

But Heitkamp has a strong personal brand, and she believes she can win over enough moderate voters. Ultimately, political observers say the race could hinge on Trump, and whether voters prefer a consistent Trump ally or a senator with an independent streak.

more
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/406121-senate-rankings-10-seats-most-likely-to-flip

[Frank Cannon]

Aren't these the same Commie Pinko jackasses who were positive that Hitlary would win? Oh yes it is. Guess that means we should take their next pile of shit guesses at the next election and post if effing everywhere like it GD matters.

First off Mitch the Turtle made the exact same stupid knife fight quote in '16 about the GOP's chances. Look how that turned out. I will also note that The Commie Hill also only quotes what the Rats say about the outcome of the race. Not a word about what the GOP said. Seems a lot effing one sided for something considered MIDDLE OF THE ROAD/STRAIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE NEWS.

[Smokin Joe]

Heitkamp's vote to retain late term abortion is being brought up, too. Her race really showed the East/West schism in North Dakota, with the East side acting more like Minnesota, and the West being more conservative. Fundamental differences in the populations of the regions include the most populous cities in the East, fueled by University and Air Base funds, with farming and dependency on Federal Flood Aid for the annual Red River Floods, versus the oil producing, farming and ranching west with coal mines and electrical power generation. The latter is less reliant on the Feds for money, the East more so, and it shows. Farming is present in the East as well.

Anyway, the electoral map by county in the Senate Race has historically exposed the fundamental philosophical divide, with Indian Reservations typically voting Democrat as well. Population demographics have shifted in the Western part of the state, with greater representation of minorities which were formerly only a very small component of the population, so the effect on the overall popular vote may be felt as well.

[Smokin Joe]

Aren't these the same Commie Pinko jackasses who were positive that Hitlary would win? Oh yes it is. Guess that means we should take their next pile of shit guesses at the next election and post if effing everywhere like it GD matters.

First off Mitch the Turtle made the exact same stupid knife fight quote in '16 about the GOP's chances. Look how that turned out. I will also note that The Commie Hill also only quotes what the Rats say about the outcome of the race. Not a word about what the GOP said. Seems a lot effing one sided for something considered MIDDLE OF THE ROAD/STRAIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE NEWS.

It is the old Bolshevik tactic of proclaiming an overwhelming majority when none exists. Still, the election was close last time with Heitkamp capitalizing on her reputation in State Government and name recognition.

[mountaineer]

I'm not optimistic about Patrick Morrisey defeating Joe Manchin. Joe's votes are 180 degrees from the vast majority of West Virginians, but few of them bother to find that out. They just know he's good ol' Joe.

[corbe]

   I didn't RTFA, is Ted Cruz on it?

[bilo]

I'm missing something.

The economy is doing well and the manufacturing jobs everyone said were gone for good are coming back! North Korea isn't firing missiles and isn't saying they want to destroy us, instead there is a chance for real peace. Iran is in serious economic trouble.  China is being confronted for all their under handed behavior. Europe is being told they have to pay their share for NATO. Israel is our ally again and the PLO is finally being confronted for being the obstacle to peace. Our military is being rebuilt. Judges who actually believe they should follow the constitution are being confirmed. Our President is not letting up on the immigration problems we have and has a pretty detailed plan to solve them.

So why exactly are so many people eager to stop all this progress and go back to the quagmire we were in under obama?

[Frank Cannon]

So why exactly are so many people eager to stop all this progress and go back to the quagmire we were in under obama?

Not many people are. Many Millennial Leftist writers like the ones pumping this article are though. 

[bilo]

Not many people are. Many Millennial Leftist writers like the ones pumping this article are though.

You've got to be right. It makes no sense to return to the obama quagmire.

[montanajoe]

I'd be surprised if Tester loses..if the election was today then Rosendahl would have a good shot, but in November with the college students back in the big, for here, university towns I think they will go with him overwhelmingly.

Another factor IMO will be the Veteran vote. There are and more and more of us having to get care in other states because Fort Harrison cant attract or keep any Doc's. Tester got funding for a long needed vets home up here and the current administration has done nothing (just like the previous administration) for Vets.

If I vote, which is doubtful, I'll vote in my self interest, and vote for the only guy I see that has actually done anything for the Vets up here...

[Fishrrman]

1. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.)
2. Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.)
3. Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.)
4. Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.)
5. Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.)
6. Arizona’s open seat
7. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.)
8. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.)
9. Tennessee’s open seat
10. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.)

[Formerly Once-Ler]

Aren't these the same Commie Pinko jackasses who were positive that Hitlary would win? Oh yes it is. Guess that means we should take their next pile of shit guesses at the next election and post if effing everywhere like it GD matters.

First off Mitch the Turtle made the exact same stupid knife fight quote in '16 about the GOP's chances. Look how that turned out. I will also note that The Commie Hill also only quotes what the Rats say about the outcome of the race. Not a word about what the GOP said. Seems a lot effing one sided for something considered MIDDLE OF THE ROAD/STRAIGHT DOWN THE MIDDLE NEWS.

Piling it high without reading the article again @Frank Cannon ?
The only quote in the article besides McConnell is Republican Dean Heller.

! No longer available

You are loved.

[Frank Cannon]

Piling it high without reading the article again @Frank Cannon ?
The only quote in the article besides McConnell is Republican Dean Heller.

Quoting from his effing campaign ad isn't exactly a real quote, is it?

[Formerly Once-Ler]

Quoting from his effing campaign ad isn't exactly a real quote, is it Rino hack?

Remember, insulting other members can get win you a time-out.