Author Topic: Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast?  (Read 583 times)

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rangerrebew

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Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast?
« on: December 01, 2017, 01:14:11 pm »

Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast?
Guest Blogger / 3 hours ago December 1, 2017   

UN climate forecasts are consistently high … consistently wrong … and used to drive policy

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball and Tom Harris

Dr. Thomas Sowell, Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, summarized the problem the world faces with climate change policy:

“Would you bet your paycheck on the weather forecast for tomorrow? If not, then why should this country bet billions on global warming predictions that have even less foundation?”

Sowell is right to be skeptical. Meteorologists can’t forecast the weather much beyond 48 hours, as the degree of accuracy diminishes rapidly with every additional day. Yet the same weather agencies, often using the same computer models, since 1990 have said with almost absolute certainty that their 50- and 100-year forecasts are correct. They maintain this illusion today, even though all their long-term forecasts have been wrong.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/12/01/would-you-bet-your-paycheck-on-a-weather-forecast/

Offline Suppressed

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Re: Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast?
« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2017, 06:52:44 pm »
Dr. Thomas Sowell, Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, summarized the problem the world faces with climate change policy:

“Would you bet your paycheck on the weather forecast for tomorrow? If not, then why should this country bet billions on global warming predictions that have even less foundation?”

Sorry, Dr. Sowell, but you miss the mark on this one.  Your analogy falls flat.

I wouldn't bet my paycheck on what the number on the debt clock is tomorrow, but I'd sure bet on it being higher in a year than it is today.

Likewise, the ability to predict tomorrow's weather doesn't imply we can't have an accurate prediction about long-term climate.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2017, 06:53:49 pm by Suppressed »
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast?
« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2017, 02:21:05 am »
Sorry, Dr. Sowell, but you miss the mark on this one.  Your analogy falls flat.

I wouldn't bet my paycheck on what the number on the debt clock is tomorrow, but I'd sure bet on it being higher in a year than it is today.

Likewise, the ability to predict tomorrow's weather doesn't imply we can't have an accurate prediction about long-term climate.
That part of your comment is correct
No punishment, in my opinion, is too great, for the man who can build his greatness upon his country's ruin~  George Washington