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Author Topic: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday  (Read 981 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« on: August 07, 2018, 03:05:36 pm »
By John Gizzi
Tuesday, 07 August 2018 07:52 AM

If Democrats win the nationally-watched special U.S. House race in Ohio’s historically Republican 12th District Tuesday, speculation will immediately turn to the question of how large the “tsunami wave” against the GOP will be this fall.

As of Monday, the contest between Republican State Sen. Troy Balderson and Democrat Danny O’Connor, the Franklin County (Columbus) Recorder of Deeds, could go either way. A Monmouth poll completed at the end of July showed Balderson leading O’Connor by a 1 point margin — 46 percent-45 percent.

But a just-completed Emerson poll gave O’Connor the edge by 47 percent to 46 percent—in a district that has been firmly in Republican hands for all but two of the last 80 years.

Following the Democratic wins in the special U.S. Senate race in Alabama in December and the Pennsylvania-18 special House race in March, more than a few political scientists are beginning to liken an O’Connor win to that of the Democratic capture of President Ford’s old House seat in Michigan in 1974 — the third Democratic pickup of Republican territory in a special election and the start of the wave that led to Democrats winning their largest U.S. House majority in modern times that year.

more
https://www.newsmax.com/john-gizzi/gop-ohio-troy-balderson-danny-oconnor/2018/08/07/id/875841/
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Offline endicom

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2018, 03:17:42 pm »

Balderson winning would indicate a GOP tsunami?

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Offline Suppressed

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2018, 03:19:58 pm »
Quote from: endicom on August 07, 2018, 03:17:42 pm
Balderson winning would indicate a GOP tsunami?

Does not follow.

This district should be a GOP win.  The fact that it's close is troubling.
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2018, 03:36:54 pm »
With what, a 25% turnout?
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Offline INVAR

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2018, 03:56:11 pm »
Quote from: Suppressed on August 07, 2018, 03:19:58 pm
Does not follow.

This district should be a GOP win.  The fact that it's close is troubling.

Meatworld sentiments locally are one of disgust held for Republicans for their party over the fruits of the last 5 years.  Talked to a bunch who are just gonna sit home election day, and it's a daunting task to get them to come out even to vote third party.  The fact that a potential loss in an historical-held GOP district might mean that the sentiments I find in my local sphere of interaction are a lot larger than the GOP might want to believe.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2018, 04:18:51 pm »
Everything is a harbinger of doom.  If the Republican wins, it won't be by enough.  If he loses, the entire House will collapse in November.  Either way it's doom for the GOP.  Thus it has always been.  I remember '84, when the smart money said if Reagan won less that 40 states the GOP was doomed.

Anybody who think they know how an election is going to go is probably wrong.  Sure, there are some sure things:  Pelosi will win,  That Commie with the weird eyed in NYC will win too.
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Offline XenaLee

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2018, 04:20:47 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 07, 2018, 04:18:51 pm
Everything is a harbinger of doom.  If the Republican wins, it won't be by enough.  If he loses, the entire House will collapse in November.  Either way it's doom for the GOP.  Thus it has always been.  I remember '84, when the smart money said if Reagan won less that 40 states the GOP was doomed.

Anybody who think they know how an election is going to go is probably wrong.  Sure, there are some sure things:  Pelosi will win,  That Commie with the weird eyed in NYC will win too.

Because... idiots will always vote (gleefully) for other idiots.  It's a constant in the universe.    :laugh:
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Offline INVAR

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2018, 05:19:55 pm »
Quote from: XenaLee on August 07, 2018, 04:20:47 pm
Because... idiots will always vote (gleefully) for other idiots.  It's a constant in the universe.    :laugh:

Actually, voters will likely always vote for Santa Claus and whomever promises more stuff taken from the other Americans they think they are entitled to.
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Fart for freedom, fart for liberty and fart proudly.  - Benjamin Franklin

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Offline XenaLee

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2018, 05:23:51 pm »
Quote from: INVAR on August 07, 2018, 05:19:55 pm
Actually, voters will likely always vote for Santa Claus and whomever promises more stuff taken from the other Americans they think they are entitled to.

Um.....

I'm a voter....

and I don't vote for Santa Claus. 

Only idiots vote for Santa Claus.

Because only idiots don't know Santa Claus doesn't exist and nothing is ever "FREE".
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Offline INVAR

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2018, 05:52:53 pm »
Quote from: XenaLee on August 07, 2018, 05:23:51 pm
Because only idiots don't know Santa Claus doesn't exist and nothing is ever "FREE".

You know that and I know that, but a vast majority of the population does not know that - and they do not want to have their fantasy spoiled by the truth.
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Fart for freedom, fart for liberty and fart proudly.  - Benjamin Franklin

...Obsta principiis—Nip the shoots of arbitrary power in the bud, is the only maxim which can ever preserve the liberties of any people. When the people give way, their deceivers, betrayers and destroyers press upon them so fast that there is no resisting afterwards. The nature of the encroachment upon [the] American constitution is such, as to grow every day more and more encroaching. Like a cancer, it eats faster and faster every hour." - John Adams, February 6, 1775

Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2018, 06:10:48 pm »
Quote from: XenaLee on August 07, 2018, 05:23:51 pm
Um.....

I'm a voter....

and I don't vote for Santa Claus. 

Only idiots vote for Santa Claus.

Because only idiots don't know Santa Claus doesn't exist and nothing is ever "FREE".

We are often outvoted by idiots.  "Those who don't remember the past are doomed to keep repeating it.  Those of us who do remember the past are doomed to continue repeating it anyway because of the morons who don't."
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Offline INVAR

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2018, 06:33:53 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 07, 2018, 06:10:48 pm
We are often outvoted by idiots.  "Those who don't remember the past are doomed to keep repeating it.  Those of us who do remember the past are doomed to continue repeating it anyway because of the morons who don't."

And a similar proverb about morons goes something like "America can survive a Marxist tyrant like Obama, but what it cannot survive is the millions of morons who made him their prince".
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Fart for freedom, fart for liberty and fart proudly.  - Benjamin Franklin

...Obsta principiis—Nip the shoots of arbitrary power in the bud, is the only maxim which can ever preserve the liberties of any people. When the people give way, their deceivers, betrayers and destroyers press upon them so fast that there is no resisting afterwards. The nature of the encroachment upon [the] American constitution is such, as to grow every day more and more encroaching. Like a cancer, it eats faster and faster every hour." - John Adams, February 6, 1775

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2018, 07:14:51 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 07, 2018, 06:10:48 pm
We are often outvoted by idiots. 

Who's the true idiot?  The candidate who couldn't make his case or the citizen who votes for someone else?
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2018, 07:21:50 pm »
Quote from: Right_in_Virginia on August 07, 2018, 07:14:51 pm
Who's the true idiot?  The candidate who couldn't make his case or the citizen who votes for someone else?

The citizen who buys the lies from a Santa Claus, and jumps for the fancy theoretical lollipop, without questioning the ability of Santa to deliver.

In the meat world, God will always lose to Santa Claus with these idiots.  They are idiots for buying leftist promises that cannot reasonably be delivered, and if they outvote us, they will drag us all down the hellhole with them.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #14 on: August 07, 2018, 07:22:25 pm »
Quote from: INVAR on August 07, 2018, 06:33:53 pm
And a similar proverb about morons goes something like "America can survive a Marxist tyrant like Obama, but what it cannot survive is the millions of morons who made him their prince".

 :thumbsup:

Fact.
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Online corbe

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #15 on: August 07, 2018, 07:22:49 pm »
Quote from: Right_in_Virginia on August 07, 2018, 07:14:51 pm
Who's the true idiot?  The candidate who couldn't make his case or the citizen who votes for someone else?


   The Cruz butthurt is strong with that one @Right_in_Virginia
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #16 on: August 07, 2018, 07:23:58 pm »
Quote from: corbe on August 07, 2018, 07:22:49 pm

   The Cruz butthurt is strong with that one @Right_in_Virginia

Who?
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For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
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Online corbe

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #17 on: August 07, 2018, 07:26:41 pm »
Quote from: Cyber Liberty on August 07, 2018, 07:23:58 pm
Who?

   Maybe I read RiV's above post to literally @Cyber Liberty, The implications seemed to overflow for me.
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #18 on: August 07, 2018, 08:22:38 pm »
Quote from: corbe on August 07, 2018, 07:26:41 pm
   Maybe I read RiV's above post to literally @Cyber Liberty, The implications seemed to overflow for me.

No harm, no foul, Bro.
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For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #19 on: August 07, 2018, 08:59:36 pm »
Quote from: corbe on August 07, 2018, 07:22:49 pm

   The Cruz butthurt is strong with that one @Right_in_Virginia

Who's talking about Cruz?
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Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #20 on: August 07, 2018, 09:06:13 pm »
Quote from: Right_in_Virginia on August 07, 2018, 08:59:36 pm
Who's talking about Cruz?

I dunno...I wasn't.
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For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Tsunami Against GOP Will Start If Dems Win OH-12 Tuesday
« Reply #21 on: August 07, 2018, 09:38:38 pm »
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