Author Topic: The USC/L.A. Times poll saw what other surveys missed: A wave of Trump support  (Read 471 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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 Tribune Washington Bureau
David Lauter
4 hrs ago

WASHINGTON — For most of the last four months, the USC/L.A. Times Daybreak tracking poll has been the great outlier of the 2016 campaign — consistently showing a better result for Donald Trump than other surveys did.

In light of Tuesday's election returns, the poll now looks like the only major survey to see the wave coming.

Most of the summer and fall, the poll's results have been about 6 percentage points more favorable to the Republican than the polling averages. As of Tuesday morning, the poll's final forecast for the election showed Trump leading by a little over 3 points, 46.8 percent to 43.6 percent.

The poll's findings caused dismay — even outrage — among some readers, especially Democrats, who have denounced it and often criticized The Times for running it.

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http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/the-usc-la-times-poll-saw-what-other-surveys-missed-a-wave-of-trump-support/ar-AAk6kZU?li=AA5a8k&ocid=spartanntp
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Offline Fishrrman

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It's worth mentioning that in 2012 this was known as the Rand poll -- and was just as accurate that time, predicting the election outcome.

Offline dfwgator

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I think also, a lot of the Bernie voters stayed home.

Offline montanajoe

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As of now with 99% in

Clinton 59,814,018       47.66%

Trump  59,611,678       47.50%

Total Cast 125,504,427

Missed Clinton by about 4% and Trump by about 1%.  :shrug: