@mystery-ak "
Democratic enthusiasm and a
GOP malaise surrounding President Trump have set the stage for a potentially devastating midterm election for the House Republican majority. In a series of
special elections mostly in
reliably GOP districts, Democratic candidates have
routinely outperformed Hillary Clinton’s share of the vote from 2016. At the same time, Republican candidates have
under-performed President Trump's vote share in all but two special elections.
If that pattern holds in November, the worst-case scenario for the GOP is a truly historic wipeout of as many as 72 House seats, according to The Hill’s analysis of special election results and congressional and presidential returns from 2016."
This is what I have written several times as these special elections were held. It didn't matter if the Dems didn't "win" a special election - It was the number of each party showing up that is different from other special elections in the recent past. The Democrats showing up at the special elections, is
more than showed up when Hillary was the candidate (they are now energized), and the number of Republicans showing up, is
less (not energized) than the recent past. In the upcoming election, if the Republicans show up less and the Dems show up more, Republican seats are in danger.