Bad news for Sanfran Nan and the House rats..
With Breanne Deppisch and Joanie Greve
THE BIG IDEA: To win the House majority in the midterms, Democrats will need to make big gains with suburban voters, defend incumbents in rural districts where President Trump remains popular, topple a handful of Republicans in the Sun Belt and probably win a handful of seats that still aren’t on anyone’s radar.
The opposition party needs to win 24 seats to take control of the House in 2018. Understandably, operatives and handicappers have focused on the 23 districts that Republicans hold, which voted for Hillary Clinton last year. But some of the incumbents are very popular, with brands that are distinct from Trump’s, and they are unlikely to lose no matter how bad the headwinds become.
In other words, it’s inconceivable that Democrats run the table in those 23 districts. Even if they did, they’d still be one short. And Democrats must defend 12 seats in districts that Trump carried in 2016.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2017/06/29/daily-202-even-sweeping-the-suburbs-would-not-be-enough-for-democrats-to-win-the-house-majority/59540e75e9b69b7071abc93e/?utm_term=.6e05f980d528
