Author Topic: UFO Patterns & Predictions {Statistics} slated to be a multi sourced thread  (Read 805 times)

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Offline Quix

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Note: I've long wanted to see some decent statistics on the phenomena related to UFO's. The last few years, some have begun to be compiled. I recently came across an article or 3 and found a few more. I hope to post the better ones in this thread. Alas, I'm tired at the moment and will likely take a nap. Maybe I'll post more when I get back up. Others should feel free to post such articles in this thread, too.

"UFO Patterns & Predictions"
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from
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UFO EVIDENCE: Scientific study of the UFO Phenomenon and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life.
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Quote
Summary: Researchers have tried to establish one aspect of the UFO phenomenon; not at the locations where sightings have taken place, but as regards the time of the periodicity of UFOs. The reports of sightings are based on the time factor with possible correlation of their periodicity, to type of physical interpretation that shows a similar periodicity.[/b]
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Researchers have tried to establish one aspect of the UFO phenomenon; not at the locations where sightings have taken place, but as regards the time of the periodicity of UFOs. The reports of sightings are based on the time factor with possible correlation of their periodicity, to type of physical interpretation that shows a similar periodicity.
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It is important to differentiate between UFO "waves" and UFO "flaps", as these terms are often used by researchers. UFO "flaps" are flurries of UFO activity which can be quite intense, and concentrated to localised areas of a country. However, if the whole of a country including Europe were similarly effected simultaneously, then this would be a UFO "wave". UFO "waves" tend to occur on a cyclic basis, whereas "flaps" appear to be decidedly irregular in occurrence and are probably not predictable.
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It is possible to attain a distribution in the frequency of UFO observations to establish four aspects:
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1 ) Long-term movement or tendency
2 ) Cyclic variations
3 ) Seasonal variations
4 ) Irregular variations (rumour)
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The first study that appeared to yield some results was that of Aime Michel in his theory of Orthoteny, first published in 1958, and based upon the French UFO wave of October 1954. Taking the sighting accounts individually, he discovered that UFOs seemed to be employing preferential flight corridors. Michel's approach deduced that the probability a psychological phenomenon would occur along a randon alignment is zero. The existence of witnesses, and the order of their succession in time, and their geographical distribution in space are irrefutable objective facts. If the places where sightings have occurred are entered on a map and straight lines are found, there is no subjective stage in the reasoning, and therefore the process is unassailable.
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. . . Delair discovered a connection between all UFO phenomena, and the sunspot cycle, and identified a more complex subcycle within this major phase. . . .
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I don't know what the statics will indicate if we look at them thoughtfully. Perhaps little. Yet, I still have at least a fantasy that keeping some tabs on the statistics MIGHT indicate when things were near breaking out all over the evening news etc.
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« Last Edit: November 27, 2016, 04:02:43 am by Quix »
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Offline Quix

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UX * Blog
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Data visualization at IDV Solutions
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Tuesday 9 June 2015
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Graphs, maps of the following at the link
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SIGHTINGS
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Sightings Per Capita map of the USA
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Shape Trending:
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--Light, fireball, flash
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--Circle, Sphere
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--Triangle, Cone
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--unknown, changing
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--Disk
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--Oval, Egg
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Sighting time, seasonally
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This data comes from the National UFO Reporting Center, which is "dedicated to the collection and dissemination of objective UFO data." That, and some census data, and we are off to the races.
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Ratios!
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Of course, as is the case for any observation data, there is a strong tendency towards echoing a population map. This is certainly the case with this sighting data, as well. In order to visualize the actual sighting phenomenon, I needed to normalize by the underlying population.  The first, more prominent map shows a simple ratio of the sightings by population. A per-capita approach.  The second, smaller and slightly more complex map, shows a bi-variate mapping of sightings in the color dimension (dark slate for low-sightings and bright green for high-sightings) and population density in the opacity dimension (denser populations are more transparent). The result is a map that is more nuanced regarding the problem of variable populations and area sizes. Double normalized? Sort of. If you would like to traverse the rich and complex world of bi-variate mapping, check out this tour-de-force how-to by Joshua Stevens.
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Offline Quix

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UFO Stalker
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Map of USA with sightings
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http://www.ufostalker.com/
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With a listing of sightings
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Offline Quix

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Educating Humanity
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MUFON UFO Statistics for Feb 2016
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http://www.educatinghumanity.com/2016/04/ufo-statistics-2016.html
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Offline Quix

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MUFON website:
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http://www.mufon.com/
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Offline Quix

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http://www.educatinghumanity.com/2015/08/ufo-sighting-statistics-july-2015.html
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MUFON Statistics report July 2015
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35% increase in UFO sightings over July of last year (2014)
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Offline Quix

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MUFON is building a New Global UFO Database:
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http://www.mufon.com/new-global-database.html
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Offline Quix

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WEIRD UFO stats in graphic form:
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https://www.behance.net/gallery/36278765/UFO-Statistics
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--about 6% have seen UFOs
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--July 2015 worldwide 1353 sightings
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--75% of sightings remain probable after exhaustive investigation
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. . .
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Offline Quix

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http://www.unexplainable.net/ufo-alien/official_tally_ufo_statistics_showed_sharp_incline.php
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Official Tally: UFO Statistics Showed Sharp Incline
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The official statistics for 2009 are in, and they show that overall UFO sightings increased more than 300% in number than 2008 when it was already on a sharp incline. 
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Offline Quix

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http://alien-ufo-research.com/news/
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Alien UFO research website.
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Offline Quix

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Re: UFO Patterns & Predictions {Statistics} slated to be a multi sourced thread
« Reply #10 on: November 27, 2016, 04:58:35 am »

Alien Resistance . org

http://www.alienresistance.org/ufo-alien-deception/recent-polls-trends-belief-aliens-ufos/
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Guy Malone's site.

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Larry King ran a couple of programs about a UFO sighting in Stephenville TX a couple of years back, and on his website they posted a poll simply asking people “Do you believe in extra-terrestrial life?” It got an amazingly high number of affirmative answers – 86% said yes. That’s the highest number I’ve ever seen on any similar poll from a major media source.
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2008 Scripps UFO Poll

By Thomas Hargrove & Guido H. Stempel:
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56% said it is either “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that intelligent life exists on other planets. 
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74% of 18-24 year olds believed it was likely that intelligent life exists on other planets.
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33% of adults, believe it’s either very likely or somewhat likely that intelligent aliens from space have visited our planet.
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8% said they, personally, have seen a mysterious object in the sky that might be a visitor from another world.
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1/50 responded in a way indicating an abduction
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