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Online mystery-ak

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Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« on: September 04, 2018, 02:03:31 pm »
Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
by Caitlin Yilek
 | September 04, 2018 07:30 AM



Support for Democratic candidates is surging two months ahead of the midterm elections, setting up the party for a wave on Election Day, according to a new poll.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll released Tuesday finds registered voters favor the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate in their district by 52 percent to 38 percent. It’s a notable increase since an April poll showed Democrats held a 4-point lead.

Democrats need to flip 23 seats in the House in the upcoming election to regain the majority in the lower chamber.

Sixty percent of voters said they prefer to have Democrats in control of Congress “as a check on Trump” rather than a Republican-controlled Congress “to support Trump’s agenda,” the poll showed. In July 2017, when Trump’s job approval ratings were similar, 52 percent of voters wanted a Democratic-controlled Congress.

The poll found that 72 percent of adults think Democrats would try to impeach Trump if they were in control of the House. Among Republicans, 79 percent think the other party would seek to impeach Trump, while 70 percent of Democrats think their party would.

The poll was conducted Aug. 26-29 among 1,003 adults, including 879 registered voters. The overall sampling has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, while the portion of registered voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/democrats-surge-in-new-midterm-election-poll
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Offline skeeter

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2018, 02:07:32 pm »
This is about the time the lying sacks of dog scat in the media try to create momentum down the home stretch into early November.

The races will 'start tightening' around two or three weeks before the actual date in order to salvage their 'credibility' at election time. Which is hilarious.
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Offline Just_Victor

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2018, 02:21:11 pm »
The findings are based upon 879 registered voters.

Registered voter polls in off year elections are about as useful as roller skates for a kangaroo.

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2018, 02:22:57 pm »
Oh look, another righteous poll. 
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2018, 02:27:54 pm »
Quote from: Just_Victor on September 04, 2018, 02:21:11 pm
The findings are based upon 879 registered voters.

Registered voter polls in off year elections are about as useful as roller skates for a kangaroo.

 :amen:  :beer:
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2018, 02:31:32 pm »
Every poll I've seen has a major demographic flaw that skews the results.
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Offline Applewood

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2018, 02:48:51 pm »
I don't trust polls - they are all flawed -- but if this one does mean bad news for Republicans, well, it's their fault.
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Offline jmyrlefuller

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2018, 03:47:54 pm »
Repeat after me: generic ballots are not representatives of the individual districts in play.
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #8 on: September 04, 2018, 03:58:28 pm »
Quote from: jmyrlefuller on September 04, 2018, 03:47:54 pm
Repeat after me: generic ballots are not representatives of the individual districts in play.

No they are not. That's the bait and switch aspect of generic ballot polls that I particularly don't like.
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Offline InHeavenThereIsNoBeer

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #9 on: September 04, 2018, 05:06:35 pm »
Quote from: jmyrlefuller on September 04, 2018, 03:47:54 pm
Repeat after me: generic ballots are not representatives of the individual districts in play.

The Washington Post-ABC News poll released Tuesday finds registered voters favor the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate in their district by 52 percent to 38 percent.
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #10 on: September 04, 2018, 08:07:15 pm »
Well good.  If the polls indicate that the DEMS are ahead, then there is really no reason for them to show up to vote at their local precinct.  Fine by me!
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #11 on: September 04, 2018, 08:41:13 pm »
Quote from: libertybele on September 04, 2018, 08:07:15 pm
Well good.  If the polls indicate that the DEMS are ahead, then there is really no reason for them to show up to vote at their local precinct.  Fine by me!

Exactly. They are doing another Hillary. Dems will win by 99.9% of the vote! It is already over. The election is just a procedural issue, but the Dems already have it in the bag.

It's a beautiful thing. They know it is wrong to do this, but they just can't help themselves.
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Offline 240B

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #12 on: September 04, 2018, 08:45:46 pm »
See the source image
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #13 on: September 04, 2018, 08:46:39 pm »
Quote from: InHeavenThereIsNoBeer on September 04, 2018, 05:06:35 pm
The Washington Post-ABC News poll released Tuesday finds registered voters favor the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate in their district by 52 percent to 38 percent.
That's a generic ballot, meaning they randomly chose people in all districts, including safe seats. Safe Dem seats go as high as 90/10 in the cities. Most safe GOP seats only go about 70/30. So a generic ballot of all districts will skew more Dem than representation will come out in November. It also measures registered voters, more than half of whom will not vote come November.
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #14 on: September 04, 2018, 08:54:17 pm »
Take enough polls and you will get the result you want.
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Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #15 on: September 05, 2018, 12:51:27 am »
Well I can state with confidence that a democrat-communist is going to win in my Congressional district.

But I'm in Connecticut, so that's to be expected.

What's worse, the "Republican" candidate was himself a dem-com until just a year or so ago! So we've got TWO democrat-communists runnin' for governor. Take yer pick!
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Re: Democrats surge in new midterm election poll
« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2018, 04:00:21 pm »
Two generic ballot polls in today - Rasmussen and the left wing Economist. Rasmussen +4 Dems, Economist +5 Dems.

I assume using the same flawed sample.
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