LIVE THREAD>>>SCOTUS Announcement

[TomSea]

The real surprise is that you aren't.   

You are correct as you are, 9 times out of 10. Forgive me. 
@Sanguine

[Frank Cannon]

It really is PHUNNY watching some people hyperventilate over this choice!

It truly is!  And kind of sickening at the same time.

[TomSea]

The hourly fox radio news reports has nothing but how the Democrats are hysterical about this appointee.  They aren't the only ones.

Really, everyone has their opinion, I respect that but we are trying to move this country forward. Some remarks are pathetic.

[bilo]

??? More PUB Senators?  What are you basing this on?  The GOP lost the past several special elections.  It's not like we have an overwhelming group of conservative Senators ready to fill the shoes of RINO's or DEMS  for the mid terms. 

IMHO reality is the GOP may not retain their slim majority, in fact I think it is likely that they won't. The time to try place a conservative constitutionalist on the bench is now and Trump failed bigly!

https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/

There is a nice breakdown at the link.

The Pubs are going to gain seats in the Senate. It's just a question of how many.

The House is a different story.

[bilo]

I'm disappointed @Emjay because quite a few were using the "principle" of strict constitutionalist judges as a smokescreen for conservative activist judges.

There will be no getting through their disappointment.

What may be lost in the smoke is a strict constructionist will be conservative. He just won't be making law out of thin air. For example if Roe V. Wade comes up it may be struck down, but then the issue of abortion will return to the states, or legislature, where it should have been resolved in the first place. I like our odds in this fight in a federal system.

[bilo]

I don't think it's just here @Emjay  I think there's a group of conservatives who have been waiting for the avenging activist judge to undo all the liberal damage in a single ruling.   

I am only half kidding.

Hey, put me in that group. The Rats have used the courts to impose their tyranny on us for way too long! If there was 1 person you could put on the court that could undo all the crap I would be all for it.

[libertybele]

https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/

There is a nice breakdown at the link.

The Pubs are going to gain seats in the Senate. It's just a question of how many.

The House is a different story.

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

[edpc]

He knows this, probably better than any one of us.  As Jay Sekulow said this morning about Kavanaugh:  "He understands the role of the judge". 

That might be comforting if Sekulow understood what 'investigation' meant.



! No longer available

[Oceander]

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

I believe the argument is based, in part, on the basis that the democrats are defending more doubtful seats this time than the republicans are. 

[Free Vulcan]

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

Special elections are a very risky dataset to extrapolate general election results from due to low turnout and the ability to manipulate outcomes because of it.

The polls that most organizations are putting out are oversampling traditional Dem voting demographic groups that don't generally turnout in the percentages that are being polled. If those samplings are wrong, the GOP is going to win big.

The main thing is the GOP base needs to be energized and show up in high percentages. That is our quickest and best way to victory.

[Oceander]

What may be lost in the smoke is a strict constructionist will be conservative. He just won't be making law out of thin air. For example if Roe V. Wade comes up it may be struck down, but then the issue of abortion will return to the states, or legislature, where it should have been resolved in the first place. I like our odds in this fight in a federal system.

I seriously doubt Roe will be stuck down.  Pinning one’s hopes on that is a recipe for disappointment. 

[bilo]

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

You really should look at the link I posted for you.

I see 6 states the Pubs have a good shot at picking up; FL., IN., MO., MT., ND., WV.

If things go really well they may pick up as many as 8 seats.

[cato potatoe]

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

If you believe the polls, we're losing 2 red seats, tied in another red seat, and tied with Dems in four blue seats.  I woudl not be shocked if we lost - it really could go either way.

[bilo]

I seriously doubt Roe will be stuck down.  Pinning one’s hopes on that is a recipe for disappointment.

I was only using that as an example. Odds are what the court will do is allow states to restrict more and more aspects of it.

[Sanguine]

If you believe the polls, we're losing 2 red seats, tied in another red seat, and tied with Dems in four blue seats.  I woudl not be shocked if we lost - it really could go either way.

No, I don't believe the polls.

[Oceander]

I was only using that as an example. Odds are what the court will do is allow states to restrict more and more aspects of it.

That’s entirely possible. 

[Bigun]

??  The DEMS only need 2 seats to take control.  I don't see that as an impossibility, but rather a probability.

I have no idea what you are looking at but it ain't anything I'm looking at for sure.

[Silver Pines]

Get you a man who looks at you the way Jerry, Jr. looks at Trump

[Sanguine]

You are correct as you are, 9 times out of 10. Forgive me. 
@Sanguine

You're probably right, Tom, I shouldn't have replied in kind to your earlier comment.

[libertybele]

You really should look at the link I posted for you.

I see 6 states the Pubs have a good shot at picking up; FL., IN., MO., MT., ND., WV.

If things go really well they may pick up as many as 8 seats.

I did look at the link...it doesn't get much clearer .... DEMS need to 2 seats to take control.  Not really all that difficult.  FL is a good example; it is a 'toss up' state ... with Scott making a huge faux pas on the 2nd amendment it could very easily go DEM.

 2018 Senate Election Interactive Map
35 U.S. Senate seats to be contested in 2018

The U.S. Senate has 51 Republicans and 49 Democrats (including two independents). The 2018 Senate election takes place on November 6, 2018. There are 35 seats up in 2018*, of which 26 are held by Democrats. That party will need to gain 2 seats to take control.

[Chosen Daughter]

I noticed that as well.  I find Cruz's change of heart troubling on this; especially since he's been so passionate in the past about ensuring and voicing that we need to have conservative justices on the SCOTUS.

Not very impressed.  I think I could have been wrong about Cruz. 

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

Not very impressed.  I think I could have been wrong about Cruz.

So now even Cruz isn’t pure enough for you?

 

[corbe]

   Cruz Kool Aid is not as readily available across this great Country of ours as that other 'Govt. Approved' flavor. 
   We're ramping up production in anticipation of 2020.

[Right_in_Virginia]

Hey, put me in that group. The Rats have used the courts to impose their tyranny on us for way too long! If there was 1 person you could put on the court that could undo all the crap I would be all for it.

I appreciate your honesty @bilo   But let's get the terminology correct.  You want the court packed with politically conservative judicial activists.  This is not the same as wanting strict judicial constitutionalists.

[Right_in_Virginia]

I was only using that as an example. Odds are what the court will do is allow states to restrict more and more aspects of it.

For the SC to allow this, wouldn't it have to change the existing federal law too?  How do you envision the SC accomplishing this @bilo ?