Author Topic: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so  (Read 6994 times)

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Offline EC

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When Energy Secretary Rick Perry requested a study of electric grid reliability, wind and solar energy lobbyists were predictably alarmed. Perry wanted to know how federal policies were shaping wholesale electricity markets and whether public policies were responsible for forcing the premature retirement of baseload power plants.

The government has long had a role in the electric power industry, so asking for a survey of its effects should not be controversial.

The reason for the alarm? The request mentioned government mandates and subsidies, which have driven wind and solar energy's growth, as possible drivers of reliability concerns. The industry lobbyists are right to be sensitive. Despite constantly touting the rapidly falling cost of wind and solar, industry growth over the next decade depends on mandates and subsidies.

The lobbyists are not wrong about falling costs. The most recent Wind Technologies Market Report, a Department of Energy (DOE) study, highlights the up to 40 percent drop in wind turbine costs since 2008. Over the same period, solar PV costs have fallen by as much as 70 percent.

Are policies supporting wind and solar energy responsible for the premature retirement of baseload power? In some sense, the answer is obvious. Without wind and solar energy, sales to existing resources would have been higher and most of these resources are only on the grid because of government subsidies and mandates.

While low natural gas prices due to fracking have figured into the closure of coal fired power plants, a rise in regulatory compliance costs is playing a prominent role according to a 2013 study in Environmental Science & Technology. From the consumer’s view, coal power’s loss to natural gas is mostly market-driven and produces lower electricity prices, but coal’s loss to wind and solar has been driven by government mandates and subsidies that drive costs higher.

More: http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/energy-environment/339365-doe-grid-study-has-wind-and-solar-lobbyists-spooked
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Offline Joe Wooten

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2017, 01:23:27 pm »
I would love to see the operations subsidies for wind suddenly eliminated, along with the proviso the companies operating the windmills cannot walk away from them without a plan to take them down.

Offline EC

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2017, 01:26:33 pm »
I would love to see the operations subsidies for wind suddenly eliminated, along with the proviso the companies operating the windmills cannot walk away from them without a plan to take them down.

Hey, you're being green!!!! Returning the land to the state from whence it came.  :tongue2:

Not a bad idea at all, to my mind. We're stewards of the land. Not owners.

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Online Smokin Joe

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2017, 02:13:25 pm »
I would love to see the operations subsidies for wind suddenly eliminated, along with the proviso the companies operating the windmills cannot walk away from them without a plan to take them down.
Consider (at least here, and on Federal Land) Oil and Gas companies are required to post reclamation bonds to reclaim wellsites, access roads, and production facilities, it is only environmental justice  that those same regulations exist for wind and solar power generation facilities and the reclamation of sites and access roads to restore the natural landscape.

Any less would be to force taxpayers to subsidize long-term environmental degradation.

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« Last Edit: June 27, 2017, 02:13:58 pm by Smokin Joe »
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2017, 02:22:05 pm »
Nothing against small scale solar, but if wind and solar are so great (as we are repeatedly told by those on the left) why do they need subsidies?

Offline driftdiver

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2017, 02:37:38 pm »
My neighbor just had solar panels put on his house.  He said it should provide all of his electricity and virtually eliminate his electric bill.   My guess is he's paying an average of $250 per month for electric.

About a year ago I got talked into letting a solar company come to my house and talk me into the same deal.   The pre-subsidized cost of the solar panels and power distribution was around $70,000.   They wouldn't guarantee the State would actually provide the subsidies in which case the entire amount would be my responsibility.

I wouldnt mind a backup during hurricanes but cmon folks.  It will take a long time to pay those panels off at $250 a month.
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Offline Bigun

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2017, 02:43:03 pm »
My neighbor just had solar panels put on his house.  He said it should provide all of his electricity and virtually eliminate his electric bill.   My guess is he's paying an average of $250 per month for electric.

About a year ago I got talked into letting a solar company come to my house and talk me into the same deal.   The pre-subsidized cost of the solar panels and power distribution was around $70,000.   They wouldn't guarantee the State would actually provide the subsidies in which case the entire amount would be my responsibility.

I wouldnt mind a backup during hurricanes but cmon folks.  It will take a long time to pay those panels off at $250 a month.

I can tell you from personal experience that you will NEVER see a return on a solar installation if you take into account ALL of the maintence costs!
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

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Offline Victoria33

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2017, 02:52:01 pm »
I wouldnt mind a backup during hurricanes but cmon folks.  It will take a long time to pay those panels off at $250 a month.
@driftdriver
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@Freya

I lived in hurricane territory.  When a hurricane would take out power, I had a phone that worked, a TV that worked, radios that worked, fans that worked, lights that worked, 10 ways to cook, food for a year, good water for as long as I needed it, and running water when I had no running water.  I'm writing a book about that right now.
« Last Edit: June 27, 2017, 02:56:23 pm by Victoria33 »

Offline Cripplecreek

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2017, 02:52:15 pm »
Nothing against small scale solar, but if wind and solar are so great (as we are repeatedly told by those on the left) why do they need subsidies?

At the same time we're subsidizing tearing out dams that could be producing electricity at night and when the wind isn't blowing. However, retrofitting dams to repower them also would be subsidized because little gets done without federal funds these days but the right dams would pay for themselves fairly quickly.

A few years back in Michigan a private contractor offered to rebuild a dam on the Boardman river and generate power to be fed into the grid. Instead his requests were refused and they tore the dam out, managed to flood a couple dozen homes downstream while permanently contaminating the wells with heavy metals that were in the sediment from the paper plant that once existed above the dam. As an added bonus they completely destroyed the value of the homers surrounding the lake created by the dam.

Offline driftdiver

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #9 on: June 27, 2017, 02:59:08 pm »
@driftdriver
@CatherineofAragon
@Freya

I lived in hurricane territory.  When a hurricane would take out power, I had a phone that worked, a TV that worked, radios that worked, fans that worked, lights that worked, 10 ways to cook, food for a year, good water for as long as I needed it, and running water when I had no running water.  I'm writing a book about that right now.

Back in 2004 I know a lot of people that went 3-4 weeks without electricity.   Not fun in the Florida summer.   Most of the damage to the power lines was caused by falling trees.   Trees that should have been kept trimmed by the power company but weren't.
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Offline Victoria33

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #10 on: June 27, 2017, 03:06:15 pm »
Back in 2004 I know a lot of people that went 3-4 weeks without electricity.   Not fun in the Florida summer.   Most of the damage to the power lines was caused by falling trees.   Trees that should have been kept trimmed by the power company but weren't.
@driftdriver

Anyone who lives in Florida needs to be prepared for power outage, but they don't do it.  I've had people in Florida get in touch with me to tell them what to do. One was a ex military Seal and an author of best selling books, but he had nothing but his boat.  Now, he is prepared.
« Last Edit: June 27, 2017, 03:07:28 pm by Victoria33 »

Offline driftdiver

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #11 on: June 27, 2017, 03:13:22 pm »
@driftdriver

Anyone who lives in Florida needs to be prepared for power outage, but they don't do it.  I've had people in Florida get in touch with me to tell them what to do. One was a ex military Seal and an author of best selling books, but he had nothing but his boat.  Now, he is prepared.

@Victoria33

I've lived in Florida almost 20 years and have had two outages of about 12 hours each caused by hurricanes.    I have a very small generator which can support some lights and a fan or two.   If I lived further out then I'd have a propane generator but the lines to my house are buried so really I'm dependent on the substations.   

I have plenty of food, means to cook it and the means to sanitize/purify water.   I only need to dig down about 12 inches to get water in my yard so that isn't a concern.  Not to mention a small river about 100 yds away.

I've read his books, btw.
« Last Edit: June 27, 2017, 03:14:00 pm by driftdiver »
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Offline Victoria33

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #12 on: June 27, 2017, 04:35:11 pm »
@Victoria33
I have plenty of food, means to cook it and the means to sanitize/purify water.   I only need to dig down about 12 inches to get water in my yard so that isn't a concern.  Not to mention a small river about 100 yds away.
I've read his books, btw.
@driftdiver

I am really glad you have those preps.  Having water nearby that you can purify saves your life.

On another forum some years ago, I had private communication with a woman and her husband who lived in Florida and the husband was also a retired Seal.  Florida must attract Seals.  They lived in more northern Florida.  After hurricane Andrew, he volunteered to go on a truck to deliver water to those affected by Andrew.  When their truck got to the appointed place, he went to the back of the truck.  The collected people rushed the truck and started intense fighting.  In fear of his life, the Seal got back in the truck and they left.  He said he would never do that again. 

After hurricane Ike came in at Galveston, it went through Houston and immediately after it passed, many in Houston were wanting water from FEMA right then.  These people had not prepared with any water at all.  How stupid can you get?  Houston water did get polluted and no one was to drink that water.  FEMA trucks cannot get to a place immediately. Depending on government to save your life is giving your life to some one else.  People like that are "one doters".  They can only see right now, can't visualize the rest of the dots, as in what happens in the future if they take no action now.

There will likely be a hurricane this year and many people will again have no water stored and be begging for FEMA.  In a real emergency lasting for weeks to a month or more, these people will be the first to die.

Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #13 on: June 28, 2017, 01:58:24 am »


I wouldnt mind a backup during hurricanes but cmon folks.  It will take a long time to pay those panels off at $250 a month.
A backup for hurricanes?

You do realize the wind strength of a hurricane will make those panels airborne?

Best preparation is a gas or diesel powered generator like I have.
« Last Edit: June 28, 2017, 01:59:47 am by IsailedawayfromFR »
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Offline driftdiver

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #14 on: June 28, 2017, 02:03:55 am »
A backup for hurricanes?

You do realize the wind strength of a hurricane will make those panels airborne?

Best preparation is a gas or diesel powered generator like I have.

@IsailedawayfromFR

The panels charge battery banks.  The panels are rated for 120mph winds or a cat 3.  Doesn't matter they are too expensive
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Offline Bigun

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #15 on: June 28, 2017, 02:07:31 am »
A backup for hurricanes?

You do realize the wind strength of a hurricane will make those panels airborne?

Best preparation is a gas or diesel powered generator like I have.

Or propane like mine.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #16 on: June 28, 2017, 02:23:05 am »
@IsailedawayfromFR

The panels charge battery banks.  The panels are rated for 120mph winds or a cat 3.  Doesn't matter they are too expensive
The shingles on my roof were rated that high too, and they still blew off during Hurricane Ike.

Good luck if you ever do try that.
« Last Edit: June 28, 2017, 02:23:24 am by IsailedawayfromFR »
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #17 on: June 28, 2017, 02:25:41 am »
Or propane like mine.
This is like the one I have, but that is definitely not my car.

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Offline Elderberry

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #18 on: June 28, 2017, 02:43:25 am »
Or propane like mine.

I was out of power for about 2 weeks after a hurricane. I had converted an ancient Onan 1800 rpm 2400 watt gen to propane. I was feeding it off a 100# bottle. After a week, I thought I'd better find a supply of propane before I needed it. I went on a quest to find propane. I drove from Houston/Hobby almost to Angleton before I found propane. It was a small outfit running off a diesel gen. So I picked up a 60# bottle while I was there. A few days later I hooked the gen into my house's natural gas and ran it on nat gas until the power came back.

Offline RoosGirl

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #19 on: June 28, 2017, 02:45:03 am »
My neighbor just had solar panels put on his house.  He said it should provide all of his electricity and virtually eliminate his electric bill.   My guess is he's paying an average of $250 per month for electric.

About a year ago I got talked into letting a solar company come to my house and talk me into the same deal.   The pre-subsidized cost of the solar panels and power distribution was around $70,000.   They wouldn't guarantee the State would actually provide the subsidies in which case the entire amount would be my responsibility.

I wouldnt mind a backup during hurricanes but cmon folks.  It will take a long time to pay those panels off at $250 a month.

And I would guess the $70k was for the solar panels only and not the battery bank required to run the house full time. By the time things need to be replaced at end of life you would be lucky to break even; like so lucky you should have won Powerball by now. 

My husband is an electrical engineer.  He did the calcs to see what would be needed to run our whole house.  Besides the entire south facing roof covered in solar panels, half of the 2 car garage would be filled with batteries.

We are fairly rural though and are on well and septic, so we converted the well to run on solar/battery power.  In the middle of the state the chances of seeing winds higher than Cat 3 are low, and if it does happen we have a regular gas powered generator.

If we had the extra $150k kicking around to convert completely to solar power we would do it, simply to get off the grid, but it really doesn't make sense for the average person.

Offline Bigun

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #20 on: June 28, 2017, 02:54:25 am »
I was out of power for about 2 weeks after a hurricane. I had converted an ancient Onan 1800 rpm 2400 watt gen to propane. I was feeding it off a 100# bottle. After a week, I thought I'd better find a supply of propane before I needed it. I went on a quest to find propane. I drove from Houston/Hobby almost to Angleton before I found propane. It was a small outfit running off a diesel gen. So I picked up a 60# bottle while I was there. A few days later I hooked the gen into my house's natural gas and ran it on nat gas until the power came back.

I  just made a provision to tie mine into the house propane piping.  What I love about propane is that it burns so clean that the generator is practically maintenance free even with long periods of non use.  No gumed up carbs as with gasoline.

If you live anywhere with natural gas service you can have a NG powered stand by generator that will power your whole house for as long as necessary for under $10K.  Very unlikely that you would lose gas service unless everything goes underwater.
« Last Edit: June 28, 2017, 03:11:40 am by Bigun »
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline Mom MD

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #21 on: June 28, 2017, 02:57:17 am »
Consider (at least here, and on Federal Land) Oil and Gas companies are required to post reclamation bonds to reclaim wellsites, access roads, and production facilities, it is only environmental justice  that those same regulations exist for wind and solar power generation facilities and the reclamation of sites and access roads to restore the natural landscape.

Any less would be to force taxpayers to subsidize long-term environmental degradation.

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Those wind farms are a darn site uglier than conventional power plants.  And take up a lot more real estate.  Driving I-70 through Kansas they are creepy looking.
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Offline Mom MD

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #22 on: June 28, 2017, 03:01:18 am »
@driftdriver

Anyone who lives in Florida needs to be prepared for power outage, but they don't do it.  I've had people in Florida get in touch with me to tell them what to do. One was a ex military Seal and an author of best selling books, but he had nothing but his boat.  Now, he is prepared.

My parents live in Florida.  They tell me all you need to stock up on for hurricanes is wine, chocolate, and toilet paper!

 :silly: :silly: :silly:

(seriously tho they have a generator and their needs covered if they choose to stay around during a storm)
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #23 on: June 28, 2017, 03:02:35 am »
I  just made a provision to tie mine into the house propane piping.  What I love about propane is that it burns so clean that the generator is practically maintenance free even with long periods of non use.  No gumed up carbs as with gasoline.
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Offline Elderberry

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Re: DOE grid study has wind and solar lobbyists spooked — rightly so
« Reply #24 on: June 28, 2017, 03:15:31 am »
I  just made a provision to tie mine into the house propane piping.  What I love about propane is that it burns so clean that the generator is practically maintenance free even with long periods of non use.  No gumed up carbs as with gasoline.

If you live anywhere with natural gas service you can have a NG powered stand by generator that will power your whole house for as long as necessary.  Very unlikely that you would lose gas service unless everything goes underwater.

My generator died a few times after running for hours. I discovered it was weak spark. I replaced the coil with one for a car I had lying around. Ran good after that.

I converted my jeep many years ago to dual fuel. I love the fact that as long as the battery is hot, it'll always start right up on propane. No mater how long it has been sitting up.